One theory is that a Hidden Hand (when given the opportunity) will push stocks down prior to Options week and then ramp things upward to catch people leaning the wrong way with the options that they had purchased. Options Calendar Sun...Mon...Tue...Wed...Thu...Fri...Sat ...9.......10.....11.......12.....13....14....15 .16.......17.....18.......19.....20...21.....22 .23.......24.....25.......26.....27...28.....29 .30.......31 March is also one of the Triple Witching Months. Triple witching: What that means and when to expect the next triple-witching date What is triple witching? Triple witching is the simultaneous expiration of important options and futures contracts on the third Friday of March, June, September and December. This event can cause increased trading activity and volatility on exchanges as traders close out contracts or prepare to exercise them. The three types of contracts that expire on triple-witching days include the following: Stock options: All stocks with available options have monthly option contracts that expire on the third Friday of the month. Stock index options: These options are based on major stock indexes such as the S&P 500 or the Nasdaq. Stock index futures: Futures contracts based on major indexes such as the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq also expire then. By the end of trading on that third Friday, investors must decide whether they’re going to hold their contracts through the close (with a potential exercise of the contract) or close them out. Traders may be closing out stock and index positions, closing out a hedge position matched to a contract or raising cash from other positions to fund their purchase of a contract’s deliverable. All of these actions can increase volume and volatility on that day. __________ Exploring the above suggests that Equities will muddle around the rest of this week and then will calm down at the end of the week, Then ramp upward next week (March 17 - 21) going into Options Expiration. Then the following Monday (March 24), there will be some volatility in the Morning as various strategies get reinstated or opened. Maybe they will and maybe they won't.
will be this coming Friday. i'll be watching closely at the triple-witching hour, the last hour of trading, for March 2025 I have been betting for a fall in Apple stock price, Todays' news confirming the delay in its AI developments dropped the price to ~226, down 13, a 5% drop. Having just dipped below the 200 DMA, as well as the current lower trading channel--- the current down trend has accelerated its downward momentum---hoping that it will close the 174 - 180 gap, that was created by the May 2024 trading action I'll settle for for another 10% drop, which would lower the stock price to just above 200
So when will Trump try and gut the FED so he can save the market? I know the FED is independent but maybe Trump doesn’t care
Powell isn't the new variable that has been inserted - introduced into the Simulation. Replacing him (or attempting to) now might not be the Cure. Jerome H. Powell first took office as Chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System on February 5, 2018, for a four-year term. He was reappointed to the office and sworn in for a second four-year term on May 23, 2022. WASHINGTON, Dec 18 (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve will conclude its final meeting of 2024 on Wednesday, and next year will likely be Fed Chair Jerome Powell's last full one at the helm of the U.S. central bank, with his four-year term due to expire in May of 2026.
a more popular / generally accepted gauge of market uncertainty/ fear has been the VIX (volatility Index); it (fear) has been trending since the Inaugural
Hilarious. Trump destroyed the economy within 3 months just like i predicted. His cultists are responsible for destroying the global economy
He shouldn't care at all. Unless he plans to run again (I fear they'll consider taking it to court on "consecutive term" interpretation) or the project 25 funding requires it of him. Also a bit worried this somehow plays into some sort of plan to pump his crypto shenanigans. With all that said, as much as I hate it and a lot of the policy bringing it about - this pretty much had to happen soon. I thought it would have been years ago to be honest. I'm still holding TMF. Lulz.
Inflation is still a thing and families earning under the 49% are being priced out and beginning to be overlooked by retailers A genuine correction could resolve some inflation issues, but the response...yeah not too optimistic it's in the right hands.
I'd love for Trump's brain to try and explain how consumers can "illegally and collusively [sic]" decide to not buy someone's crap. Kinda like mail order steaks, and diplomas, and such.
The funny thing is Trump buying a Tesla will only make people hate the car more with potential buyers lol. Conservatives aren't going to suddenly buy EVs. Anything Trump touches goes to ****
this may have contributed to why TSLA is up 6 to 228 today, but with less volume than yesterday. my 2 cents, according to the chart, since July 2024, lots of buying at the ~~~ 226 level; they want to get out while they're still profitable, however small it is. there is a wall street adage, "nothing good happens below the 200 dma, when support at that level has been broken". for TSLA that level of support was broken last Tues, it is still below that level. T I M B E R !!!
A 200 DMA is going to contain the high numbers from late 2024 and early 2025 for quite some time If it stays in the $220 - $230 range for a while, it will eventually get back over the 200 DMA........but not for a while.
