Altuve 25-30 HR, OPS .920 OPS+ 160 Peña 30-40 HR, OPS .960 OPS+ 160 Alvarez 40-50 HR, OPS 1.05 OPS+ 190 Bregman 30-40 HR, OPS .950 OPS+ 160 Tucker 30-40 HR, .850 OPS+ 140 Abreu 20-30 HR, OPS .850 OPS+ 140 Brantley 15-25 HR, OPS .800 OPS+ 125 McCormick 20-30 HR, OPS .750 OPS+ 120 Maldonado 10-20 HR, OPS .600 OPS+ 75
That is wildly optimistic on Pena. Everybody else looks reasonable. I will be very (pleasantly) surprised if Pena ever hits >30 HR or bats >.275.
I was trying to coordinate with the BA predictions of the post I was responding to so OB% seemed best. FYI OPS+ changes from year to year based on different factors. One-year a .700 OPS could = 110 OPS+ Another it could be = 90 OPS+ It's based on league average. Example; Yuli 2019 .884 OPS = 126 OPS+ Yuli 2021 .846 OPS = 131 OPS+
I’m a believer in Peña’s power and his mechanics. Over the last 1/4 of his AB (postseason included) he hit 10 HR, 8 2B, 1 3B and carried an OPS of 1.024.
I love Pena and will enjoy watching him the next 5 years and hopefully more. That said, I expect him to settle in as a slightly better than average hitter with exceptional defense which is fine with me. A 30 HR season would not surprise me but a 35 HR season, or multiple 30 HR seasons would. I expect him to average 22-25 HR with a slightly low average, low OB%, and slightly above average SLG and OPS due to high doubles and triples numbers. 3+ gold gloves maybe a platinum glove with a couple all star selections. No silver sluggers though. Much better than average overall player but not MVP calibur
I'm just glad Yuli was the starting 1B on a championship team. He certainly carried his weight in the playoffs against top tier pitching when it mattered most.
With the pitching staff as it sits, I am fine. However if Garcia or Urquidy ( or SURPRISED BY a different starter) are traded. How would you guys feel about bringing Greinke back? He NEEDS a ring. He had a solid but unspectacular season. 17th season in a row with ERA+ over 100. Much better than MLB avg HR and BB per 9 Dependable if no longer great Relies on defense so should improve in Houston. With KC signing Lyles it looks like he needs a place to pitch and he knows this team and culture. May want to chase a ring and could be ultimate #5 starter.
I think we are still paying him deferred payments. https://www.spotrac.com/mlb/houston-astros/cash/ Yep. $12.5M.
I don't know that he's a good fit. He doesn't eat innings or go deep into games, he wouldn't start for the Astros in the playoffs, and he's not the power-pitcher type that you want to move to the bullpen during a playoff run. He's good injury insurance for the regular season, but probably doesn't even make a playoff roster barring major SP injuries. edit: in your scenario, if they go with a 6 man rotation in the regular season, he'd be fine in that role. But don't want him getting in the way of our other starters who need to start regularly and get experience pitching 150+ innings a year.
I agree with all this. Barring injury I would not expect him on the playoff roster and don't want him at all unless one of the current 6 projected starters is traded or hurt. He's JAG at this point but IF and ONLY IF a veteran starter is needed I can think of many worse. I would love to see him get a ring And he is always fun to watch
The Mets Will Soon Become The Most Hated Team In Baseball What was the Evil Empire before Darth Vader? Sure, they were lurking in the shadows with Senator Palpatine pulling all of the strings. But it was not until he turned Anakin Skywalker to the Dark Side that Palpatine was able to show his true nature to take over the galaxy and rule it with an iron fist. This is exactly what we just saw play out in the dark of night when Steve Cohen pulled off the biggest stunner of the offseason, swooping in to sign Carlos Correa to a 12-year, $315 million deal to play third base next to his $341 million shortstop, Francisco Lindor. https://www.justbaseball.com/mlb/the-mets-will-soon-become-the-most-hated-team-in-baseball/ More than the Stros???
I was just thinking the other day that it feels like a while since I've seen a trade that involves a PTBNL. I thought maybe that concept had been removed from the CBA or something. Always felt like such an odd concept that I think only baseball does.
