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The Art of the Long View 2005

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by Tango, Mar 14, 2005.

  1. KeepKenny

    KeepKenny Member

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    Wow, these are even better than last season's. I have been looking forward to them for quite a while now. Great job, Tango.
     
  2. Bobliu

    Bobliu Member

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    Interesting stuff...

    According to the trend, the Rockets will be the 5th seed with a possiblity og being the number 4 seed. ...
     
  3. arno_ed

    arno_ed Member

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    looks great Tango.
    I'm surprised the Rsquare is that high, but why is the Rsquare the same for them all?
     
  4. swilkins

    swilkins Member

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    Great job. Nice perspective.
     
  5. Tango

    Tango Member

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    Hey guys - thanks for all the compliments. I was hoping there would be more discussion about observations. Maybe everyone is still soaking it in :D!

    I've toyed around with doing this for all NBA teams through the course of the season but alas real life gets in the way since the process is pretty manual! If anyone knows how I can contact a group like Stats Inc. etc. please give me a holler. I've been unsuccessful. It would be nice to get the stats dumped as a flat file or pulled from a database or something instead of copying and pasting from websources like I have to do right now.

    ----------
    arno_ed:

    Thanks for catching the r-squared values. Silly MS Excel. The graphs are correct but the r-squared values don't change unless you tell Excel to disable the r-squared display and then re-enable it again.

    Here are the actual r-squared values:

    Rockets: .9432
    Spurs: .9929
    Suns: .9825
    Sonics: .9874
    Mavericks: .9743
    Kings: .9596
    Grizzlies: .9602
    Lakers: .6653

    The Lakers r-squared puzzles me since their W/L line is relatively flat. That's about the highest r-squared I could get using Excel.
     
  6. ROCKET!!!

    ROCKET!!! Member

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    Man,
    If you study this closely enough it give ahigh degree of truth to JVG's claim that we have the toughest remaining schedule. Our moving average is below .5. That is even after our latest road swing.

    The trend also shows how well we play against above .500 teams, whic, barring the Howard injury, bodes well for us to finish strong.

    Nice Work.
     
  7. Win

    Win Member

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    Tango, I remember these charts from last year but did not really know that was what I was clicking on to by your thread title. What with the JH injury even I almost missed this thread. I imagine there are quite a few who are missing your excellent post. Thanks, I love this stuff .

     
  8. vwiggin

    vwiggin Member

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    I love the Laker's flatlining visual. :D

    Great job!
     
  9. tituspan

    tituspan Member

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    Yeah, I understand. It's gonna make the graph messy and probably very hard to read.
    I was thinking may be apply different weights for teams. but that would be highly subjective.
     
  10. Plowman

    Plowman Member

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    Looks like we're about to go blue sky and set a new 52 week high.
     

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