Anyone know which polls got it right? With all the back and forth about polling it would be interesting to see who knew what they were doing.
pollster.com's averages of polls seemed pretty accurate at first glance: http://www.pollster.com/blogs/actual_vs_predicted_electoral.php
Obama won 52-46 Rasmussen nailed it. So did fivethirtyeight.com. Research 2000 had it 51-46. Ipsos was 53-46. Some of the final poll numbers are going to be off because there were still people responding as undecideds which is going to subtract a few % points from the overall total. Obama won Pennsylvania +11. Quinnipiac had it +10. CNN had it +12. Obama won Florida +2. Quinnipiac, Strategic Vision, Mason-Dixon, had it +2. Obama won Ohio +1. Survey USA and Rasmussen had it +4. Obama won Virginia +5. Survey USA, Rasmussen, ARG had it +4. Obama is up in NC +1. PPG and ARG had it +1. Here are 538's numbers predictions for those state. Pennsylvania +8 Florida +1.7 Ohio +3.4 Virginia +5.6 N. Carolina +1 538 was pretty damned on across the board. They predicted Indiana to go to McCain by 1.5. But other than that he was pretty damned on.
Here is an article about this: http://blogs.chron.com/txpotomac/2008/11/the_list_which_presidential_po.html
