[Tropics] 2010 Hurricane Season

Another wave popped up today.



We might not want our vision to wander on this one.

 

Trend is further and further west with each system. Not a good trend to have for the US. Earl already threatening NC to Nova Scotia, Fiona if it survives may be heading south of there and now this one with no recurve is sight on the models.

 

Yikes, Earl shifted a bit more West...not good for North Carolina and northern states. That's too close to comfort.

The new invest doesn't really have lot of models so it's still early to tell but it's interesting to see if it will go on the same path as Earl & Fiona since there is a high pressure in the place.

 

Here's good news past Fiona.

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=1595

98L
A new tropical wave (Invest 98L) moved off the coast of Africa yesterday, and is centered a few hundred miles south of the Cape Verdes Islands. Strong easterly winds from the African Monsoon are creating a moderate 10 - 20 knots of shear, and the disturbance is currently disorganized. A large area of dry air lies to the north and west of 98L, and this will interfere with development. The latest SHIPS model forecast predicts shear will remain moderate, 10 - 20 knots, for the next five days, and some slow development of 98L is possible as it moves westward at 15 mph. NHC is giving a 10% chance of this system developing into a tropical depression by Thursday, and none of the computer models develop it.

 

still need to maintain this storm in optical range.

 

CAT 5 EARL TO STRIKE ST. LOUIS

 

10% just became 80%

 

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=1597

Fiona is starting to build a little more space between herself and Earl. If this ]keeps up, Fiona might have a shot at survival. This is worth keeping an eye on.

 

where are you seeing that?

 

You need to look more closely

 

confusing, because i've been keeping an eye on it.

 

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAVE INCREASED IN ORGANIZATION OVERNIGHT. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM AT ANY TIME. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

 

thanks! is there a link??

 

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml

 

I like this one, you can scroll on the map like Google maps and click on the storms to get details.

http://www.stormpulse.com/

DD

 

THANK YOU FOR THE UPDATE.

 

Yeah, I like that website too, DD!

 

I think you are the one that showed it to me, thanks !!

I have it bookmarked now.

DD