Tilman says Rockets goal is to reach 50 wins

BigBum · Feb 21, 2019

I think Tillman’s goal is not 65 wins next season either.
With Paul and gordon declining so much, it needs miracle.

peleincubus · Mar 24, 2019

goal achieved?

YOLO · Apr 8, 2019

oogie boogie said: ↑

If they want to get 50 wins then they need to win about 77% of the games they're supposed to win (teams under .500) and about 60% of the games that are going to be tough (teams above .500)

remaining under .500 teams:

@ Lakers
Hawks
@ Hornets
Miami
@ Dallas
Hornets
Suns
Timberwolves
@ Hawks
@ Grizzlies
@ Pelicans
Knicks
Suns

I would say the bolded games are the ones that Houston has no business losing. That would be 7/13 or 53.8%. That means the Rockets would need to win at least 3 more of those games that aren't bolded. Would have to go 3/6 against Lakers, Hornets twice, Miami, Wolves, and Pelicans. If the Rockets are serious about winning then they should be able to go 10/13 against these teams. Pelicans and Wolves should be easy wins. Beat the Hornets once or Miami.

remaining over .500 teams

@ Warriors
@ Celtics
@ Raptors
76ers
Warriors
Spurs
@ Bucks
Nuggets
Kings
@ Kings
Clippers
@ Thunder

The Rockets have 6 home games and 6 away games. If you can go 4/6 at home and 3/6 on the road then that gives you a 58.3 win percentage. Those 7 wins plus the 10 away games is 17 wins. 17 plus the 33 and that would be 50 wins. Simple, right? The problem is that the Rockets are boneheaded and make things more difficult than they should be. If the remaining home games I think the Rockets should be able to beat the Spurs, Kings, and Clippers. That leaves 76ers, Warriors, and Nuggets, and we would need to win one of those. Nuggets should be the one we should win since we are a match-up nightmare against them.

Of the remaining 6 away games the only one that looks easy is the Kings game even though they'll be hungry for the 8th seed. After that we only need to win 2 more. Warriors, Celtics, Raptors, Bucks, and Thunder. None of those will be easy, but if the Rockets can't go 2/5 against those teams they don't deserve 50 wins anyways.

so here's the plan-for-50-wins:
Go 10/13 against sub-500 teams:
Go 4/6 at home against 500-plus teams:
Go 3/6 on the road against 500-plus teams:

And I mean that in the must-win way. Ideally, I would love Houston to go 11/13, 5/6 and 4/6, and think that they could if they're as good as they think they are. That would mean Houston would go 20-5, but the chance of the Rockets suddenly focusing now isn't too likely. 17-8 seems like the best case scenerio honestly. Chances are they finish 15-10 and with 48 wins. And blame it on injuries instead of lack of focus or effort. Their record would reflect how good the Rockets actually are.
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and in conclusion, record says that rockets are really good

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Tilman says Rockets goal is to reach 50 wins

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