Just watched the TV interview of the author. I am very surprised how young & humble he is. Props to his level-headness in analysis. =================================== Taiwan's Democracy is Dying A Readers Commentary Andrew Kuo 03/21/04: (ICH) -- The political party KMT (KuoMingTang) that is supported by the majority in the island is being hoodwinked by Chen Shui-bian's DPP (Democratic Progressive Party.) There are a number of suspicious events just prior and after the election day, namely, 1. a mysterious assignation attempt on Chen Shui-bian 17 hours before the voting commenced. It has been unclear to what had happened. The officials are unable to offer a reasonable scenario. The event clearly boosted president's support, and may very well be a setup. 2. The ballot advantage the president has in the resulting amount to merely 0.22% of the turn out of roughly 13 millions. What's more, the ballots that are invalid (improperly marked usually) are 3% of the overall vote. In other words, if only 10% out of the "invalid" votes for KMT are intentionally dismissed, the result of the vote is reversed. 3. A week before the polls conducted by medias have all shown outnumbered support for KMT, with margin 45% to 38% with remaining undecided. The polls are then stopped according to the election law. The ensuing week has events unraveling one after another all in favor of the KMT, because they show the degree of corruption that is going on for DPP in it's first 4 years of running the government. The resulting vote broke every expert's prediction, across the board. The polls conducted by medias have been ongoing for months, and have all shown similar levels of support throughout the campaign. (can be verified) 4. The act of shooting cannot be put together for a reasonable picture due to conflicting evidences, such as: 4.1 the crime scene took place when thousands of supports are cheering Chen's motorcade parade, on a narrow road surface that can barely fit two car width. Due to the turn out of the supporters, numbering 10s of thousands crowded in the street. 4.2 official investigator claims two shots fired, with a modified (home made) semi-auto pistol. Was able to land on both candidates, one shot each. Causing either of them minor wounds. Official deducts that since bullets and casing/shell's "trajectory" analysis indicate the weapon is homemade, the shot has to be in close distance (no more than 10m) in order to be this accurate. However, the culprit were able to fire not one but two shots, without anyone's noticing?? (10s of thousands were present) 4.3 more ridiculously, not even the president noticed being shot, he claims he didn't feel pain until 10 minutes later when the culprit has safely exit the scene (so no one has been caught yet). 4.4 talk about absurd, here is one more... one shot registered on the front windshield of the car Chen is in. Chen is in second row, another person sit in the front of him, who is a major or local city official, yet the magic bullet did not harm the this person. Nor did he notice it! Again! Until later when the president realized, oh!, I was shot, 10 minutes after shots were fired. You may want to re-read what I am describing because we just cannot believe this bold faced lie! 4.5 If you read more and see the photos of the parade, you will see the resulting wounds on both Chen and his VP candidate cannot be easily explained. Chen's belly was hit side way, opening a wound measuring 3/4 inch wide, 5 inch long, and 1/2 inch deep cut. So the bullet scraped him from right to left. But the bullet hole on the windshield indicate that the bullet should have penetrated his belly from head on direction. Not surprisingly, Officials developed a few versions to try and explain away the inconsistencies, e.g.. the bullet that made the hole on windshield is not the one hit the president, but hit the VP's right knee when she is sitting down at the time (angle, trajectory analysis make this seems impossible), or another version, the car is turning corner and president was waving sideway (this cannot be, because if the car is not moving on a straight line, the assassin cannot possibly made 2 hit out of 2 shots on each target, it's a miracle worthy of Tiger's two hole in one on 17th and 18th hole). 4.6 Sorry for keep going about the inconsistencies, because there are just way too many! 4.7 President Chen and officials said the bullet that scraped him actually enters his jacket, causing a clean wound (therefore evident of the bullet velocity) and then trapped by the same nylon jacket again! Magic jacket, it's not even Kevlar! 4.8 At the same time, the director/leading doctor of ER team of the hospital, was presenting the X-ray of the president to the press conference, with a metal object/implying bullets in the abdominal region of the person (supposedly Chen himself). This obviously can't make sense when 4.7 is claimed at the same time! 4.9 Chen was smiling as usual, waving to supporters without an slightest sign of discomfort. With a wound opening this large (0.75X5.0X0.5 inches!) and still able to carry out quite normally, is beyond comprehension. 4.10 the hospital where Chen sought emergency care is not a designated hospital in the emergency pre-planning for the emergency events such as this. At the same time, it is not the closest hospitals in the vicinity, but it's 6km away from where president realized he's shot. Two closer hospitals were there at the time. 4.11 Expectedly, the hospital treating Chen is decidedly pro-DPP, owned by pro-DPP corporation, Chi-Mei, this is acknowledged by the public if you ask anyone in Taiwan. The hospital's staff were notified on 3/18 to mobilize without reason. (shot took place on 3/19, whereas vote on 3/20) 4.12 Chen and officials claim the bullet that wounded him is trapped in the jacket. And they have stopped a bullet for Taiwan! How brave and equally patriotic on par with Bush's landing on carrier. 4.13 The wounds on both "victim" or "actors", are both minor, as acknowledged by Chen themselves, but the official did not announce the condition of the president and VP until 3 hours later, allow time for panic and rumors to run rampant. 4.14 No one is allowed to see Chen while being treated, and the operating room was sealed off, and the camera tapes is bared from release. 5. After the incident, Chen and his officials activated "GuaAnn" policies, or homeland security, so that the troops are put on high alert, and cannot leave their post. Maybe couldn't made the trip to their designated voting station next day. It is widely accepted that soldiers are among the most supportive for KMT and against Chen, because their parents and grand parents are the same group who fled to Taiwan in 1949 with ChiangKaiSheik when R.O.C. retreated from mainland. Chen effectively blocked them from voting for the KMT candidate. (I am not sure if Homeland Security was still in effect the next day, but it's very likely, hey why not?) 6. I would like to offer my own version of what might happened with the assassination. President Chen has a "blood pack" in his jacket pocket (used by Hollywood movies since 1930s?), activated by his conspirators. His 10min delayed realization could be either 1. he was nervous and didn't aware that the act is underway 2. He was nervous as to what to act, not enough rehearsal perhaps, and didn't act thinking through it moments later. So, the wound did not really register. They ferried him to a friendly, already secured hospital, locked him with all the security people inside emergency room. The real operation started. They lay him on the operation table, locally anesthetized abdominal area, and used a silenced gun to produce a side way wound scraping the belling to make it authentic. They have to show the wound somehow in later investigation, so they make the most doable fake shot - a perfect side way scratch! They collected the bullet, claim its found in Chen's jacket, saying look, the blood on the bullet matched. It's real. And during the 3 hours of frantic action within the operating room, various proposals of "story" were prepared, including a bullet showing X-ray by placing a bullet above Chen while taking a X-ray photo. This photo was later unwittingly presented when it shouldn't because the story they went with is supposed to be sideway scratching shot. Ironically, the culprit is not caught on camera anywhere during the usual continuous TV coverage of Chen's tour made possible by Chen's government resources. Then the culprit was able to get away unnoticed by thousands of people. The shells of his two shots were promptly found where he allegedly fired them. Those were of course dropped there by the aids, after the operating room operation. 7. By late afternoon, after circumstance clears up after the official announcement, one leading lady advocate at the KMT camp took the bait of questioning the alleged assassination, which is promptly and fiercely attacked by DPP's Taipei County head official (not Taipei City Mayor, who is KMT) for not being a patriot. The narrow lead of 8 to 10% enjoyed by KMT is prompted reduced to maybe 1 or 2 percent when DPP members engaged in an all-out mouth-to-mouth propaganda campaign. 8. By late evening, close to midnight, after Chen turned away KMT's candidate, Lien's request for visiting Chen and make sure he is alright, saying he already went to rest. But then he subsequently went to the TV station, and broadcast the message to the entire island, that he is strong and healthy, claiming the limelight all to himself in the nigh hour of election. 9. 16 hours later, election had completed, and counts were underway. The end result is Chen's vote (DPP) edged Lien (KMT) by mere 0.22% with invalid votes tally 3% of overall 13 million votes! Yet they went ahead and claimed victory after dust had settled. The opposition has been gentle in approaching the public with their message all along, cannot be shuffled anymore, and demand the recount and the sealing of all votes. But despite any recounting that might prove that Lien actually won narrowly, the damage is done, because Lien couldn't have gotten more de facto validation from the voting public. Finally, I want to tell the friends at Democracy Now, I am a avid follower of today's world events, also depend on your no non-sense daily coverage. I am aware that 911 is unsolved mystery too, that Iraq war and Afghan war are both preplanned, and has nothing to do with 911. At the same time, the daring policies implemented by US are out of the play book of the group called Neocons, with their "Project for New American Century" as the brain child and their think tank outlet. Please browse through their articles for analysis on China/Taiwan issues here http://www.newamericancentury.org/eastasia.htm You will see that, they completely support the referendum for Taiwanese independence, which is patented in DPP's party bylaw! The Neocons are hell bent on creating a East Germany for China, so the two can fight their death duel while the world look on, cheering privately. This is NOT what the majority of the Taiwanese people want (meaning at 55% or 60%), as demonstrated by the shoe-in referendum that held on the same day as the president election. The referendum asks Q1 "Should we buy more weapons from US to bolster our defense to counter Chinese threat?" And Q2 "Should we negotiate with Chinese for a peaceful resolution?" These two are ridiculous questions, if Taiwanese goes independence, Chinese will not negotiate, I even support such action, being a native Taiwanese. Nor will China drop their missile installation along the Taiwan Strait as a deterrent for such move by Taiwanese DPP supporters simply because the Q1 or Q2 referendum are passed! To expect so is naive! The voters demonstrated their intelligence by negating the validity of this referendum by not casting a vote at all. By legislation, when the voting turn out is less than half of eligible voters, the referendum is nullified, which is the case this time. Roughly 6.5 million people cast their referendum vote (including yes or no) out of eligible voter base of 16 million. In other words, the opposition party, KMT has successfully mounted a superb counter punch (with the help of the public) to prevent any flare-up in cross strait relationship. Saying all these is trying to point out, DPP share the same vision as US conspirators, the neocons, as evident in their past articles (see the link for yourself), and they are trying to take away democratic process, hijack it for their purpose, just as they do in the US, in Venezuela, Haiti, and countless other places! The world cannot let them succeed! The world has to wake up to this gross injustice being played on the Taiwanese people, this is a disgrace for a people who has been lauded as the light of hope of democracy to take root in Asia. The "Democratic Progressive Party" in the end will become the "Democratic Terminator Party"! President Chen, touted by supporters as "Son of Taiwan", has clearly failed in his tenure in the past four years to bring peace between China and Taiwan, justice for crimes and corruptions committed in the past, end of money corruption in government, his wife playing stock market making winning trades left and right while entire population lose! It would be an outrage for them to be able to steal the election away from people's true choice with a cheap shot, disgusting shooting drama. Please help, the faint flame of hope is dying!!! Please get the word out (after your own investigation) so the world and be the guardian of 22 million people on the island of Taiwan. By focusing the attention on Taiwan's unfair, unjust election, the world can help keep perpetrators at bay and honest in any recounting process, focusing a beam of light on those who have no respect for true democracy but a real intention on manipulating the public opinion for whatever their self-serving intentions might be. Please help spread the word and create entire world's outrage rightfully just as now the Bush's lies on Iraqi WMD are exposed and the people all over the world are demanding the truth! © 2004: Andrew Kuo. <kandrew@foundrynet.com>
he may be well-spoken. but he is certainly biased. and most of his allegations are quite simply baseless speculation. just take a quick look at the news, whether western (CNN, BBC - links provided in other thread), or Taiwanese (English version available here http://mactv.atlas.com.tw/english/main01.asp), and you'll see that most of this author's claims have already been disproven. and frankly i despise his attitude that just because his own candidate lost and because his own party is failing, that he considers taiwan's democracy at risk. smearing taiwan's good democratic name just to vent his frustration of defeat. someone needs to tell this sore loser "YOU LOST!!! DAMN IT! GO HOME! IT'S OVER!"