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Super Tuesday Predictions

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by Major, Feb 26, 2020.

  1. Major

    Major Member

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    We're less than a week from the day that could decide this whole thing, or the day that turns this into an even bigger mess. I'm going with the latter. My predictions:

    Biden: Alabama, Arkansas, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Virginia
    Bernie: California, Colorado, Utah, Texas, Vermont
    Warren: Massachusetts
    Amy: Minnesota

    Bernie wins his states big (California in particular), so he comes out with a delegate lead, but Biden wins the narrative battle due to the black vote and the deep south and is the comeback kid ... err, old guy. I suspect Amy and Steyer are non-factors and finally drop out. Pete, Bloomberg and Warren pick up delegates all over the place, denying anyone an outright majority. Warren or Pete may drop out, but I think both stay in a while longer in the hopes of being a compromise candidate at the convention. Pete seems like he's struggling more on the financial front than Warren, so if anyone drops out, I'd lean towards him.
     
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  2. justtxyank

    justtxyank Contributing Member

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    Biden desperately needs to win Texas.
     
  3. Corrosion

    Corrosion Member

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    Can't see that happening ..... just look at the numbers among us , who really wants Biden ?
     
  4. Major

    Major Member

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    Keep in mind that Biden supporters are generally not the demographic that use internet message boards.
     
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  5. HTM

    HTM Member

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    Idk Clutchfans seems full of milk hairs.
     
  6. ThatBoyNick

    ThatBoyNick Member

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    Bernie - California, Texas, NC, Virginia, Mass, CO, Utah, Maine, Vermont, Samoa

    Biden - Alabama, Tennessee

    Amy - Minny

    Up in the air for Biden/Sanders/Bloomy - OKC, Arkansas

    Pete, Warren, Amy, Steyer, Gabard, Pete should drop out after, not sure if the first 2 or 3 will. If Bloomy bombs he should drop out too. This race is Bernie's for the taking, with Biden as a dark horse right now.
     
  7. roxstarz

    roxstarz Member

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    Bernie will more than likely win all but Tennessee, Alabama, Minnesota, and Arkansas. I just don't see what Biden has to offer, I mean the guy has lost so much cognitive ability to the point where it's obvious. I really think that this is going to be a huge day for Bernie.
     
  8. Ottomaton

    Ottomaton Contributing Member
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    I predect nobody's going to be happy the next day.
     
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  9. Jayzers_100

    Jayzers_100 Member
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    I think anyone who doesn’t at least win one state on ST should drop out. Sure, Pete and Warren could finish second in a lot of contests (I think Warren May even lose MA to Bernie, he has a narrow lead in recent polls). But a win is a win is a win. If you have ZERO first place finishes after that huge day of contests, there’s no positive way to spin that. I guess Pete could say he “won” Iowa already so that counts. Warren, Steyer, and Bloomberg (if not more) will have to go. Otherwise Bernie is your 2020 democratic nominee
     
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  10. Corrosion

    Corrosion Member

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    I think the only one who has a chance to topple Bernie is Pete ..... and he's not my personal choice. Biden is just senile and we can all see it , no chance even if Obama came out and endorsed him.

    One would think that if the other moderates dropped out , that vote would coalesce behind one moderate candidate ... but I just don't know if that's factual in this race.

    So because of that , I'd prefer at least Pete , Warren , Biden and Bloomberg to stay in for the duration. Get us to a brokered convention and see which wing of the party has more support - moderates or socialists and let the DNC figure out who to nominate.

    I don't think you get to a brokered convention without Warren , Biden , Bloomberg and Pete minimum. Thin it down much more and I think Bernie walks in with the required delegates.

    I just don't want to be faced with the decision between financially bankrupting the country or morally bankrupting it in November. That's what Bernie Vs Trump is .... and you cant eat morals.
     
  11. Jayzers_100

    Jayzers_100 Member
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    I’d prefer it to be down to one or two vs. Bernie. Since there’s no clear lightning rod candidate, I at least want two others to reflect on besides Bernie. If someone else can’t get more delegates against Bernie head-to-head then either they don’t deserve it or we just honor the people’s choice. Simple as that. To be fair I don’t think Bernie will bankrupt us; I have enough faith that congress will check a lot of his goals. I just think the optics of Bernie is bad and doesn’t help down-ballot in key House/Senate races across the country. Bernie is simply easier to attack at face value. But I will always vote for him over Trump because Trump runs an illegal administration; his actions are per se unconstitutional. It’s democracy vs. Trump
     
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  12. Corrosion

    Corrosion Member

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    Yeah , I don't have that same faith ... Not when AOC and her clown posse would be appointed to major positions.
     
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  13. Jayzers_100

    Jayzers_100 Member
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    That’s AOC and like three others lol. AOC won her district because it’s New York and she’s a shiny new object. I don’t think she’ll ever represent the Democratic Party. And if she’s ever the norm that will be far in the future and maybe fiscally moderate people like you and I will have been proven wrong.
     
  14. Major

    Major Member

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    I think it's important that, at some point soon, Bernie goes head to head with an opponent. I don't want him meandering his way to a nomination winning 30% of the vote. If he can win 50%+ head to head with a moderate, more power to him and it adds credibility to his campaign. But if he gets nominated without ever having expanded his base, it's going leave endless questions and concerns for everyone down ballot heading into the election.
     
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  15. justtxyank

    justtxyank Contributing Member

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    I will either vote for him or Bloomberg
     
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  16. Corrosion

    Corrosion Member

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    Have you missed that she's organizing extremists like herself to challenge moderate dems for seats in the house and senate ?

    She's Bernie's right hand ....
     
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  17. Corrosion

    Corrosion Member

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    I'm not real concerned with the down ballot .... I want one party controlling the house and the other the senate - IDGAF which one has what but I don't want one party controlling both or God forbid all three including the presidency. We have to have some semblance of balance.

    But yeah , I get what you are saying and a lot of that boils down to the GE against Trump.

    I really don't want Bernie to be the candidate .... His idea's are just too far left for me.
     
  18. Deji McGever

    Deji McGever יליד טקסני

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    Minnesota for Klobuchar
    Alabama for Biden
    Tennessee a hard to call between Biden and Sanders
    Everything else for Sanders

    Even though Democratic primaries aren't winner-take-all like Republican ones, I think Bernie will widen the gap in delegate count.
     
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  19. FrontRunner

    FrontRunner Member

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    Biden: Alabama, Oklahoma, Tennessee (and SC)
    Bernie: American Samoa, Arkansas, California, Colorado, North Carolina, Texas*, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Maine
    Warren: Massachusetts
    Amy: Minnesota

    *Potential Biden victory

    (Full disclosure: I peeked at some polls)

    It's a tossup between Amy or Buttigieg as to which drops out at this point. They've both ran very good campaigns, Buttigieg especially so, but Buttigieg has no shot at victory, and the best Klobochar can hope for is to be Biden or Bloomberg's running mate at this point. It may actually benefit her to exit next.

    Edit: I forgot all about Steyer. He should be the next to go.
     
  20. KingCheetah

    KingCheetah Contributing Member

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    I wonder how much ST will be effected by the coronavirus? If cases start popping up nationwide I would expect a significant number of people staying home.
     

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