Some models look like its going to the Valley, while some are going towards the south west corner of Louisiana. So, i'm sure it will find it's way over here. I'm assuming this storm isn't too organized yet?
I'd appreciate some recommendations for a storm tracking blog that doesn't engage in fear mongering, which pretty much rules out the local media.
New models being run in about 30... I'll be finding out soon if I have to go to College Station to our backup center.
We will know a great deal more once Hurricane hunters are in there and the models ingest their data. It's really just hurry up and wait right now.
the models are EVERYWHERE. that is why I find hurricanes so fascinating. mother nature is amazing....only if it doesn't destroy our property and cause harm to people. http://blog.chron.com/sciguy/2011/0...-storm-strength-now-aimed-toward-texas-coast/ gotta love that Katy jokes are back.
lovely. house is in the middle of a remodeling project and vacation trip is next week. what i need of course is a damn hurricane to worry about!
Yes, sir!! According to Eric, it could reach here by this weekend. I thought it would be next week as well which is not going to be good because I'm going out of town (Driving to Fort Worth mid-week then back to Houston and fly out to Utah for the weekend)
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=1857 90L has moved west overnight and looks ripe to develop today. While the upper level circulation (500 mb) is very much displaced, the lower level circulation looks strong and coherent through the system's mid-levels (850 and 700 mb). Thunderstorm activity continues to organize, and it appears that a surface circulation is developing. Moisture remains high in the system (around 4.5 g/kg specific humidity) and wind shear should be somewhat favorable as it crosses through the Gulf of Mexico. In terms of track, the statistical models have generally been favoring a Brownsville landfall scenario, but the dynamical models have been inching north over the past day or so. The HWRF is in line with the ECMWF deterministic today, with landfall near Corpus Christi. The Hurricane Hunters have a mission scheduled for 18Z today (2pm EDT) to investigate whether or not 90L has a closed surface circulation. If it does, given the amount of organized convection and moderate wind speeds (around 34 mph in the latest invest update), the Hurricane Center will probably call this system at least Tropical Depression Four. If 90L develops this afternoon, I will have another update to look at track and intensity forecasts.
