Yep, but that includes 1 more Houston v. New Orleans and 2 more Houston vs. Phoenix games. If the teams did not play each other (and could thus theoretically all win out) Houston would finish ahead of Phoenix and tied with NO and LA (and thus bring up the 3 way tiebreakers, which I don't feel like calculating). As far as the original topic, I agree with m_cable. His win% avg is the same basic idea as the Riley record, only it removes the skew caused by the unbalanced schedule (because it projects to the end of the season).
Sad that this thread is buried on the 2nd page already. Hard to find a thread by HP nowadays that is not either drunk or sarcastic.
Some of the people on BBS really need to start thinking things through before posting a reply that bashes another poster. HP is not saying if all three win out they would all tie for the conference. It's not possible and he knows that. All he is saying is that if NO wins out (meaning he Rockets wouldn't because we play them) they would get top seed. Same goes for Phoenix. So here's a novel idea: think before you post. Count to 10 after your intitial reaction and make sure you are over reacting.
I understand that HP knows that NOH can win out and control their own destiny. What does it matter if NOH controls their own destiny if we control ours too? If we don't need help from other teams then why does it matter at this point? And why do coaches care about macro issues such as win/loss statistics? Shouldn't they care about coaching strategy and executing plays? Maybe this is more relevant to what GMs think about...
Exactly, this stat is not that meaningful, it's just yet another projection or extrapolation... I mean if you used this method on our last 22 games, we would be projected to go 82-0. The reason we're projected as a 4th seed is because of our crappy record in the beginning of the year. But if we continue to play the way we do now, expect a top 3 seed.