Check out this loop. The CDO is expanding and look how symmetrical it is. It's a good thing this is likely only a threat to Bermuda because its getting pretty strong. Would be neat to see an annular hurricane. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-avn.html
dang, Danielle is already a Cat 2!! Good thing it's not a threat to USA...poor Bermuda if it gets in the way. Invest 96 is the one to watch for....I disagree with your predication, da1.
I just took the number of days between Ike's beginning and landfall to make a prediction, IF it hits us. Hopefully not
my guess is if it hits anywhere in the US, it's the East Coast. but looking at the models so far, they all seem to anticipate it bending more to the north...i think we're talking about another fish storm.
Did you read Masters' latest blog? They are predicting that GOM/Caribbean will start getting active first week of Sept.
Yeah, the predictions right now are iffy since it has been an non existent season until now. He talked about Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) in his blog. http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=1586
Eveyone wants to predict high activity because 1) it catches people's eye and 2) if they are right they can puff out their chest and take credit for their guess. I'm just so sick of people trying to predict what's coming several weeks out. All the speculation just waters down any actual news. Just sit back and wait. If a Storm develops, then start to in with path predictions and such. I'm ok with that. What I get annoyed with is all this BS about predictions several weeks/months ahead...especially when the prediction is how "bad" it's going to be.
Why don't you keep that conspiracy lunacy to toycen threads and the political forums for now? They make predictions because thats what they think is going to happen. It's their job to keep the public informed. Last seasons predictions were for a below average year. That of course flies in the face of your bs. Back to the topic. As I said last time things change with computer models. Now the GFS and Nogaps models are forecasting a hard left turn around bermuda that puts the NY/Bos area in danger. Obviously that would be bad, not to mention these models also show two additional storms right behind Danielle. It's only a couple of models though. Let's see what the euro has to say. Hopefully the GFS is OTL.
Look, i didnt mean to get you all upset by tealking about how sick i am of all these wrong predictions about how active it's going to be when it turns out wrong. It's not conspiracy by any means and you prove my point exactly in the bold. The problem is that what they think is often wrong. just let us know when the storm has actually formed, rather than talk about what basically amounts to guess work about what's going to happen in a month. I don't think that's unreasonable.
I tend to agree...plus announcing potential for storms and having some shred of support to me, is a lame attempt to uplift the gas markets...
Yep, TD 7. This is likely to be Earl very soon. The future track depends heavily on the track of Danielle. If Danielle creates a strong enough weakness through the ridge then Earl and probably Fiona behind it will end up well east of the US. We will have to follow this closely.
Encouraging tidbit of information: History suggests that a storm in TD 7's current location has only a 20% chance of making landfall on the U.S. East Coast. http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=1587
Whenever I hear, or read someone talking about the tropics, this or "we'll have to keep an eye on it" is inevitably the last thing you hear or read. In fact, I think every post in this thread from here on out should end with "we'll have to keep an eye on it". We'll have to keep an eye on it
