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Texans @ Bills

Discussion in 'Houston Texans' started by Castor27, Sep 6, 2005.

  1. Tdogg

    Tdogg Member

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    Houston wins 12-10

    K. Brown with 4 field goals

    Bills with 1 TD and 1 FG
     
  2. The Cat

    The Cat Member

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    Out of curiousity, do you think Carr struggled last year, when he was in the top half of the league in QB rating? Because unless you think he'll decline (which doesn't have a lot of precedent), I don't see how the Texans have a "struggling" quarterback.
     
  3. The Real Shady

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    Besides the misinformation about Wong being a OLB a decent read on the Texans/Bills game.

    http://proxy.espn.go.com/nfl/scouting?gameId=250911002

    Can Carr, Texans handle Bills?By Scouts, Inc.


    Why To Watch
    Both teams have playoff aspirations and need to get off to a fast start in tough divisions. Expectations are high in Houston, and head coach Dom Capers could start feeling heat if the Texans start slow. QB David Carr has improved steadily each season, and the Texans believe he is poised to make big strides this year after the team simplified the offense.
    For the Bills, it will be interesting to watch the changeover from pocket passer Drew Bledsoe to the more mobile and athletic J.P. Losman. The Bills have explosive offensive playmakers in RB Willis McGahee and WR Eric Moulds, and they ranked second overall defensively in yards allowed last season. If the defense can hold form and Losman can spark the offense, Buffalo could be an intriguing team to watch.


    When the Texans have the ball
    Rushing: Texans offensive coordinator Chris Palmer is a firm believer that you must have balance in your offense in order to survive in this league -- especially with a young quarterback. With four of five starters returning on the offensive line and a year of experience in the zone-blocking schemes, the offense must be focused on attacking downhill against the Bills' front seven.

    RB Domanick Davis is a versatile ballcarrier who plays in both regular and sub packages. He is a tough, downhill, zone runner with the ability to be effective on both inside and outside running plays. Davis has exceeded expectations and is developing into a frontline runner, but he must protect the ball in critical situations in this game. FB Moran Norris is the top blocker for Davis, and the Texans will utilize backup RB Jonathan Wells and TE Matt Murphy as Norris' backups, which gives them more versatility to attack the Bills' athletic linebackers.

    Buffalo defensive coordinator Jerry Gray employs an attacking defense out of a 4-3 scheme. The Bills' run defense was stout last year, allowing 100.3 yards per game and improved from last in the league in takeaways in 2003 (18) to first in '04 (39).

    The biggest concern facing the Bills in the front seven is the departure of DT Pat Williams to Minnesota. RDT Ron Edwards started all 16 games two seasons ago and registered 68 tackles; he is listed as the starter opposite LDT Sam Adams, who does an excellent job of clogging up the middle against the run. Edwards has good size, but he's still a little raw in his technique and needs to play with more consistency. The Bills linebacker corp starts its third consecutive season together and is led by MLB London Fletcher and WLB Takeo Spikes -- both very active players the Texans must slow down.

    Passing: The Texans' goal this offseason was to keep developing as an offensive unit and to simplify the passing attack with shorter drops and quicker routes. No quarterback in the past three seasons has been sacked more than Carr (140 sacks). Carr must be patience and make good decisions with the ball against an aggressive defense that brings pressure from everywhere on the field. He must be strong in his progression reads, take what the defense is giving him and not force throws into double coverage. RB Davis -- a quality receiver out of the backfield -- could play a critical role in these situations.

    Look for Buffalo's defensive staff to match DC Nate Clements on WR Andre Johnson due to Terrance McGee's height deficiency. In sub packages, FS Troy Vincent has the versatility to move down and cover the slot receiver, depending on Johnson's alignment. SS Lawyer Milloy is a smart, instinctive player who does his best work when matched up in short zones rather than deep zones. Buffalo's rise in takeaways from an NFL-low 18 to a league best 39 was triggered by an improved pass rush, led by second-round picks Chris Kelsay and Ryan Denney, who combined for 7.5 sacks to complement Aaron Schobel's 8 sacks.

    When the Bills have the ball
    Rushing: Head coach Mike Mularkey has molded the Bills into a power-running team. They will depend heavily on RB Willis McGahee and FB Daimon Shelton to take pressure off of first-year starting QB Losman, using the run to set up the pass against the Texans.

    The Bills will attack behind RT Mike Williams, RG Chris Villarrial and OC Trey Teague to create run seams off front-side zones. They must also hold their blocks on the backside to insure possible cutbacks plays. Don't be surprised if McGahee carries the ball more than 30 times in this game and the Bills try and hammer away at an inexperienced linebacker corp.

    The Texans 3-4 defensive front requires the linemen to stay square, hold the line of scrimmage and control their gap responsibilities, which allows the linebackers to get downhill and force the run. Expect the Texans to use some different alignments in their 3-4 and some run blitzes to force Buffalo to run east-west and not north-south.

    Projected starting SS Glenn Earl has been sidelined during training camp with a separated shoulder, and though rookie sixth-round pick C.C. Brown has made a strong case for the starting position, this could be concern in the run defense.

    Passing: Offensive coordinator Tom Clements and QB coach Sam Wyche must simplify things and limit the options in the passing game in order to get the best results out of Losman. The second-year QB brings less experience than Bledsoe, but he's a better athlete and has much more mobility outside the pocket. The Bills' offensive line has been a work in progress over the last few years but made strides last season under offensive line coach Jim McNally. The Bills allowed only 15 sacks over the final 10 games and 38 for the year.

    Houston defensive coordinator Vic Fangio believes in an attacking 3-4 defense that keeps offenses off balance by bringing pressure from different areas of the field. The Texans are a zone-blitz team and do a very good job of mixing up coverages and personnel groupings in nickel situations. But they were 23rd in defense last season and at or near the bottom in two key categories: Percentage of QB sacks per opponent passing attempts, and TD passes allowed. The Texans must pick the right situations in which to get pressure on Losman and force him to make poor decisions they can capitalize on to gain good field position.

    A critical mismatch Fangio will take advantage of in sub situations is either OLB Kailee Wong or OLB Jason Babin vs. Buffalo LT Mike Gandy. Also, look for first round pick Travis Johnson to be a force inside in passing situations. Gandy, the former Bears starter, replaces Jonas Jennings at tackle but would be a better fit at guard. DC Dunta Robinson has the ability to develop into a shutdown corner and could match up in the slot vs. Eric Moulds in sub situations. However, WR Lee Evans can make explosive plays in the passing game.
     
  4. Phillyrocket

    Phillyrocket Member

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    Damn forgot about that Chargers debacle last year..... oh well time to start a new streak!
     
  5. DaDakota

    DaDakota Balance wins
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    Bills up 36-3 early in the 3rd quarter, and the Texans rally to win 38-36....

    :)
     
  6. swilkins

    swilkins Member

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    Peek will unleash his freak on Losman the geek.

    Texans 20
    Bills 13
     
  7. Rockets10

    Rockets10 Member

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    Any idea what the Vegas odds are for over/under on wins for the Texans this season?
     
  8. PhiSlammaJamma

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    Pitts was just on espn radio. Said more wins then last year. Going to steakhouse tonight andwill have like 2 steaks. Said he used to work in grocery store and met some football players going for beer, who then got him a tryout in Div 1. Just got paid today and happy.
     
  9. Mooch

    Mooch Member

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    this is the year the texans will be doing trades/firing coaches/releasing players if it doesnt go there way..
     
  10. wesnesked

    wesnesked Member

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    7.5 wins for the season

    Texans 17
    Bills 24
     
  11. nigma2000

    nigma2000 Member

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    Texans win 3:2 on Brown's last second field goal. Buffalo takes the lead early on from a safety but the Texans rally in the fourth quarter with the huge three points.

    Both offense pathetic on opening day of season.
     
  12. RunninRaven

    RunninRaven Member
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    Oddly enough, this is the most uncertain I have ever been about this Texans team going into a season. In their 4th season of existence, you'd think they'd be finalizing some kind of identity or feel, but instead I feel like any number of teams could show up Sunday. It could be the scrappy team that beat Dallas 19-10 in their first game, gutting out a victory with little to work with. Or it could be either of the two teams that showed up in our last two preseason games. I don't know...I'll predict a Texans win just because I am a fan...but I really have no strong sense one way or another how this team will perform come gameday.
     
  13. Rocketman95

    Rocketman95 Hangout Boy

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    I think it's because our expectations have risen. Now that we expect a playoff team, as fans we can't approach the season or each game happy that we have a team. Now that we know we'll be terribly disappointed if we don't have a successful season, it's harder to get a take on what they will or can do.

    I go from 10-6 to 6-10 every hour. Right now, I look at Carr, DD, and AJ and think 10-6.

    Houston 17
    Buffalo 9
     
  14. mateo

    mateo Member

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    I have a really bad feeling about this game.
    Maybe I am still gunshy from another Buffalo game which scarred me for life.
     
  15. The Real Shady

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    Well, you don't have to worry about the Texans blowing a 33 point lead because I don't think they are capable of scoring 33 points in the first place.
     
  16. The Real Shady

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    More analysis from Scouts, Inc.

    Take 2: Texans vs. BillsBy Scouts, Inc.


    Houston at Buffalo Matchups
    QB RB WR OL DL LB DB ST Coach Overall



    Tuesday, our scouts filed their advance advance scouting report on this week's matchup between the Texans and Bills. Now they're back with a second look.

    This will be an extremely difficult early test for the Texans to find out where they are mentally. The last time they took the field in a game with any meaning, they were booed off their home field after getting it handed to them by a Cleveland Browns team that was spiraling out of control and had absolutely nothing to play for. This is a must-win season for fourth year head coach Dom Capers. In watching tape of the last game of the 2004 season, it was very clear that his team quit on him. If the Texans struggle and there are any signs of quitting early on this season, Capers will be lucky to make it to the end of the season.
    Despite ranking 29th in the NFL last season in sacks allowed (49 total), the Texans did very little to upgrade their offensive line this offseason. The only addition to the starting unit is UFA Victor Riley, a much better run blocker than pass blocker. Riley does not figure to be much of an upgrade in pass protection over Seth Wand, so give offensive coordinator Chris Palmer some credit for re-tooling their offensive system this past offseason. Expect to see David Carr taking shorter 3- and 5-step drops and getting rid of the ball a lot quicker. This should help Carr get in a better rhythm and improve his confidence and completion percentage.

    The Bills defense finished the 2004 season ranked second overall (seventh vs. the run and third vs. the pass). Defensive coordinator Jerry Gray and the entire Bills defense are one of the more underrated units in the NFL. Expect this unit to pick up right where it left off in 2004. This is a blitz heavy, hard-hitting unit that will come after Carr the minute he steps between the numbers. Look for the Bills to blitz early and often as they try to disrupt the timing of the Texans quick pass offense. Blitzing will also make it very difficult for the Texans and their marginal offensive line to get into a flow in the run game.

    The biggest concern for the Bills offense right now is the quarterback position. J.P. Losman will be the triggerman early on, but the Bills may not stay with him if he struggles. According to sources in the Bills camp, head coach Mike Mularkey would prefer to go with the veteran Kelly Holcomb, while the front office prefers playing their draft choice Losman. One thing is for certain -- Holcomb clearly outplayed Losman in the preseason, so expect Mularkey to have a short leash on Losman in this game. Nothing frustrates a good defense like ineptitude by an offense, and Mularkey may find the natives getting a little restless should the Bills offense struggle to move the ball through the air.

    Houston's defense finished the 2004 season ranked a respectable 13th vs. the run. They will be put to the test in this one as they will get a heavy dose of RB Willis McGahee as the Bills offense attempts to take some pressure off of Losman. The Texans have undergone major changes to their linebacker unit this offseason and veterans Jay Foreman and Jamie Sharper are no longer with the team. This is going to be an extremely young unit that will struggle early in the season. The Texans will be geared up to stop the run, so look for Buffalo offensive coordinator Tom Clements to use a lot of different formations, shifts and motion in their run game as to confuse the young Texans linebacker core.

    For the Texans to have any chance to pull an upset here, RB Domanick Davis is going to have to carry the load. While MLB London Fletcher is excellent in run support, he can be a liability at times in coverage. Look for Palmer to try to get Davis isolated on Fletcher in man coverage. Davis, who has soft hands and runs good routes, is an excellent safety valve receiver coming out of the backfield. He is shifty and can make the Bills linebackers miss in space. Davis needs 35-plus touches in this game if Houston is going to pull the upset.

    The Texans know they don't have the offensive line to physically dominate the front 7 of the Bills. Look for the Texans to try to spread the field offensively and run out of three- and four-receiver packages. This will spread out the Bills linebackers and give Davis more room to operate between the tackles. If the Texans line up with standard personnel (2 RB/2 WR/1 TE), they will be playing right into the hands of the Buffalo fefense.

    Texans defensive coordinator Vic Fangio is a big believer in zone blitz concepts. The Texans ranked dead last in 2004 in sacks with 24, and they did not have one player with more than six. That said, he knows he needs to get pressure on Losman in this game. Look for the Texans to bring extra pressure in this game via the safety blitz. Nothing bothers a young quarterback more than pressure coming right into his face. They must pick their spots and be disciplined though -- Losman is a good running quarterback capable of picking up first downs with his feet.

    Special Teams
    When you talk about special teams, nobody's are more "special" than the Buffalo Bills. They finished 2004 ranked second in kickoff returns, fifth in punt returns, and second in kickoff coverage. Kickoff return man Terrence McGee averaged 26.3 yards per return and had three touchdowns. The punt returning duo of Nate Clements and Jonathan Smith each scored a touchdown. Houston must contain their explosive return units if they have any chance of pulling an upset in this one.

    Buffalo also has the advantage in the kicking game. Houston PK Kris Brown has been plagued by inconsistency and was only 10 of 17 last season outside of 30 yards. That is a poor percentage for a kicker that has the comforts of Reliant Stadium. Bills PK Rian Lindell was 24 of 28 last season. While his accuracy is solid, he does not have the big leg. That could be a factor if the wind is blowing in off the lake. PT Brian Moorman is one of the best young punters in the NFL and gets the nod over Houston's Chad Stanley.

    Matchups


    Buffalo MLB London Fletcher vs. Houston RB Domanick Davis

    Houston LOT Victor Riley vs. Buffalo RDE Aaron Schobel

    Buffalo DC Nate Clements vs. Houston WR Andre Johnson

    Houston DC Dunta Robinson vs. Buffalo WR Eric Moulds

    Houston OC Steve McKinney vs. NT Sam Adams

    Scouts' Edge
    In some ways this game has mismatch written all over it, but the one X-factor that keeps this game closer than maybe some would expect is that Buffalo has an unproven, young quarterback in Losman.
    Carr on the other hand has shown steady improvement from year to year. He will face one of the best defenses in the NFL this week though, and he must take care of the ball and not give easy opportunities to an offensive unit that will be going through some growing pains. The outcome of this game will ride heavily on which team can run the football the most effectively against eight-man defensive fronts.

    Buffalo gets the nod here with a more consistent offensive line. This has all the making of a defensive battle or offensive struggle depending on how you want to look at it.

    Prediction: Bills 17, Texans 10

    http://proxy.espn.go.com/nfl/features/take2?gameId=250911002
     
  17. Jet Blast

    Jet Blast Member

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    Does anybody know who the CBS announcers will be for the game?
     
  18. rrj_gamz

    rrj_gamz Member

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    Texans win...In a close one...
     
  19. codell

    codell Member

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    We will have the "G" team I am sure (i.e. Steve Tasker and whoever their lowest rated PBP guy is)
     
  20. Blatz

    Blatz Member

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    I just hope they know it's the Houston Texans and not the Houston Titans, Houston Oilers, Houston Texas, Tennessee Texans, Tennessee Oilers and I think they have even said the Tennessee Titans before.



    Texans win.
     

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