What are the Democrat's prospects for retaking the Senate in 2018?

All of these arguments are specious. Comparing the point spread between Trump and Gianforte, or a governor's race vs a House race is like saying the Rockets won last night's game against the Bucks by 6 points when they lost to Warriors the night before by 20 -- so they must be getting better. Who the opponents are matters. Who the voters are matters. When the election happens and what the context is matters. Even the assault is a giant red herring. There is literally no lesson you can draw about the direction of the country by looking at 3 data points in Montana.

 

Policies like assaulting anyone you disagree with? Democrat policies tend to be more popular overall than Republican ones, the Democrats just have a horrible messaging problem. Look at the unpopularity of the healthcare bill that just got passed for an example of this.

 

or... it tells you that a significant percentage of republicans will vote for a violent criminal as long as he is a republican violent criminal...

 

Instead, I just avoid publications that would write such claptrap.

 

Probably more like using opinion from a random blog.

Suburban Georgia will be a much more interesting barometer for Democrats in their runoff election instead of heavily republican states such as a Kansas and Montana.