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Trade deadline needs and watch party

Discussion in 'Houston Astros' started by IdStrosfan, Jul 4, 2024.

  1. IdStrosfan

    IdStrosfan Member

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    27 days and counting.

    Astros playoff odds:

    Baseball reference 57.1% (low of 15.8% 5/8/24)

    Fangraphs 58.7% (low of 29.3% 6/18/24)

    Immediate needs:
    1) healthy starting pitching
    2) lineup depth, especially right handed and 1b.
     
    BMoney, Stephen66, Pringles and 2 others like this.
  2. Amadeus Rooster

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    Bunters. Go out get the 2 best bunters and blaze the trail. We would dynatsy up for o so long.

    Start up a bunting academy? Who wants to with me?
    Goooooo!!!
     
    Radricky likes this.
  3. Amshirvani

    Amshirvani Member

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    Was this thread necessary with Snakes other trade thread?
     
  4. Pringles

    Pringles Member

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    Can we just get Tucker back? :eek:
     
  5. bcast89

    bcast89 Member

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    Need at least one reliever imo. If everyone comes back healthy soon, we should be ok.
     
  6. Buck Turgidson

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    Definitely needs a party.
     
  7. The Beard

    The Beard Member

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    Down for a watch party if we have power back by then lol
     
  8. rockets1995

    rockets1995 Member

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    Team Need - Health

    Justin Verlander
    Kyle Tucker
    Lance McCullers Jr.
    Luis Garcia
    Jake Bloss
    Kendall Graveman
     
    Houstunna and Justin Thomas like this.
  9. Kemahkeith

    Kemahkeith Member
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    How can one have a watch party over a period of weeks.
    Bring a toothbrush and some beano.
     
    IdStrosfan likes this.
  10. Justin Thomas

    Justin Thomas Member

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    No kidding. Kind of incredible the Astros are over 500 right now
     
    rockets1995 likes this.
  11. Stephen66

    Stephen66 Member
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    I can never get enough of astros threads
     
    Houstunna, roadtrip and IdStrosfan like this.
  12. IdStrosfan

    IdStrosfan Member

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    wRC+ since Jose Abreu was released:

    Alvarez 194
    Altuve 172
    Singleton 151
    Salazar 137
    Diaz 131
    Bregman 113
    Pena 104
    Meyers 87
    McCormick 83
    Dubon 80
    Loperfido 72
    Cabbage 70

    Obviously getting Tucker back will help, but maybe OF is more of a priority than 1b?
     
    Xerobull, raining threes and BlindHog like this.
  13. Snake Diggit

    Snake Diggit Member

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    It’s been very frustrating following Singleton this season. He has had several meaningful stretches where he looks like a very good and possibly elite hitter. The last 3 weeks are a great example. If he could sustain even 90% of that production he’d be a stud. But because he hits the ball on the ground so much and isn’t a fast runner he is very prone to BABIP luck. To me I have seen enough to expect that he is not going to consistently get the launch angle needed to truly maximize the value of his power. And that makes him a roughly league average hitter who is slightly below average defensively at 1B. So he’s a AAAA guy teams love to be able to call up if their primary 1B gets hurt but he’s not a guy who should be hitting in the middle of the order on a contending team or even occupying one of the bench spots. I love him but I hope Houston upgrades.
     
  14. roadtrip

    roadtrip Member

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    The more Singleton plays the better he gets? SP and RP biggest need right now. Can't depend on Verlander or Lance making it back until we see them actually pitch innings. I don't suppose there's any chance of a different closer.
     
  15. IdStrosfan

    IdStrosfan Member

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    In games where he has had at least 3 consecutive starts: 4/11-13, 4/30-5/14, 5/16-29, 6/15-18, 6/26-7/7)

    38 for 146 =.260 .366/.431=.797
    14.5% BB/25% K

    When he hasn't:
    11 for 56=.196 .262/.196=.458
    8.2% BB/29.5% K
     
    #15 IdStrosfan, Jul 8, 2024
    Last edited: Jul 8, 2024
  16. Snake Diggit

    Snake Diggit Member

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    Very interesting.
     
  17. AkeemTheDreem86

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  18. rockets1995

    rockets1995 Member

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    If there is another Mauricio Dubon, Marwin Gonzalez type on waivers, minor trade AAA player like Cabbage for another Pitcher maybe that is more helpful than trading away the Astros Top Prospects.

    It was hard enough to have Top Prospects 17-20 year olds. Keep them together and let them develop Team Chemistry in the Minor Leagues, eventually the Next Talented Group will be the Future Astros.
     
  19. IdStrosfan

    IdStrosfan Member

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    I don't there are more than a couple of SP on the market better than Luis Garcia.

    Getting Verlander, McCullers, and Bloss back to health should allow Brown, Blanco, and Arrighetti if he's still here to reduce innings.

    At least 1 and hopefully 2 of those guys must be back on the active roster when the 2nd half starts or else Brown must find a starter.

    Penn Murfee is a guy I am looking to return before the end of the regular season and become a leverage guy. Graveman could possibly return as well and is a very good 3rd-5th guy in the 'pen.

    Before then, I think the relief pitching is serviceable. Hader, Abreu, and Pressly are set in their spots and won't be replaced. Scott and Martinez have been good in the 6th-7th inning roles. The other 3 spots have been shuttled back and forth but there are plenty of arms to fill those spots.

    The offense is where I think this team needs to improve.

    Diaz, Altuve, Bregman, Pena, Alvarez, and Tucker are established starters who won't be replaced.

    Meyers is set but could potentially be upgraded.

    That leaves 1b, LF/DH, and potentially CF as options for improvement.
     
    raining threes likes this.
  20. IdStrosfan

    IdStrosfan Member

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    Playoff odds as of 7/9/2024

    Average of baseball reference, fangraphs, and baseball Prospectus.

    Tier 1 will make playoffs but buying to improve championship odds:
    Phi 99.9%, LAD 99.7%, Bal 99.0%, NYY 98.1%, Cle 95.0%, Atl 92.8%, Mil 90.4%, Min 86.0%

    Tier 2 buyers because still a good chance:
    SD 66.2%, Hou 61.3%, Sea 49.8%, Bos 47.0%, St.L 46.0%,

    Tier 3 the next 3 weeks will tell:
    KC 33.7%, NYM 32.8%, Ari 30.5%, Cin 24.6%,

    Tier 4 Need to win a lot the next 3 weeks:
    SF 14.6%, Tex 14 3%

    Tier 5 all but eliminated, likely sellers
    TB 7.1%, Pit 6.8%, ChC 6.2%, Det 4.4%, TOR 3.3%

    Tier 6 It's over sell and hope for next year:
    Was 1.4%, LAA 0.1%, ChW 0.03%, Col 0.03%, Mia 0.03%, Oak 0.03%
     
    Xerobull and Rock Block like this.

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