Say goodbye to the drought. Let's hope the system doesn't stall like Allison. http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/metropolitan/6613362.html Rain system over Houston gets hurricane center's attention Copyright 2009 Houston Chronicle Sept. 11, 2009, 7:12AM The low pressure system that has brought the southern half of Texas much-needed rain this week is now being watched by the National Hurricane Center, just in case it develops into something more. Forecasters believe conditions remain unfavorable for the system in the western Gulf of Mexico to become a named storm because of strong upper-level winds that are keeping it disorganized. They give it less than a 30 percent chance of becoming a tropical cyclone. Regardless of how it develops, the weather system is going to keep pumping heavy moisture onto the drought-parched Texas coast through the weekend, according to the National Weather Service. There is a 60 percent chance of rain in Houston this morning, building to 70 percent this afternoon and evening, and some areas could get more than two inches of precipitation. Clouds and rain will keep temperatures down, though. The high today is expected only to reach the mid-80s. The chance of rain or thunderstorms remains 70 percent Saturday, decreasing only slightly as the day wears on. Temperatures again should range between the mid-70s and mid-80s. The rain chance Sunday is 40 percent, then decreases to 30 percent Monday. Highs on both days are expected to be in the upper 80s. Weather service forecasters anticipate things getting back to normal next week, meaning highs in the lower 90s, lows in the lower 70s and a minimal chance of showers or thunderstorms streaming off the Gulf of Mexico. In the middle of the Atlantic Ocean, Hurricane Fred continues to lose steam in the open water. It had maximum sustained winds of 85 mph this morning and was expected to be downgraded to a remnant low by Tuesday.
We never know when it comes to systems like that...i'm glad this is bringing some well needed rain to the area!! Another interesting blog by Eric... http://blogs.chron.com/sciguy/archi..._like_bill_danny_and_now_erika_arent_com.html
Been raining non stop here in San Antonio... Pretty crazy.. Prolly haven't had this much rain since at least April.
Leaving for a weekend stay in Galveston in a few hours. We'll have plenty of beer in case we get rained out, but I hope that system in the Gulf doesn't turn into anything more serious...
weather channel this morning said that yesterday was the most rain for most parts of south texas since last august.
Or that... I've only been living in this city for the last two months... Just heard something from a local station here saying something about April and heavy rain.
And still, I've barely seen a drop on the SE side of town all week. Just a lot of dark clouds and the AC isn't running as much. Stupid faker weather guy! You so LIE!
absolutely! enjoying looking out over the city from office on grey skies and rain with Pandora's John Coltrane station playing in the background. is it nap time yet?
It didn't get above 90 degrees here in Austin yesterday, or the day before, for the first time since last May. It's raining! Finally. Folks around here were beginning to wonder if this would ever end. Lake Travis is over 50 feet below full and 35 feet below where it normally is at this time of year. Let it rain!
A few years ago I was on a boat on Lake Travis and the depth finder sounded 30 ft. I could easily see the bottom in the bright sun. I bet it has been awhile since you have had that kind of visibility?!
If you have time, this is an excellent read... http://www.wunderground.com/education/hugo1.asp Pretty incredible. I can't EVEN imagine being in that situation.
Hi! Remember me? I'm the 2009 Atlantic hurricane season. Sorry I'm late... Oh and here's an interesting wrinkle. Some computer models are showing 96E in the Pacific to cross Central America and enter the Gulf. Keep in mind that only 4 hurricanes have ever been known to make landfall in the US in November. All 4 hit Florida. Very interesting reading from Dr. Masters blog. The forecast for TD 11 The forecast for TD 11 is highly complex with high uncertainty. Steering currents are weak in the Southwest Caribbean, and TD 11 will move slowly over the next two days. The future steering of TD 11 will strongly depend upon the development and track of the Invest 96E disturbance 500 miles to its west. If 96E develops and tracks northwards towards Guatemala, as suggested by the GFDL model, TD 11 would likely be steered northwards later this week, remaining over water as it approaches the Cayman Islands on Monday. If, on the other hand, 96E moves due west away from 97E, as suggested by the NOGAPS model, 97E might also move due west, over Nicaragua, and emerge over the Eastern Pacific early next week. Another complicating influence might be the development of an extratropical or subtropical storm in the Gulf of Mexico's Bay of Campeche on Saturday or Sunday. The GFS and ECMWF models are predicting the formation of a low pressure system over the Bay of Campeche this weekend, along the remains of an old cold front. This low is expected to track northwards towards Louisiana, and might act to also pull TD 11 northwards. The exact amount of steering influence this extratropical low and 96E might have on TD 11 depends strongly on how large and intense TD 11 becomes. At present, TD 11 is a very small system, and so is only being affecting by steering influences in its immediate vicinity. If TD 11 intensifies into a tropical storm in the next three days, as seems likely, the storm will probably tap into moisture from the Pacific Ocean. This moisture will flow over Costa Rica, western Panama, and southern Nicaragua into TD 11's circulation, bringing 3 - 6 inches of rain today through Friday. Heavier rains are likely along the east coast of Nicaragua, where an intense spiral band of rainfall has formed this morning. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter mission is scheduled to investigate TD 11 this afternoon to see if it has become Tropical Storm Ida.
