Looks like the chances of an El Nino event are growing, which usually means a diminished chance of hurricanes. http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=1233
That would be great because we're planning to go on a cruise in August. i would hate for a hurricane to destroy our trip! EDIT: Well never mind.
More evidence for a weaker hurricane season http://blogs.chron.com/sciguy/archives/2009/06/more_evidence_for_a_weaker_hurricane_season.html This is good news but not too crazy about the "pop up" storms if the predication is right.
I'm not sure what you mean. Actually, with El Nino in place, it gives us better chances of more rain. In the article, it says: Typically El Niño doesn't make Texas much warmer but it can make the state wetter, especially the eastern half of the state. Most meaningful, however, is El Niño's impact on hurricaane activity.
We need it more here... we've been in the negatives since back in March... ugh, I need this humidity to go away.
Geek Speek Fayl. http://www.webupon.com/Browsers/Best-Web-Browsers.31651 <- I meant THIS (read FireFox section)
http://blogs.chron.com/sciguy/archives/2009/08/here_come_the_tropics.html Here come the tropics... It appears the first named storm of the 2009 Atlantic hurricane season will develop this week or next. The National Hurricane Center says an area of low pressure to the southwest of the Cape Verde Islands has a medium (30 to 50 percent) chance of developing during the next couple of days. Even this area of interest, dubbed AL99, develops it more likely than not will eventually re-curve into the ocean and not threaten the Caribbean or United States. What's perhaps more noteworthy is that global models like the GFS and and Canadian are now developing the tropical waves coming off Africa with more consistency. For example, this morning's GFS shows a wave moving across the Atlantic tropics and developing into a large hurricane as it approaches the Caribbean next week: This system may or may not develop because models just aren't very good at predicting storm development, but when the deep Atlantic begins to fire with convective activity, as it is now beginning to do, it's a clear signal hurricane season is about to begin. In short, after the latest beginning to hurricane season since at least 1992, when Andrew formed on Aug. 17 -- is that a lousy omen, or what? -- it looks like we now finally have cause to pay attention to the tropics.
Taiwain just had a typhoon drop 100 INCHES IN TWO DAYS. Amazing building collapse: <object width="560" height="340"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/Cjw-DPFiCI8&hl=en&fs=1&"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/Cjw-DPFiCI8&hl=en&fs=1&" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="560" height="340"></embed></object>
Yep... there's a new low coming off the coast of Africa... and I have a good feeling it's coming into the Gulf of Mexico and maybe towards us.... (no joke)... we need the rain though so I would welcome a cat 2 or less storm.
Ike was Cat 2...so I'd rather not. It's hot here, but my a/c is running fine and as long as I have power, it keeps going.
Cat 2s don't scare me... Ike was abnormal.. it wasn't really a normal Cat 2.. I'm talking a normal cat 2.
Cat 2 didn't scare me before, either. Ike was abnormal because of storm surge...but clearly it showed that Houston's power grid doesn't like Cat 2 wind speeds.
Well... I don't want a direct impact of Houston.. I guess maybe a westward landfall would be best... and we would get a lot of rain... I guess for the western counties... they'll get their even more severe rain/winds... but it probably won't be as bad as what happened with Ike in Houston. I still have that feeling though that we will get a storm a Cat 2 or higher this season.
Aren't the Hurricane category based off of windspeed without taking into account things like size and amount of precipitation? As with Ike it seems like a huge storm even with sub cat 3 winds could do a lot of damage if its pushing or dropping a lot of water.
