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Will China Mediate the Israeli Palestinian Conflict

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by rocketsjudoka, May 19, 2013.

  1. rocketsjudoka

    rocketsjudoka Contributing Member
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    This potential development touches on several issues that have been discussed here such as the Middle East Conflict, the PRC's role as a developing superpower and the future of the US role as a global hegemon.

    http://behindthewall.nbcnews.com/_n...lestinian-peace-process?lite&ocid=msnhp&pos=2

    Will China mediate the Israeli-Palestinian peace process?

    BEIJING – An official visit to Beijing by Israeli and Palestinian leaders last week has prompted speculation that China may finally be ready to claim its place as a world power by trying to negotiate an end to one of world's most caustic conflicts.

    Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas met with Chinese President Xi Jinping within days of each other in Beijing – the two Middle Eastern leaders having arrived in the country within hours of each other.

    "China's hosting of the two emphasized its active involvement in Mideast affairs and highlighted its role as a responsible power," declared an editorial by China's state news agency, Xinhua.

    A more active role in Middle East diplomacy would be a dramatic break from China's long-held policy of non-intervention. With controversial business partners like Sudan, Libya and Iran, China has consistently ducked the political and regional strife of others to focus on natural resource extraction and trade.

    To a long line of American leaders who have invested a great deal of political capital in the quest for peace in the region, a Chinese diplomatic shift could be a welcome development.

    But some experts like Dan Blumenthal, director of Asian Studies at the American Enterprise Institute, wonder how much China is willing to risk entering this particular political game.
    "Right now China has the benefit of free-riding on U.S. security [and its] presence, so there is no incentive for them whatsoever to actually pay costs and take risks," Blumenthal said. "China has been fairly extractive in those areas and again for China to become a global power that exercises responsibility, you can't just reap the economic benefits."

    Middle East experts in China have noted that the country has a fresh point of view unsullied by years of involvement in the region. It has a carefully crafted position of supporting the Palestinian cause -- dating back to 1965 when the Palestinian Liberation Organization setup an office in Beijing -- but also being a close friend of Israel, as its third-largest trading partner behind the U.S. and the European Union.

    "The United States' slant toward Israel has long been regarded as a bias stance by Arabic countries, so this bias towards Israel is not helpful for President Obama when it comes to pushing forward current or future initiatives," said He Wenping, a senior researcher at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS). "But China maintains good relations with both Israel and Palestine, so China's stance is viewed as more neutral than the United States."

    Just how much political capital Beijing is willing to spend hammering out a deal that has eluded others remains a critical question – one that could be fraught with risk to China's relationship with the Muslim world. Would Beijing be willing to put its neutral position and substantial business partnerships in the region in jeopardy?

    To be sure, Xi's meetings with Netanyahu and Abbas were modest at best in ambition. The two Middle Eastern leaders never met face-to-face. And Xi's "four-point plan" effectively parroted calls by the United States for an independent Palestinian state, supplemented with a firm call for the two countries' boundaries to be based on 1967 borders with East Jerusalem serving as the new Palestinian state's capital.

    "I don't think China has some magical power at hand that can make the Israeli-Palestinian process move more smoothly," said He of CASS. "It is significant that Israel and Palestine both recognized China's role because if they don't want China involved, [Netanyahu and Abbas] would have never come to China. This shows they wish for and they recognize China's role in the process."

    Whether their involvement is desired or not, past Chinese diplomatic history suggests that given the options, China in the short-term would likely continue a nominal role rather than put trade relations at risk.

    But a silver lining is the affirmation that while China and the U.S. continue to have major political differences on issues ranging from Iran to America's Asia "pivot," there is room for the two powers to cooperate and engage on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
     
  2. Deckard

    Deckard Blade Runner
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    I can't say that I'm impressed. If China were to actually assume a significant role in the Middle East that amounted to anything with regard to the "peace process," you'll be able to knock me over with a feather, judo. I view this as more about pumping up China as a "world power," than an effort with any realistic possibility of success. Look, China is deliberately positioning itself as a world power, a world power in the real sense, not the economic sense, where countries like Japan would also qualify, IMO. And there's nothing inherently wrong with the attempt, of course. This sort of diplomatic effort, such as it is, dovetails with that.

    The trappings of a real world power? One is a blue water navy deployed far from its shores, a capable blue water navy that must be taken seriously. China has been deploying elements of the PLAN looking for pirates off the southern entrance of the Red Sea for a while now, and on occasional cruises in the Indian Ocean, stopping at, for example, a new seaport on the coast of Pakistan built by China, and (incredibly) under its control. Supposedly for commercial use (an "aid project"), it's perfectly obvious what the real reason is for the project, now largely completed. To service the ships of the PLAN now and into the future. Needless to say, India is very unhappy about it, as are we, and China is looking elsewhere to build similar facilities around the Indian Ocean, the so-called "string of pearls," which has India royally ticked off. As a consequence, India has increased spending on defense, on its own navy, and at the expense of doing other things that are needed to continue to improve the standard of living of its people, which is exactly the same thing China is doing, but India's doing it on a smaller scale, India having a smaller economy, with far less money to spend. In another reaction to China, India is busy improving relations with those countries threatened by China's absurd claims in the South and East China Seas. She has started sending the occasional naval patrol to the South China Sea, which is clearly in response to China's actions in India's backyard.

    That's one example of China's effort to become more than an economic world power. China's efforts in this regard will have consequences and some of them, like expanding its reach into the Indian Ocean, are having consequences she may not like in the future. Literally forcing India to spend billions she'd rather not spend on her military is one of them. So China will face a more powerful India in the future. Is that really in her long term interests?
     
  3. Invisible Fan

    Invisible Fan Contributing Member

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    China will only try to be a world power when it needs unobtanium.

    This is low risk posturing to improve global status and mindshare.

    Like their monetary policy, they're accumulating currency while doing their best not to use it.
     
  4. conquistador#11

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    send in big yao! he's ready to show he's on Jesus' level.
     
  5. calcium

    calcium Member

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    China doesnt intervene cos it's scared of setting precedence.

    If it intervenes, then others might use it as an excuse to intervene in Tibet, in Taiwan and the trouble regions in China (cant remember the name right now).
     
  6. pirc1

    pirc1 Contributing Member

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    China have too much things to worry about at home to worry about world conflicts at the moment, unless it can get major benefits from solving these conflicts. Non interventionist policy have served China well so far, I do not see this policy changing much during the foreseeable future.
     
  7. Deckard

    Deckard Blade Runner
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    China has been "intervening" left and right in the South China Sea, and needs to be very careful in the East China Sea, making huge claims to "territory" in both areas. I'm not seeing what you are seeing. It would be very nice if you were right, but I don't think you are.
     
    #7 Deckard, May 19, 2013
    Last edited: May 21, 2013
  8. KingCheetah

    KingCheetah Contributing Member

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    No one in the middle east speaks Chinese.
     
  9. pirc1

    pirc1 Contributing Member

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    That is all depend on your view of the area, everyone is claiming they have ownership. Non intervention is not meddling in the affairs of other countries, not giving up what you believe are your rights. Just like I do not expect the other countries around the area to give up their rights anytime soon.
     
  10. Deckard

    Deckard Blade Runner
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    So if the most powerful nation in the region simply takes what it wants, then that's OK, as long as that country is China?
     
  11. pirc1

    pirc1 Contributing Member

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    When did I say that?

    All I said is China do not like to intervene in other countries' affairs. The question you are asking is like asking how to solve the Israel Palestinian issue. although it is not as bad a situation (Are Israel or Palestine intervening in that region?). I hope a joint development agreement between the nations can be reached in the future, I believe that will be the most likely outcome.
     
  12. dback816

    dback816 Member

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    That sounds awfully like the attitude our glorious USA used when we started every major conflict since WW2
     
  13. Mathloom

    Mathloom Shameless Optimist
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    China doesn't intervene because it's like most other countries: unlikely to intervene.

    The most important thing for the Israeli Palestinian conflict is for the US to exit its farudulent role as chief negotiator. The last thing we need is for China to enter this process and complicate the politics further. While I'm sure China is regarded as more neutral towards the conflict, it is certainly not neutral towards the US and the US is not about to exit its role as a major player. It would not save any more Palestinians or Israelis, and it may even hurt more Israelis than before if China and the US begin competing.

    This is the offe on the table, allegedly turned down by Netenyahu: East Jerusalem is Palestine, contiguous Palestinian state based on 1967 borders, recognition of Israel + normal relations with all Arab League states, no right of return and some land swaps.

    This offer is monumental. If that is a fair deal, it is on the table and the US has the ability to convince the Israelis to accept it. At some point the decades of failure in this conflict has to be seen as systematic obstruction. No one fails that often, that consistently, for that long.
     
  14. Hydhypedplaya

    Hydhypedplaya Member

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    The only problem is no Israeli politician will divide Jerusalem. Eventually Israeli settlement will cut it out from the rest of the West Bank. Then they will say there's no feasible way for it to be the capital of Palestine.
     
  15. JuanValdez

    JuanValdez Contributing Member

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    They can't do a worse job than we have.
     
  16. sammy

    sammy Contributing Member

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    Cmon man. We've done a decent job, at worst.


    Said no one ever.
     
  17. Nook

    Nook Member

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    You would be surprised.....
     
  18. WNBA

    WNBA Member

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    Pure business.

    China wont ever intervene with the customers, not like someone else....
     
  19. WNBA

    WNBA Member

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    You sounded like 'others' need an excuse to intervene in those matters.

    CIA have had specific fundings for these mentioned troubled regions in China for years. The intervention is always blatant but China's nuclear weapon made it ineffective.

    No excuse between enemy lines.
     
  20. CometsWin

    CometsWin Breaker Breaker One Nine

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    North Korea appreciates it.
     

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