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Trump 2016: Yes. We. Can.

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by Honey Bear, Aug 5, 2015.

  1. JuanValdez

    JuanValdez Contributing Member

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    Since I'm in the energy business (and I'm sure many others here are as well), I read with particular interest -- and horror -- about Trump's energy platform.

    There's a lot of red meat in there. I was particularly tickled by the pandering to coal interests. He can't simply rescind the CPP, which was born out of Supreme Court rulings. If he scrapped it, he'd have to replace it with something else compliant. At best, he can water it down to make it ineffectual. But, generators won't build new coal plants anyway. The cost advantage is mostly gone even before regulation, and it's just too dirty to take a chance on. You'd be a fool to invest your money in a new dirty coal plant regardless of the current environmental rules. We might get the carbon sequestration and scrubber technology good enough at some point to be able to build a clean coal plant that is cost competitive, but not in Trump's lifetime. And the same is true about coal more generally -- it's losing on its merits, not because of the EPA. All Trump can do is slow the transformation. Fortunately, the free markets are wiser here than Trump who might be even further right with this platform than ExxonMobil.

    More generally, it sounds like a Trump presidency would be at best a complete loss of 8 years of proactive work to fix our environmental challenges. But, by undermining progress we've made in previous administrations, he could upset the global cooperation on environmentalism and set us back a generation or more. And for what? More unfettered fracking to drive gas and oil prices even lower?

    Here's an article:

    http://www.nytimes.com/2016/05/27/us/politics/donald-trump-global-warming-energy-policy.html?_r=0

    [rquoter]Donald Trump’s Energy Plan: More Fossil Fuels and Fewer Rules

    BISMARCK, N.D. — Donald J. Trump traveled Thursday to the heart of America’s oil and gas boom, where he called for more fossil fuel drilling and fewer environmental regulations while vowing to “cancel the Paris climate agreement,” the 2015 accord committing nearly every nation to taking action to curb climate change.

    Laying out his positions on energy and the environment at an oil industry conference in North Dakota, he vowed to rescind President Obama’s signature climate change rules and revive construction of the Keystone XL pipeline, which would bring petroleum from Canada’s oil sands to Gulf Coast refineries.

    It was the latest in a series of recent policy addresses, including on Israel and foreign policy, intended to position Mr. Trump, the real estate mogul and reality show star, as credible on substantive issues now that he is the presumptive Republican presidential nominee.

    But experts remain skeptical of Mr. Trump’s command of the complexities of the global energy economy. And he made claims, such as a promise to restore jobs lost in coal mining, that essentially defy free-market forces.

    “Many of his proposals thus far don’t seem to appreciate the complex forces that drive the energy system,” said Richard G. Newell, an energy economist at Duke University who has closely followed Mr. Trump’s remarks.

    Mr. Trump’s decision to set his speech in North Dakota was politically strategic. He began the day fewer than 30 delegates shy of clinching the nomination, and on Thursday, he reached the required 1,237-delegate threshold with the help of unpledged delegates in the state who moved to support him.

    Mr. Trump asked North Dakota’s Republican congressman, Kevin Cramer, to suggest energy policies before the speech.

    A central question confronting the next president will be how to address climate change. Mr. Trump, who has repeatedly denied the established science that climate change is caused by humans, vowed in his speech to undo many of Mr. Obama’s initiatives.

    He did not explicitly address the scientific legitimacy of human-caused climate change, but said, “We’re going to deal with real environmental challenges, not the phony ones we’ve been hearing about.”

    Mr. Trump said that in his first 100 days in office, he would “rescind” Environmental Protection Agency regulations established under Mr. Obama to curb planet-warming emissions from coal-fired power plants.

    “Regulations that shut down hundreds of coal-fired power plants and block the construction of new ones — how stupid is that?” Mr. Trump said.

    However, the next president will not have the legal authority to unilaterally rescind the climate rules, which are now being litigated in federal courts. If, as is widely expected, the case goes to the Supreme Court, the justices, rather than the president, will determine its fate. But if elected, Mr. Trump could nominate a new Supreme Court justice to help strike down the rule.

    Mr. Trump’s threats to unravel the Paris Agreement could carry more weight.

    In his speech, he complained, inaccurately: “This agreement gives foreign bureaucrats control over how much energy we use on our land, in our country. No way.”

    In fact, at the heart of the Paris Agreement are voluntary pledges put forward by the governments of over 190 nations, laying out plans to lower emissions. No government has control over the emissions-reduction plans of other governments.

    Once the accord is ratified by 55 countries responsible for 55 percent of global emissions, it will enter into legal force, and any country wishing to withdraw would have to wait four years to do so. However, if the deal has not been ratified by January 2017, a new American president could withdraw immediately. For that reason, many countries, fearful that a President Trump would do just that, are racing to ratify the deal this year.

    But there would be no legal consequence if the United States, the world’s second-largest greenhouse gas polluter, simply did not follow through with the Obama administration’s pledge to cut emissions up to 28 percent from 2005 levels by 2025.

    In an even more potent threat, Mr. Trump declared that the United States would “stop all payment of U.S. tax dollars to global warming programs.”

    “We’ve got big problems, folks, and we can’t be sending money all over the world,” he said. “We’re going to keep our money here and our jobs here and bring our jobs back.”

    But developing nations, including India, have made clear that their ability to cut emissions depends largely on financial help from other countries. And as secretary of state, Hillary Clinton pledged that rich countries, including the United States, would commit $100 billion annually by 2020 to help poor countries adapt to the ravages of global warming. A clear signal that the United States would back down from its commitments to reduce emissions and provide financial assistance could undermine the political will in other countries, such as India and China, to take action.

    Other elements of Mr. Trump’s energy proposals appear less viable. As coal mining jobs have declined, Mr. Trump has vowed to fully restore their numbers.

    “We’re going to bring back the coal industry, save the coal industry,” he said. “I love those people.”

    It is unclear how Mr. Trump could restore lost jobs in the coal industry. As domestic coal demand has declined, companies have laid off thousands of miners. But economists say that shift is driven by market forces: The natural gas boom led power companies to buy cheaper gas rather than coal.

    “Most analysts would say that coal is hurting because natural gas prices have collapsed,” said Robert McNally, the president of the Rapidan Group, an energy consulting firm, and a senior energy official in the George W. Bush administration. “Donald Trump would have to find a way to raise natural gas prices.”

    Mr. Trump also repeatedly emphasized “energy independence” — the idea that the United States could isolate itself from global oil markets and cease importing fuels.

    “Under my presidency, we will accomplish complete American energy independence,” he said. “We will become totally independent of the need to import energy from the oil cartel or any nation hostile to our interest.”

    But experts say that such remarks display a basic ignorance of the workings of the global oil markets.

    “Even if energy independence was achievable, it would not be desirable,” Mr. Newell, the Duke University energy economist, wrote in an email. “Our interests tend to be best served by getting each type of fuel we need from the least expensive source, be it domestic or imported. When domestic U.S. energy is globally competitive, like the recent oil and gas boom, our imports go down. But energy independence itself is one of the least useful energy policy goals — and is at times damaging.”

    Mr. Trump’s speech, which he delivered with the help of teleprompters, drew a large, cheering crowd to the conference, packing an arena here with thousands of people.

    Steve DeWacht, 45, a district manager at Colter Energy, a company in the fracking industry, said he liked what he knew of Mr. Trump’s energy policy.

    “I’m hoping he’s going to support the oil industry, open up some new plays — in Pennsylvania, maybe — keep Texas going and help out in North Dakota,” he said. “He’s got to get us off the OPEC train and help us make our own train.”

    Bob Morman, 60, who works for Montana-Dakota Utilities on the natural gas side, said he was supporting Mr. Trump, but knew little about his energy plans and had come to learn more.

    “I want to see what his stance is on oil fracking, oil renewables and coal,” he said. “I would like to see coal be part of the energy mix.”[/rquoter]
     
  2. okierock

    okierock Contributing Member

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    Did you read the part where he was short of delegates, asked the local congressman what to say and then got the delegates?

    This is a pep rally not a policy writing exercise. I hope you aren't expecting Trump to hold any closer to his campaign promises than any other president.
     
  3. BigDog63

    BigDog63 Member

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    Yep. You indicated it was all those gun nuts attending the training you went to. You attended that same training. Therefore, yes, you fit the stereotype you were castigating. That you don't think you do doesn't point to any error in my logic, but in yours...and that stereotyping has issues, as I stated, and that you seem to really like applying them, as I stated...and that there are issues with applying them, as I stated, and as you continue to bear out.

    By all means, though, please continue arguing this. Every time you do, you just reinforce my points better than I ever could.
     
  4. dc rock

    dc rock Contributing Member

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    [youtube]gFZ-1EojoFM[/youtube]
     
  5. RocketsLegend

    RocketsLegend Member

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    Those were true activists who were fighting for rights not like today where bunch of misinformed hippie liberal are running wild and want to cause chaos and shut down a rally. Liberals are the fascists.
     
  6. RocketsLegend

    RocketsLegend Member

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    If America don't elect Trump we're truly ****ed

    [​IMG]
     
  7. Codman

    Codman Contributing Member

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    Wait, are you worried now? You've been so confident that your beloved Donald would stomp a democrat opponent out. As a matter of fact, as I'm sure you recall, you even made a TipJar bet with the same confidence. He's clearly the nominee at this point. Time to put your money where your mouth is or step out of the conversation and admit that you're a simple keyboard warrior. :rolleyes:
     
  8. Commodore

    Commodore Contributing Member

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    <blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">UPDATE: We found a leftist reaching for a cops gun at the Trump protest in SD today <a href="https://t.co/8qALjgZhPS">https://t.co/8qALjgZhPS</a> <a href="https://t.co/dKo5WdaLhb">pic.twitter.com/dKo5WdaLhb</a></p>&mdash; Weasel Zippers (@weaselzippers) <a href="https://twitter.com/weaselzippers/status/736378526790733824">May 28, 2016</a></blockquote>
    <script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
     
  9. Commodore

    Commodore Contributing Member

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    <blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Protip: this doesn't make you look like a fearsome revolutionary, it makes you look like a sad suburban douche kid <a href="https://t.co/81ZTfnZB96">pic.twitter.com/81ZTfnZB96</a></p>&mdash; David Burge (@iowahawkblog) <a href="https://twitter.com/iowahawkblog/status/736360856846520320">May 28, 2016</a></blockquote>
    <script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
     
  10. Sweet Lou 4 2

    Sweet Lou 4 2 Contributing Member
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    Talk about Crooked! Trump took 9/11 money intended for small businesses. This should be illegal since he definitely is not a small business:

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/poli...4eaabe-2443-11e6-b944-52f7b1793dae_story.html

    Stealing money from businesses hurt by 9/11???

    This man, who did not lose anything in 9/11, took $150,000 in "relief" for his business earning over 26 million a year. A guy who didn't donate a single penny to any 9/11 charity.

    This guy is the definition of slime ball, and only a person who is completely devoid of rational thinking could think he should be president and is some how on the moral high ground compared to....anyone.
     
  11. mr. 13 in 33

    mr. 13 in 33 Member

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    <blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Trump tells California 'there is no drought' <a href="https://t.co/Bh6anInfWF">https://t.co/Bh6anInfWF</a><a href="https://twitter.com/CApolitico">@CApolitico</a></p>&mdash; Good Day LA (@GDLA) <a href="https://twitter.com/GDLA/status/736399349580713985">May 28, 2016</a></blockquote> <script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
     
  12. FranchiseBlade

    FranchiseBlade Contributing Member
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    So California has no drought.

    Part of Trump's stated foreign policy will be to order the military and security apparatus of the U.S. to commit war crimes.

    What a lousy candidate.
     
  13. RocketsLegend

    RocketsLegend Member

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    what the hell are you talking about?
     
  14. Sweet Lou 4 2

    Sweet Lou 4 2 Contributing Member
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    Shows how ignorant Trump supporters are when it comes to his energy policy - and the idea of energy independence which would hurt the economy since the only way to acheive it would be to artificially inflate the price of oil to $70/barrel. Not to mention illegal.
     
  15. CometsWin

    CometsWin Breaker Breaker One Nine

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    What? So I attend a training with a bunch of self-professed preppers and such, off which I'm not one, so I'm stereotyped as a self-professed prepper? You're completely wasting my time. Welcome to my ignore list.
     
  16. FranchiseBlade

    FranchiseBlade Contributing Member
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    I'm talking about Donald Trump saying that he would order the assassination of private citizens.

    He's also threatened to torture prisoners. These thing are illegal, and he would place the military in the position of having to refuse to follow his orders.

    http://www.breitbart.com/big-govern...-military-could-disobey-donald-trumps-orders/
     
  17. Sweet Lou 4 2

    Sweet Lou 4 2 Contributing Member
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    I think the Trump University thing is going to hurt him now that they are releasing the playbook. It's going to show a lot of what Trump is just a great snake oil salesman. Question is if Hillary knows how to make it stick.
     
  18. Bobbythegreat

    Bobbythegreat Member
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    I'm sure he'll just call it a "vast left wing conspiracy" people were stupid enough to buy the "vast right wing conspiracy" line for decades so they'll probably be stupid enough to buy that one now.
     
  19. Deckard

    Deckard Blade Runner
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    What Trump fears is that his income tax returns for the last several years come out. I don't doubt that if they do, it'll be all over for the man. Donald Trump is a sleazy liar, an egomaniac, a man who will do or say anything to promote himself and increase his wealth. The campaign for President is a Trump reality show writ large. This "Trump University" thing will help, but the people deserve to see his income tax returns. That's where the real damage is, and that's why he's doing everything possible to avoid releasing them. In my humble opinion.
     
  20. Sweet Lou 4 2

    Sweet Lou 4 2 Contributing Member
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    The man makes politicians look honest and makes wild claims. He will tell anyone whatever they want to hear. Just like he will tell Ryan behind closed doors that he wants to end social security.

    He's a con-artist, and his taxes will likely show how he has evaded being a good citizen, so he hides behind the audit excuse (which is b.s.). His defense is that Clinton needs to release her speeches, but how can you compare taxes to speeches?

    What's amazing is how much people give him a pass for all the lies he tells simply because he is willing to insult people.
     

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