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The Cost of the War on Terrorism

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by giddyup, Jun 7, 2005.

  1. Sishir Chang

    Sishir Chang Member

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    "Nightmare casting" is exaclty what you're doing. You're going through revisionist speculative exercises to come up with all sorts of justifications to support different premises.

    1. Saddam might be cooperating with Al Qaeda so we have to invade.
    2. No Saddam was an enemy of Al Qaeda so we have to invade before they take him out.

    Each time the premise is changed to support the result.

    This isn't good policy this its a fishing expeditions to come up with some justification that sticks. There's nothing wrong with that in itself except that as you note at the begining of this thread there is a costs.

    I don't know about you but for me I'm very uncomfortable with the idea that people are willing to support sending our troops into battle based upon wildly speculative nightmare casting.
     
  2. giddyup

    giddyup Member

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    We partnered wih Saddam years before Gulf War I which ended in 1991. To talk about re-partnering with him subsequently is beyond the pale. Just because we have had unholy alliances in the past doesn't mean that we have to take up every one that comes along. Maybe GWB is better than other past presidents about avoiding these entrapments.

    I only hypothsized the idea of getting Saddam first as a plausible explanation for the Admin's aggressiveness in going into Iraq. I have no evidence but it could explain the actions that have been taken.
     
  3. giddyup

    giddyup Member

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    I don't have time to go back right now and research the 203SOTU, but you have taken a couple of lines out of a very long section of the speech that deals with Saddam.

    There is much more that this speech addresses.
     
  4. giddyup

    giddyup Member

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    No it is not.

    The first is based upon Saddam's initiative. AQ would "use" Saddam if it furthered their cause. Then they would slit his throat.

    The second is based upon AQ's initiative.

    Both are valid. Both could be realized in sequence. Both serve to enhance the opporunity to damage the US.

    Both are but possibilities and they are not mutually exclusive- except that you can't depose Saddam before you use his reach for your own ends.
     
  5. Sishir Chang

    Sishir Chang Member

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    Giddyup;

    Your speculation points out another thing. The fact that a war supporter like yourself is putting forward an argument that hasn't even been hinted at by the Admin. shows how weak their argument is if even supporters of the policy feel the need to speculate on their own.
     
  6. Sishir Chang

    Sishir Chang Member

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    This is even more wildly speculative. Now Saddam would use AQ and then they would slit his throat.

    No offense but this is sounding more and more like a Tom Clancy novel. You're presuming several things that there is very little evidence to support.
    So again it all comes down to getting rid of Saddam. You're trying to make arguments fit the results. It seems to me that you're saying it doesn't really matter what reason there is for getting rid of Saddam as long as we do it.
     
  7. giddyup

    giddyup Member

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    That's not the motivation. I'm just showing those who are satisfied to ascribe a profit motive to the war that there are logical security reasons to have made a pre-emptive strike against Iraq.

    Unlike many of you, I am claiming no special knowledge... :rolleyes:
     
  8. FranchiseBlade

    Supporting Member

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    It isn't about special knowledge. It is about what the administration said, what the results are, what the administration's actions have been to those who were correct, and what their actions have been to those who were wrong but still stood by the false claims, and painted the best possible scenario for going to war. It is about the studies, and conclusions reached by folks appointed by this very same whitehouse, and those reached by the military.

    Of all those studies, and conclusions, as well as those by people appointed by more independent organizations not one of them show that Iraq was a threat to the U.S. Not one of them shows that Saddam was in danger of being toppled by Al Qaeda or working with Al Qaeda. None of that has been shown by Bush's own appointed overseers, and commissions.

    You don't need any 'special knowledge' just look at the knowledge this administration and our military have provided. That is all you have to do.

    The end result is that Saddam wasn't a threat to the U.S.
     
  9. giddyup

    giddyup Member

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    No, AQ would use Saddam and then slit his throat... you've got it backwards.

    Yes, I'm speculating on rationale. Is it possible that Saddam could have quietly assisted a lone terrorist to harm the US? Yes. Is it more possible that he would do that than, say, the King of Sweden? Yes again. So picking on Saddam was not arbitrary? No it was not.

    There is no speculation that we (and a lot of other people) wanted Saddam out of Iraq. Actually, almost everybody wanted Saddam out of Iraq; it was just a question of who would be willing to pay the price to do so.

    I'm just working the problem backwards and interpolating some thinking that may have gone on.
     
  10. giddyup

    giddyup Member

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    Again, I think it depends on your timeline, your overall appaisal of the situation and your overall plan to stabilize the Middle East.
     
  11. FranchiseBlade

    Supporting Member

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    I don't believe any report has listed him as a credible threat to the U.S. under any timeline. He was easily defeated in the early 90's. His military at the time of the Bush II's invasion was only at about half the capability it was at that time of GWI, and at this point Saddam had no WMD's, a no fly zone over the northern, and southern chunks of his nation, heavy surveilence, with inspectors given access again inside the country, and potential for even closer surveilence to be ongoing. Nobody has suggested a timeline where he woudl be a threat to the U.S. except for Bush when lied about the IAEA report, and then subsequent reports in which Bush claimed that Saddam was 6 months away from a nuke.

    No other report that I am aware of provides a future timeline where somehow Saddam was a threat.
     
  12. Sishir Chang

    Sishir Chang Member

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    Unlike many anti-war people I don't believe oil was a primary factor. It was a factor but not the primary IMO. My own belief is that the motivations were mostly political.

    That said though you are claiming special knowledge by going beyond any Admin. stated reasons for invading Iraq and offering a whole new explanation.

    You're doing exactly what you criticize others by speculating on something that no one in the Admin has publically stated as a plausible reason for invading Iraq.
     
  13. Sishir Chang

    Sishir Chang Member

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    Yes, that's exactly what I said. You're creating arguments to fit the results.

    To me that's a sign of how much the Admin. has failed to make their case when even war supporters have to go backwards to come up with justifications for the invasion that the Admin hasn't made. It just shows how little people buy the stated arguments of spreading democracy and finding WMD's.
     
  14. giddyup

    giddyup Member

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    I'm just forwarding what might be unarticulated background. I'm not doing it out of necessity I'm doing it just to offer some plausible BIG PICTURE ideas that easily supplant the Bush as Oil Pimp or the Bush as Christian Crusader caricatures.

    I think after two years of watching Bush be eviscerated here, I'm due some fantasizing of my own. It's just play and not my constant carping.
     
  15. Sishir Chang

    Sishir Chang Member

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    But don't you think if they were that plausible in the Big Picture the Admin. themselves would've put them forward to convince the large percentage of the US and World who are skeptical?

    I'm not one to deny your fantasizing, fantasize all you want I'm doing it right now about Fergie's abdominals. Just saying that whether you feel compelled or not that you're calling it plausible shows that on some level you feel the Admin's rationals are weak since they've never brought it up or you wouldn't have bothered bringing it up in a debate.
     
  16. giddyup

    giddyup Member

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    Leadership takes the longer view. The people need and want immediacy. Forgive the generalizations but they are realistic.
     

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