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Trade Deadline Projections: (NOP Pick Value & Trade Partners)

Discussion in 'NBA Dish' started by Rox>Mavs, Jan 1, 2015.

  1. Rox>Mavs

    Rox>Mavs Contributing Member

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    PHX Suns
    Schedule and Projections from 1/1-Trade Deadline
    W - 1/2 Sixers
    L - 1/4 Raptors
    L - 1/6 @ Bucks
    W - 1/7 @ TWolves
    L - 1/9 @ Spurs
    L - 1/11 @ Grizz
    W - 1/13 Cavs
    W - 1/16 TWolves
    W - 1/19 Lakers
    L - 1/21 Blazers
    L - 1/23 Rockets
    W - 1/25 Clips
    W - 1/28 Wizards
    L - 1/30 Bulls
    L - 1/31 @ Warriors
    L - 2/2 Grizz
    L - 2/5 @ Blazers
    W - 2/6 Jazz
    L - 2/8 @ Kings
    L - 2/10 Rockets
    8 wins -12 losses
    26-28 Record by Trade Deadline

    Schedule and Projections from Trade Deadline to End of Season
    W - 2/20 @ TWolves
    L - 2/21 @ Bulls
    W - 2/23 Celtics
    W - 2/25 @ Nuggets
    L - 2/26 Thunder
    L - 2/28 Spurs
    W - 3/2 @ Heat
    W - 3/4 @ Magic
    W - 3/6 @ Nets
    L - 3/7 @ Cavs
    L - 3/9 Warriors
    W - 3/11 Twolves
    L - 3/13 Hawks
    W - 3/15 Knicks
    W - 3/19 Pelicans
    L - 3/21 @ Rockets
    L - 3/22 Mavs
    W - 3/25 Kings
    L - 3/27 Blazers
    L - 3/29 Thunder
    L - 3/30 @ Blazers
    L - 4/2 @ Warriors
    W - 4/4 Jazz
    L - 4/7 @ Hawks
    L - 4/8 @ Mavs
    L - 4/10 @ Pelicans
    L - 4/12 @ Spurs
    L - 4/14 Clips
    11 wins - 17 losses
    37-45 End of Season Record


    OKC Thunder

    Schedule & Projections from 1/1 - Trade Deadline
    W - 1/2 Wizards
    L - 1/5 @ Warriors
    W - 1/7 @ Kings
    W - 1/9 Jazz
    L - 1/15 @ Rockets
    L - 1/16 Warriors
    W - 1/18 @ Magic
    W - 1/20 @ Heat
    L - 1/21 @ Wizards
    L - 1/23 @ Hawks
    W - 1/25 @ Cavs
    W - 1/26 TWolves
    W - 1/28 @ Knicks
    L - 1/31 @ Grizz
    W - 2/2 Magic
    W - 2/4 @ Pelicans
    W - 2/6 Pelicans
    L - 2/8 Clips
    W - 2/9 @ Nuggets
    W - 2/11 Grizz
    13 wins -7 losses
    29-24 by Trade Deadline

    NO Pelicans
    Schedule & Projections from 1/1 to Trade Deadline
    L - 1/2 Rockets
    L - 1/5 Wizards
    W - 1/7 @ Hornets
    L - 1/9 Grizz
    W - 1/12 @ Celtics
    W - 1/14 @ Pistons
    W - 1/16 @ Sixers
    L - 1/18 @ Raptors
    W - 1/19 @ Knicks
    W - 1/21 Lakers
    W - 1/23 @ TWolves
    L - 1/25 Mavs
    W - 1/26 Sixers
    W - 1/28 Nuggets
    L - 1/30 Clips
    L - 2/2 Hawks
    L - 2/4 Thunder
    L - 2/6 @ Thunder
    L - 2/7 Bulls
    W - 2/9 Jazz
    W - 2/11 Pacers
    11 wins - 10 losses
    27-26 by Trade Deadline

    Schedule & Projection for Rest of Season
    W - 2/20 @ Magic
    L - 2/21 @ Heat
    L - 2/23 Raptors
    W - 2/25 Nets
    W - 2/27 Heat
    W - 3/1 @ Nuggets
    L - 3/2 @ Mavs
    W - 3/4 Pistons
    W - 3/6 Celtics
    L - 3/7 Grizz
    L - 3/9 @ Bucks
    W - 3/10 @ Nets
    W - 3/15 Nuggets
    L - 3/17 Bucks
    W - 3/19 @ Suns
    L - 3/20 @ Warriors
    L - 3/22 @ Clips
    L - 3/25 Rockets
    L - 3/27 Kings
    W - 3/29 TWolves
    W - 4/1 @ Lakers
    L - 4/3 @ Kings
    L - 4/4 @ Blazers
    L - 4/7 Warriors
    L - 4/8 @ Grizz
    W - 4/10 Suns
    L - 4/12 @ Rockets
    W - 4/13 @ Twolves
    L - 4/15 Spurs
    13 wins - 16 losses
    40-42 Record by End of Season

    DEN Nuggets
    Schedule & Projections from 1/1 to Trade Deadline
    L - 1/1 Bulls
    L - 1/3 Grizz
    W - 1/5 @ Twolves
    W - 1/7 Magic
    L - 1/9 @ Kings
    L - 1/14 Mavs
    L - 1/16 @ Mavs
    W - 1/17 Min
    L - 1/19 @ Warriors
    L - 1/20 Spurs
    W - 1/23 Celtics
    L - 1/25 Wizards
    L - 1/26 @ Clips
    L - 1/28 @ Pelicans
    L - 1/29 @ Grizz
    W - 1/31 Hornets
    W - 2/3 @ Sixers
    W - 2/4 @ Celtics
    W - 2/6 @ Pistons
    L - 2/9 Thunder
    W - 2/10 @ Lakers
    9 wins - 12 losses
    22-31 by Trade Deadline


    SAC Kings

    Schedule & Projections from 1/1 to Trade Deadline
    W - 1/1 @ TWolves
    W - 1/4 @ Pistons
    L - 1/7 Thunder
    W - 1/9 Nuggets
    W - 1/11 Cavs
    L - 1/13 Mavs
    W - 1/16 Heat
    L - 1/17 Clips
    L - 1/19 @ Blazers
    W - 1/21 Nets
    L - 1/23 @ Warriors
    W - 1/26 @ Knicks
    L - 1/28 @ Raptors
    L - 1/30 @ Cavs
    W - 1/31 @ Pacers
    L - 2/3 Warriors
    L - 2/5 Mavs
    W - 2/7 @ Jazz
    W - 2/8 Suns
    L - 2/10 @ Bulls
    L - 2/11 @ Bucks
    10 wins - 11 losses
    23-30 by Trade Deadline

    Seeding at Trade Deadline
    8th: OKC (29-24)
    9th: NOP (27-26) - Projected 14th Pick at Deadline
    10th: PHX (26-28)
    11th: SAC (23-30)
    12th: DEN (22-31)

    The remainder of the season for the Suns looks pretty brutal. I've got them around 37-45 by the end of the season (and I think I was favorable to them against certain teams) so even though their playing above .500 ball right now, I can't see them at all making the playoffs with OKC's schedule and getting healthier.

    The bad news though is I think the NOP pick looks to be 13-14th barring injury. PHX's own pick will be higher in draft order.

    Given this rough estimate and projection, I think PHX ends up around somewhere as the 10-12 seed with DEN right in that range too. My guess is they become sellers this year at the trade deadline unless a Star level player becomes available to them in trade.

    I would guess PHX is making enough room in their cap to offer Monroe a contract this summer. A trade of Dragic for expirings, picks and prospects would free up 7.5mm to add to their existing 7mm in cap space. That'd give them close to max money to throw at Monroe + assets left to trade for another star player should one become available.

    Curious to see what others here think will be the seeding of these teams and what teams like DEN and PHX do since they're on the treadmill of mediocrity?
     
  2. smoothie

    smoothie Jabari Jungle

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    don't underestimate how injury prone the pellicans are. they are one injury away from finishing far worse.

    i think the suns and nuggets will be sellers close to the deadline. with dragic and mozgov being available. hopefully the nuggets really crap out and decide to blow it all up making lawson and fareid available.
     

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