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Stratfor's step by step guide to taking a dump on Venezuelan sovereignty

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by Mathloom, Mar 4, 2013.

  1. Kojirou

    Kojirou Member

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    I'll actually note that my objection to socialism/communism IS philosophical more than economics, a subject about which I'm fairly ignorant about. But come on, Mathloon. Communism has not been well implemented enough to make an assessment? Seriously? Don't play the "It would have worked in the Soviet Union if it wasn't for Stalin" card on me.
     
  2. Mathloom

    Mathloom Shameless Optimist
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    I don't think either capitalism or socialism have been implemented well enough to make an assessment - just that capitalism has been implemented in the modern age long enough and by countries which have enjoyed plenty of sovereignty. This simply gives us better (but not perfect) data to make an assessment about capitalism vs communism.

    Ultimately, I think a system within which different markets are communist/capitalist/socialist based on their correlation with what we know to be human rights - would likely be the best system. I'm not one of those people who believes that a drop of capitalism destroys a communist market or a drop of communism destroys a capitalist market.

    Really we have no reason to believe that communism/socialism is less likely to achieve at least as fair an outcome as capitalism when all else is held constant (most importantly, political structure). I think most of the world doesn't believe that. For very understandeable reasons, it seems like a significantly larger majority of Americans DO believe that. This makes sense based on what we know about past campaigns to embed that thought into American psyche, and will dissapear in a decade or two when that generation of Americans is gone. Though a small example, Occuppy Wallstreet is still a good example of this. The socialistic views of that "movement" were unheard of in America between the 70's and now, and the age of people in the movement is significantly lower than the average age of those who vote every 4 years.

    All I'm saying is that in the absence of a massive propaganda campaign, people will be indifferent towards the two and I personally think that as capitalism creates a larger and larger "lower" class, socialism and communism will become far more appealing not because the outcome is necessarily just, but moreso as a remedy for the ills of capitalism.
     
  3. Kojirou

    Kojirou Member

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    The main problem I have there, Mathloon, is that you keep consistently conflating socialism/communism when the two are not the same. My problem with the two are very different, but your constant usage of the terms interchangeably makes it fairly difficult for me to quite understand your viewpoints. This is all the more so because while I can understand arguing socialism might work, I cannot fathom at all how you can look back at the history of the 20th century and think Communism would work.

    I will note, however, that citing OWS as an example of social change to me is bluntly hilarious. OWS had no possibility of change, as at the end of the days it was massively disorganized and largely compiled of the one social group which are the most irrelevant in these sorts of protests, students. I have no doubt that you believe that if it wasn't for the media and system, you think OWS would have done something...somehow, by sitting around in parks. I disagree.
     
  4. Mathloom

    Mathloom Shameless Optimist
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    Not sure where you're getting all this. I don't think socialism and communism are the same, nor that OWS is/was a possibility of change. I don't think anything was going to be achieved by just sitting around in parks.

    I do think OWS is a small example in the change of behavior of Americans which, from the 70's to OWS, consisted of far smaller pockets of similar behavior. I do think that Americans are far more curious about new ways to instigate change of the system rather than instigate change within the system.

    In short I see OWS as a precursor to a variety of non-capitalist movements in the future of different sizes, types and ideologies.
     
  5. Kojirou

    Kojirou Member

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    Then why do you keep switching back and forth on the terminology? You're using the words "socialism" and "communism" interchangeably, as you did in your earlier longish post and the fact that when I asked how you could possibly think Communism didn't get a fair shake, you began talking about socialism. You don't do that unless you think they're the same, so I'll admit it just plain confuses me.

    Correlation does not imply causation. Of course there will be future movements against the system of different sizes, types and ideologies That's what people do, they seek change in the result of various injustices, regardless of how important they truly are. OWS, however, hasn't sparked and isn't going to spark anything because of how disorganized it was and via that how disreputable it came to be.
     
  6. Mathloom

    Mathloom Shameless Optimist
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    I feel like we're arguing nothing here. Maybe I used them by mistake interchangeably re socialism communism + IMO OWS is a marker, and just a marker, for the shift from internal change to external change.

    The point I was initially trying to make was that a socialism or communism or any other system with a success story conflicts with the interests of succesful persons in a capitalistic country, and vice versa >> and hence there is a motive for succesful persons to to hold potentially succesful persons back. In that vein, there is a motive for the influencers of the US government (whoever we think they are) to abuse the Cuban and/or Venezuelan experiment, and historical events point to a direct pursuit of that motive even taking biased perspectives into account. Stratfor is not a smoking gun, but the history of US involvement in South America is a buttload of smoking guns, with Stratfor being the latest (IMO shameful) example which fits seemlessly into the now-vivid but always-classified strategy of the US government in South America.
     
    #66 Mathloom, Mar 6, 2013
    Last edited: Mar 6, 2013
    1 person likes this.
  7. rhadamanthus

    rhadamanthus Contributing Member

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    I personally doubt it. Not because it's not plausible, but because cancer is a hard thing to "fake". I do, however, find it interesting to think back on Chavez' progression from socialist savior to dictator to borderline-lunatic. I'd argue there are underlying factors in that timeline, most of which are not altogether surprising given the history of said locale.
     
  8. AroundTheWorld

    AroundTheWorld Insufferable 98er
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    Only an idiot would believe that. You're welcome.
     
  9. rhadamanthus

    rhadamanthus Contributing Member

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    Your persona as of late is rather unpleasent. Makes it hard to read your posts.
     
  10. AroundTheWorld

    AroundTheWorld Insufferable 98er
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    Sorry, but it's totally idiotic to insinuate that someone "infected Chavez with cancer".
     
  11. rhadamanthus

    rhadamanthus Contributing Member

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    Well yes...and it seems implausible that the Venezuelan government would say cancer if they had any reason to say "poison/nano-robot-death-army".

    I was speaking more generically.
     
  12. HayesStreet

    HayesStreet Member

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    Actually all or almost all of the regimes the US supported have transitioned to democracies. Soviet sponsored states are one and one I guess with Nicaragua and Cuba.

    As for Stratfor, we shouldn't forget that here in the US foreign companies can spend to influence elections (although it's hard to believe they were so stupid as to write some of this stuff in emails, lol). Sounds like a level playing field. Besides Chavez went out of his way to be a pain in the ass. He didn't have any problem invoking Citgo to influence US opinion.
     
    #72 HayesStreet, Mar 7, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Mar 7, 2013
  13. rhadamanthus

    rhadamanthus Contributing Member

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    I cannot express my level of "what the hell are you talking about" adequately.
     
  14. da1

    da1 Member

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    Reported
     
  15. AroundTheWorld

    AroundTheWorld Insufferable 98er
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    Don't forget the post after that one!
     
  16. HayesStreet

    HayesStreet Member

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    That's in response to the conclusion that historically, US interventions didn't leave room for optimism. I said that all the US sponsored states transitioned from dictatorships to democracies, so that's not so bad compared to those regimes that were communist, Nicaragua and Cuba. Further, there have been other interventions such as with Haiti where we've intervened to prevent strongmen (Namphy IIRC) from stopping elections.

    Whether or not you might be optimistic depends on your data set, I guess.
     

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