I created this poll in dispair after texas primary. I hope obama makes it, but I think this is a big momentum swinger. Remeber how everyone thought mcCain had not shot and boom he wins a few primaries and look where he is now.
The difference in the GOP is the winner-take-all nature of it. If McCain wins a state by 2%, he wins all the delegates and it's a huge blow to his competition. Not so in the Dem primary. Obama had won 11 straight primaries, by 20+% - and look what that got him in OH/TX. These two candidates just appeal to different bases, and the demographics of each state seems to be having much more impact than anything else.