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Why is it so hard for US to form a testing strategy?

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by pirc1, Oct 13, 2020.

  1. pirc1

    pirc1 Contributing Member

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    Here is how China do it. They test the whole city of 9 million people after finding a dozen cases. With this kind of testing and contact tracing, China is essentially able to get rid of COVID19 and return to almost normal life style. Why is this so hard to achieve in this country?

    More than 600 million people traveled during the October holidays. If you control the COVID, you will be able to solve the economic problem much easier,

    Here is Wuhan : unlike the parties in the US, there were no mass outbreak after the party.

    [​IMG]

    Here is a picture during the October Holiday:

    [​IMG]

    https://www.yahoo.com/news/chinese-city-tested-3-million-102002076.html

    A Chinese city says it tested 3 million people for COVID-19 in 2 days, showing how much the US and Europe still lag behind in testing capability

    Bill Bostock
    Tue, October 13, 2020, 6:20 AM EDT


    [​IMG]
    A medical worker collects a swab from a student in Qingdao, China, on October 12, 2020. China Daily via REUTERS

    • The Chinese city of Qingdao says it has tested 3 million people for COVID-19 in just 48 hours.

    • After finding 12 new coronavirus cases on Sunday, health authorities pledged to test all 9 million residents within a week.

    • Qingdao's reaction shows how seriously China still takes the virus, and the scale of the drive is unheard of in the US and Europe.

    • Authorities in many US cities and European countries have struggled to roll out comprehensive testing schemes.

    • Visit Business Insider's homepage for more stories.
    A Chinese city says it has tested 3 million people for COVID-19 in just 48 hours, the latest example of just how far the US and much of Europe lag behind in terms of testing capability.

    On Sunday, the eastern city of Qingdao announced it would test all 9 million residents after identifying 12 cases of coronavirus linked to a local hospital. Officials said everyone would be tested within five days.

    In a Tuesday update, the Municipal Health Commission of Qingdao said none of the 1.1 million tests that had returned so far were positive, according to the Associated Press.

    However, China's National Health Commission said Tuesday that there were six new cases of the virus in Qingdao recorded in the past 24 hours, according to the AP. The reason for the discrepancy is not clear so far.


    China effectively rid itself of the coronavirus in August, having recorded its first day without a new locally transmitted case on May 23.

    The news from Qingdao after a dozen new cases shows just how seriously the country is still taking the virus.

    Testing 3 million people in 48 hours is a feat that would be unheard of in cities across Europe and North America.

    [​IMG]
    A woman with a protective face mask walks past a portrait of Chinese President Xi Jinping in Shanghai, China, on March 12, 2020. Aly Song/Reuters
    Many authorities in US cities, who struggled to roll out comprehensive testing programs during the worst weeks of the outbreak in July, are still failing to do so in the face of another surge in cases this autumn and winter.

    "One of the biggest obstacles to containment has been the fact that we don't have a testing strategy and people don't know their status," Dr. Amesh Adalja, a senior scholar at the Johns Hopkins University Center for Health Security, told Business Insider in August.

    "When you look at countries that have been able to contain [the virus], they didn't do anything out of the ordinary. They tested, traced, and isolated."

    Dr. Carolyn Cannuscio, a social epidemiologist who leads the contact-tracing program at the University of Pennsylvania, also told Business Insider: "We have a broken testing system, and that sets us up for failure in contact tracing because people are waiting so long to get their test results that we have missed a critical period for counseling those people to stay home and avoid infecting others."

    At one point in May the US was testing more people than any other country, but it still lagged far behind Europe in terms of testing per capita.

    [​IMG]
    President Donald Trump at a press briefing on coronavirus testing in the White House Rose Garden on May 11, 2020. Drew Angerer/Getty
    The UK, too, has struggled to meet testing targets, and has made fruitless attempts to stamp out flare-ups in areas in the north of the country.

    In early September, the UK government website that allowed people to book coronavirus tests crashed, saying no tests were available.

    China has once before tested a whole city after recording just a handful of new cases.

    All 11 million residents of Wuhan — where the outbreak began in December 2019 and which was locked down for 76 days in early 2020 — were tested over a 10-day period in May.

    As of Monday evening, China has recorded 85,591 cases of COVID-19 and 4,634 deaths, according to the country's National Health Commission.

    In comparison, as of Tuesday morning, the US has recorded more than 7.8 million confirmed cases of COVID-19 and 215,086 deaths, according to a tracker from Johns Hopkins University.

    President Donald Trump announced he had tested positive for COVID-19 on October 2. Since then he has returned to the campaign trail and claimed that he is "immune" to the coronavirus, even though there are no indicators that could reliably determine this.
     
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  2. Reeko

    Reeko Member

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    [​IMG]

    a large section of the population believes the virus is a hoax or not a big deal at all...we had some dude in the Hangout section of this board say Covid was just a bad flu season just the other day...many citizens are just straight up stupid
     
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  3. London'sBurning

    London'sBurning Contributing Member

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    I kinda have a theory that the people that are good with catching and spreading Covid are also the type to catch herpes and/or HPV and continue to spread it after contracting it without remorse. These are just viruses after all that won't kill you. What's the big deal?
     
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  4. Nook

    Nook Member

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    Part of the issue is the horrendous job by the President but that is only one factor. The bigger factor is that the CCP monitors and controls their population to a great extent. Privacy doesn’t exist in China like it does in USA or Europe.
     
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  5. pirc1

    pirc1 Contributing Member

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    Is that so wrong in this case, that is how South Korea and Taiwan does it as well. The solution is there, just that we do not want to use it.
     
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  6. rocketsjudoka

    rocketsjudoka Contributing Member
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    There is a lot too this and one reason why it is very difficult for the US to address a pandemic even ignoring the current occupant of the White House.

    Central planning and control while problematic for things like individual liberty is great for responding to a pandemic or other crisis where individual actions have a lot to do. While initially authorities in Wuhan and Hubei province did a terrible job once the PRC central government stepped in they were able to direct resources and implement a testing strategy not just there but in other parts of the PRC. For us even if the White House took this seriously we still have to count on the states to implement testing and containment strategies. The Federal government can suggest that the states do citywide or statewide testing and provide resources but they can't force them. Also it's an open debate whether the state or Federal government can force people to take tests if they don't want to.

    In the PRC there are no such restraints. They can force people to take tests and they can force people to stay inside and if you don't take them into custody.
     
  7. rocketsjudoka

    rocketsjudoka Contributing Member
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    SK and Taiwan aren't authoritarian but they are much smaller than the US and also there is more of a sense of communal responsibility in those countries.

    I was explaining to a non-Asian friend who grew up in MN and has never been to Asia the importance of group identity in Asian thought. We tend to uphold the individual in Western thought and while group identity is important it is balanced out by individual identity. In Asia group identity is much more important and while individual identity in many places isn't discouraged it's not valued and even looked down upon.

    In practical terms for something like a pandemic where individual actions lead to communal outcomes it's easier for an Asian society to accept things like mass testing, mask wearing and contact tracing than American society.
     
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  8. Newlin

    Newlin Member

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    Trump thinks that: more testing=more cases identified=bad for Trump.

    The truth is that if Trump had been in favor of more testing from the beginning, it probably would have helped both America and Trump. Yes, Trump shoots him self in the foot once again.
     
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  9. malakas

    malakas Member

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    I mean no offence but this is the way apart from culling to contain outbreaks in livestock.
    9 cases leading to 9 million blanket mass tests is not reasonable.
    Do any of the 9 millions chinese have the right to refuse testing?
    Without any contact tracing why should they been put through it?
     
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  10. SamFisher

    SamFisher Contributing Member

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  11. Amiga

    Amiga 10 years ago...
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    The POTUS is the # 1 driver of COVID disinformation. Leadership count especially this type of horrible leadership. You can argue that we have a culture that isn't receptive to all out testing and tracing, but I would argue that we have a culture that is receptive to it with the right leadership with clear concise explanation of why and the benefit of it. We did all pause and lock down for around a month because we were convinced it was a necessary step.

    The return in investment of testing and tracing is somewhere in the neighborhood of 30x the cost (if we had invested just 5% of the 2T package in test and tracing, the return on that would be 3T!! someone checks my math lol). We don't need to do unnecessary testing - if we can achieve at least 5% or lower positive rate, we should be good (SK was around 3% during their peak while the US was in the 20%).
     
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  12. rocketsjudoka

    rocketsjudoka Contributing Member
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    I don't know for sure but my guess is that they can't refuse to be tested. As noted in the PRC the right to things like privacy aren't there. If it is in the state's interest to do something they will do it. In Wuhan during the lockdown anyone caught outside without an approved reason to would be arrested and taken to isolation wards. They enforced that with drones.
     
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  13. pirc1

    pirc1 Contributing Member

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    We all have responsibilities to our society and fellow citizens right? Is it really that big a deal to request a test? I guess that is the difference between Asian and western culture.
     
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  14. Invisible Fan

    Invisible Fan Contributing Member

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    This.

    We're a rich nation but we want to trim the top into inefficient dividends and tax returns with deaths and suffering as down payment.

    This half year old is pretty much a microcosm of climate change and environmental chaos around the world.

    Something's gonna give and the young will post for it
     
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  15. vlaurelio

    vlaurelio Contributing Member

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    and same in Taiwan?
     
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  16. Invisible Fan

    Invisible Fan Contributing Member

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    They have a task force that actually works and a mobile command center that wouldn't get disbanded or refunded by penny pinching teabagging experts at breathing who bray about respecting the science at hand.

    Don't get your hopes up

    You can wonder if it works at scale while reading how Trump's super spreader event passed the total covid cases in Taiwan.

    The No Plan Genius at work
     
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  17. Rashmon

    Rashmon Contributing Member

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    Led by the stupid dip$hit clown...
     
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  18. geeimsobored

    geeimsobored Contributing Member

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    Island countries are a little different. it is a bit easier to control borders for them but they do highlight several key failures by our government. But you're right in that Taiwan did a lot of things that the US could have done. To run down the list:

    1. Taiwan banned flights from China in January. They didn't just ban Chinese citizens, they actually banned the flights themselves. Taiwanese citizens that needed to come back used special repatriation flights that had separate mandatory quarantine procedures.
    2. Taiwan ramped up mask production immediately and people there had no issue with mandatory masks. Taiwan also ramped up santizer production as well. Also masks are distributed for free to all residents in Taiwan
    3. Taiwan started barring its citizens from traveling to hotspot countries from Taiwan.

    The big thing in Taiwan was a supportive government and a population with near universal mask usage. People flat out use masks everywhere there and there is no debate. If you step out of your house, you wear a mask at all times (including when you're outside). But the important point is that all of the above could have been implemented by the US. We could've shut down international travel temporarily (and just relied on repatriation flights which can then be paired with mandatory quarantines) and we could've really emphasized early mask use. The feds couldve even shut down or limited domestic aviation as a way to slow the spread (Australia did this at one point). Instead, we did nothing and instead had a president who called the whole thing a hoax.
     
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  19. LabMouse

    LabMouse Member

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    Maybe China is a bad example because of the central government system, but Japan can do it, Vietnam can do it too. USA under leadership of Trump is joke for everything except making people more fat.
     
  20. Carl Herrera

    Carl Herrera Contributing Member

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    So, if China is in charge after Joe Biden gets elected, maybe we can finally get this pandemic under control.
     
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