Durvasa, you are absolutely correct that the number of future injuries has nothing to do with the fact the one has been injured more than the other. I was making the assumption that they will get injured the same amount of times during their careers. From this point forward, they have an equal chance of getting injured.
everyone's focusing on the back, but kelly also mentioned shooting percentage and his scoring being down. if tracy is going to be regulated to being a jump shooter, then his value goes down.
I'm glad we agree there. Do you also agree that the 11th coin flip has the same probability of goes heads or tails, regardless of the outcome the first ten times? Also, what your "over/under" on McGrady for games played? Realistically, how many games would you expect. I think he'll probably play less than 70 games. Maybe 65. I hope I'm completely wrong on that.
Right! What is so hard to understand about this? Even if Tracy's back issue is muscular instead of structural, he STILL has a very good chance of recurrence at some point. My back problem is muscular (thank God) and if I do the wrong thing I'm done. If you compare the likelihood of future injuries between players who are differentiated by past back problems (of any kind), those with past back issues are more at risk. To each his own opinion as long as we all want Tracy to be pain free.
