do some research before you post http://rpiforecast.com/ 23-7 should give them a mid-50 rpi. neutral court conference games against a tulane-type team, and uab, and then a road game against memphis would give them a low 40 rpi. It may not be out of the realm of possibility that they would even have a sub-40 rpi in that scenario, given the data i've seen.
I have done some research, but thanks for your concern. My research show UH with a current RPI of 66. It is silly that anybody would forecast a team with the remaining schedule that UH has to leap 26 RPI spots.
66 in the RPI today, 67 in the highly respected Ken Pomeroy ratings, 69 in Sagarin's rankings. Not exactly the profile screaming for a tourney bid at-large, and this is coming from someone who really wants UH to make it. They were my fave college b-ball team growing up.... http://kenpom.com/rate.php http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/bkt0708.htm
Never bet on sports. I want UH to make the tourney. I grew up watching UH. My Dad went to college there and I went to law school there. I just don't think it's going to happen. None of the current rankings bear out UH being a tourney team.
How are they going to gain ground in the RPI by beating really bad teams when the teams ahead of them are beating much better teams in their own conference tournaments?
really bad teams? Huh? Have you looked at who and, more importantly, where Uh will play the rest of the season + the conference tournament? (where is important because of how the rpi is calculated) the next 4 games they would play would be, all away from home, at a neutral court against 1)an above 500 team (the first conference tournament game),2) a top 50 rpi team (uab); 3)and away from home against a borderline top 100rpi team (utep) 4) and away against a top 5 rpi team (memphis). This is a very, very tough schedule that will dramatically improve UH's SOS. But don't take my word for it, look at the other people who have calculated what this would do to UH's rpi. (rpiforecast.com). PS. I've been saying since December that it would take 26 wins to get Uh into the tournament. But that's not the question being debated here. Refman is saying that UH will likely have a 75-90 RPI, but there is no basis for that argument. That is all I'm trying to say. Unless something flunky happens, UH will have a top 50 rpi at season's end.
Coogs have a chance to play two games against sup 50 rpi teams. The potential cusa semi final against UAB and if they win that another game with Memphis. I think getting to the final will keep them in the conversation whether that gets them in is unknown. The only for sure way is to win the cusa tournament.
Yeah...that schedule will have UH jump over 16 teams. I guess we'll have to wait and see. I just wouldn't recommend holding your breath.
Yeah, those last couple of loses hurt...I think it's fair to say we'd love them to be in, but it'll take the game of their lives to beat memphis in the conf. game, which I believe is in Memphis...Assuming they make it to the finals... Prior to the last couple of loses, I would have said no problem, now...well...
For the Cougars 2:30 Thursday. Probably a rematch against UTEP, unless SMU can upset em. Tourney itself starts Noon Wednesday with the riveting Tulsa/East Carolina matchup.
UH loses to UTEP again. Frustrating. I want UH to be in the NCAA tourney every year like in the Guy Lewis days. The good question right now is whether they will end the year with a sub-70 RPI. I think it is safe to say that they won't have a sub-50 RPI.
umm, safe to say because they lost out the rest of the season since the beginning of the thread. not what you, or I, or anyone else were predicting when we were making our rpi projections. But like I said in my first post, the ONLY way they would reach your project rpi would be to lose out the rest of the regular season + conference tournament. Only, with your projection, I don't think that's what you were projecting their record to be. If it was then I'm sorry. it's also safe the say that they would have had a top 50 rpi with 25 wins. come on man, it's not rockets science, it was pretty basic math that was already spelled out for you.
