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What pick will we get in the lottery?

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by Plowman, May 16, 2022.

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What pick will we get in the lottery?

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  1. clos4life

    clos4life Contributing Member

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    #1, without a doubt. Positive thinking people, positive thinking.
     
  2. Salvy

    Salvy Member

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    Whatever the pick is we should trade it for Westbrook, this is exactly what we need to do...
     
    Tfor3 likes this.
  3. Fulgore

    Fulgore Member

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    #2 pick and draft Jabari. Okc lands #1 and drafts Chet.
     
  4. DatRocketFan

    DatRocketFan Member

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    If we get 2, don't have to make a big decision.
    it's either chet or jabari whoever is available, right?
     
    cmoak1982 and D-rock like this.
  5. Mathloom

    Mathloom Consumption is a waste of time.
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    Why would we trade out? There's several incredibly high potential players there which would be on a team friendly deal for at least 8 years. A Keegan Murray or Mathurin can easily develop into the 3rd best player on a title team at an affordable price. You can totally find a Bosh, Jrue, Klay, Draymond, Horford, etc over there. You can totally get great value in trade for a well-developed #5 pick.

    With the quantity of picks and assets we have, we don't need to be desperate. We've been relatively good at developing young guys under Silas and Lucas, I think we should maximize our gains there. So many good players to be had even around #8.

    I'm not saying we go full blown Spurs and just develop anyone and anything with no regard for potential, but come on the difference between #1 and #6 is not that huge in terms of the likelihood of getting an All Star or better player. In fact I think #2 is the least likely pick to get a star and we NAILED it with Jalen last year, so stop worrying so much.

    The Nets will eventually gift us a top 3 pick and it will be right in the middle of us having a great core and making a playoff run. We'll be better than expected next season with 4 above average to great sophomores, a historically rare occurrence which is going to trigger a Rockets dynasty in my opinion.

    Also: we are going to draft a bust eventually, please don't freak out when it happens. It's unavoidable that with this many attempts you will flop on a certain %. No, you wouldn't nail every pick if you were drafting. Yes, the front office has earned a bit of trust with the overall performance on 4 draft picks last summer.

    It's going to be a huge summer for this franchise, so exciting.
     
    #25 Mathloom, May 16, 2022
    Last edited: May 17, 2022
  6. rimrocker

    rimrocker Contributing Member

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    I’m getting antsy. May have to break out the whiskey to go with my granola tomorrow morning.
     
    D-rock likes this.
  7. pippendagimp

    pippendagimp Member

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    post a link to this writeup please
     
  8. matchesmalone

    matchesmalone Member

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    5, I think Sharpe jumps Ivey or a big in the draft and we get whoever falls. A #1 seed has to fall to 5 eventually and it’s going to be this year.
     
    groovemachine likes this.
  9. KingSamJack

    KingSamJack Member

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    cmlmel77 and pippendagimp like this.
  10. D-rock

    D-rock Member

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  11. D-rock

    D-rock Member

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    KingSamJack, saleem and Believe It! like this.
  12. Roomba

    Roomba Dude, 别他妈急

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    I can GUARANTEE that we will get either pick #1 or number #2. And if not those we'd definitely end up with either #3, #4, or #5. QUOTE me on this. I am definitely correct.
     
    DreamR, saleem and D-rock like this.
  13. groovemachine

    groovemachine Member

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    It’s all rigged, the question is whether it’s rigged for or against us :)
     
    D-rock and DreamR like this.
  14. Believe It!

    Believe It! Member

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    Give me 1 of the big 111 and 1'11 be happy1
     
  15. saleem

    saleem Contributing Member

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    I ran Tankathon twice today. I got the 3rd pick the first time and the 1st pick the second time.
     
    D-rock and groovemachine like this.
  16. BigM

    BigM Contributing Member

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    Ran tankathon 10 times.

    Picked 5th - 8 times
    Picked 3rd - 1 time
    Picked 1st - 1 time

    We’re picking 2nd in the real thing.

    Ran it another 20 times. Apparently tankathon has us at an 80% chance at number 5. The pistons must be at 0%.
     
    #36 BigM, May 17, 2022
    Last edited: May 17, 2022
  17. Bo6

    Bo6 Member

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    in true houston fashion i am expecting #5. anything above i'll be satisfied.
     
  18. KingSamJack

    KingSamJack Member

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    I do like the kids that come from NBA families the most, they seem to find a lot of succuss down the line.
     
    D-rock likes this.
  19. JayZ750

    JayZ750 Contributing Member

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    i went with #3 cause then it turns all the Chet v Paolo v Jabari talk into nothing - we get what we get... while also adding a tiny bit of intrigue as to whether they will try and trade up or prefer Ivey at 3.
     
    D-rock and groovemachine like this.
  20. jnuge90

    jnuge90 Member

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    I ran the Tankathon simulator 50 times b/c I have too much time on my hands right now. Here are the results:

    1st Pick: 2 Times
    2nd Pick: 9 Times
    3rd Pick: 4 Times
    4th Pick: 2 Times
    5th Pick: 33 Times

    F*** Tankathon

    1st pick, here we come
     
    D-rock and groovemachine like this.

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