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Rolling Stone: the McChrystal interview

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by basso, Jun 22, 2010.

  1. glynch

    glynch Member

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    Well to be fair to McChystal he probably got very frustrated with the war in Afghanistan. Asking the army to pacify Afghanistan and put our man Karzai in control of the whole country may be a mission beyond the scope of the military without another 500,000 troops and maybe triple the expenditures we are making now.
     
  2. basso

    basso Member
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    but McC was Obama's hand picked choice to run the war- he ditched Betrayus and McK to get his man (w/ whom he apparently barely met.) Obama made a good choice in the abstract, but the episode hardly reflects well on his (Obama) judgement, or leadership.
     
  3. Ottomaton

    Ottomaton Member
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    What I'm seeing from the talking heads now is, "Well good job, he should have been fired, but... (after a little equivocation) Obama has screwed up the situation so much now that you really can't be too upset at McChrystal. If Obama had provided proper leadership and guidance, McChrystal would have never been in a position to blow his top like that. (Essentially hinting that Obama "drove" him to it.)

    Its a slightly more nuanced version of what you were saying.
     
  4. Ottomaton

    Ottomaton Member
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    Nice revisionist history. McChrystal was Petraeus' hand picked successor. His career success in the last three years is entirely a result of Petraeus' patronage.
     
    #64 Ottomaton, Jun 23, 2010
    Last edited: Jun 23, 2010
  5. basso

    basso Member
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    McChrystal was Obama's choice to run the war- he dumped McKiernan to put him in place.
     
  6. SamFisher

    SamFisher Member

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    So your argument works if you can prove that McKiernan and Petraeus are the same person.

    Good luck basso.

    You have not had success with Time Machine based arguments in the past, but Alchemy and transmutation present promising avenues of future glory temporarily masquerading as idiocy.

    Have at it my boy.
     
    1 person likes this.
  7. glynch

    glynch Member

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    WRT to the war and any expected benefits to America, there is no reason to expect anything better out of Petreus than McChystal, though he might be less insulting.

    Petreus was involved in helping Bush cook the books on how the war in Iraq was going. Petreus made a supposed objective assessment of te Iraq War to present to Congress and the American people while he was in constant contact with the Bush White House that was essentially writing the report to be helpful politically to Bush. Hence General Betrayus.

    I doubt Petreus will be so politically useful to Obama in the long run , though his mere appointment was of temporary political use.
     
  8. basso

    basso Member
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    fascinating bit from Obama's speech yesterday, regarding our "goals," otherwise known as what we're fighting for:

    We need to remember what this is all about. Our nation is at war. We face a very tough fight in Afghanistan. But Americans don’t flinch in the face of difficult truths or difficult tasks. We persist and we persevere. We will not tolerate a safe haven for terrorists who want to destroy Afghan security from within, and launch attacks against innocent men, women, and children in our country and around the world.

    So make no mistake: We have a clear goal. We are going to break the Taliban’s momentum. We are going to build Afghan capacity. We are going to relentlessly apply pressure on al Qaeda and its leadership, strengthening the ability of both Afghanistan and Pakistan to do the same.

    That’s the strategy that we agreed to last fall; that is the policy that we are carrying out, in Afghanistan and Pakistan.

    nothing about "victory" of course, that would not be in keeping with Obama's view of the US. but also nothing about "defeating" the taliban or al queda.

    inspiring stuff.
     
  9. pgabriel

    pgabriel Educated Negro

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    V-I-C-T-O-R-Y

    that's the US Battle cry
     
  10. basso

    basso Member
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    you object to an american victory in afghanistan?
     
  11. SamFisher

    SamFisher Member

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    You probably shouldn't read the Army COIN manual then because it's quite similar in tone. Guess who wrote it.
     
  12. gifford1967

    gifford1967 Member
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    Poor, poor basso. An 11 year old's mentality in a 50-something body.
     
  13. mc mark

    mc mark Member

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    and what, pray tell, would you consider Obama's view of the US
     
  14. basso

    basso Member
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    guessing it wasn't Obama.
     
  15. glynch

    glynch Member

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    I am wondring if he is raising the kids to be chickenhawk, too. Or are they going to volunteer to go over to Mesopotamia to achieve total "victory" ?
     
  16. pgabriel

    pgabriel Educated Negro

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    we got spirit yes we do we got spirit how about you?
     
  17. SamFisher

    SamFisher Member

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    guess who wrote it.
     
  18. basso

    basso Member
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    and how did Obama feel about him 2 years ago?

    in any case, if in fact you're interested in what's in that manual, and how to defeat the Taliban, may i direct your attention:

    http://outsidethewire.com/blog/insurgency/the-times-aren-t-a-changing.html

    [rquoter]The Times Aren't a Changing
    Written by JD Johannes

    General McChrystal being replaced by his chain of command superior, General Petraeus, may not change much here in Afghanistan because Afghanistan simply does not change. The only way things will change here is if Petraeus and his subordinates turn Afghanistan's resistance to change to their advantage.

    Last week I rode up to Bamiyan province on a road trip using a guide book from 1962 that proved remarkably accurate.

    The old books on Afghanistan by Louis Dupree and Olaf Caroe despite being 30-years-old are still spot on. Even Mountstuart Elphinstone's 'History of the Kingdom of Cabul' written in 1814 is holds up more accurately than current works on Afghanistan. The current books are too coloured by the politics of our time to be of any use.

    For millenia, dynasties have come and gone. Foreign empires have invded, been bloodied and quickly passed from the scene. The Khyber and Salong passes being a rite of passage for every empire but the Roman.

    Afghanistan does not change.

    Whatever we have been doing in Afghanistan for the past 8.5 years has not been working that well. The Soviets proved that a modern army cannot kill its way to victory and that a puppet Afghan National Army will quickly crumble.

    The error of the US Military effort in Afghanistan is that the very bright US Army officers, when confronted with a complicated problem, come up with an even more complicated solution. Most infantry officers have a keen grasp of the complexities of counter insurgency, but not the step-by-step techniques that have been proven to quash an insurgency. The US Military is hindered by its own sophistication when it just needs to get back to basics.

    The problem set on the ground is that a certain subset of people in Afghanistan want to run the country again--the Taliban. There aren't that many true Taliban, but they pay well and the work is appealing to unemployed young men.

    The solution is get rid of the Taliban and their hired help or dissuade the hired help. Simple. But the US Military/ISAF/NATO do know who we need to get rid of.

    The problem is nothing new. Insurgency is as old as the first empire. The solution is not new either. In fact it is so old fashioned, boring and dull that most military officers over look it. But it works and every time I have a seen a census data-base built by an infantry battalion, the war promptly ends in their area.

    The Talibs and their day-laborers can hide in plain sight because US and ISAF forces do not know who everyone is. (This concept shocks some Afghans who think the American surely have some gizmo that tell them who everyone is in a town.) The local Afghans know who everyone is and use that as leverage on the Americans. Relying on local intel is necessary, but you should not rely on the locals to be your phone book.

    The best census is very old fashioned and does not use the HIDE system--the HIDE sytem may be used along with a mundane access or even excell spreadsheet, but is just a supplement, not a replacement for a real database. (A good iPhone App could probably do it all with the integration of the photos.)

    Soldiers and Marines need hit the streets constantly knocking on every door getting the names of everyone who lives in a house. The GPS grid of the house is noted and used as a street address. A picture of the house is taken with a digital camera. Pictures of the adult males are taken with a digital camera. The file number of the picture is tagged along with the names of the residents and the GPS grid. All of this is added into an Access database. The pictures are on corresponding power-point slides.

    Bingo. You now have a clue as to who is supposed to live at that house. When you go on patrol again, you can check and see who is supposed to be in the house and confirm the data. It will take an entire deployment to get a significant database, but once a unit gets enough names, the enemy will have a hard time hiding and move on.

    Other info can also be gathered like age, occupation, vehicle license plate numbers, etc.

    This old, slow, boring, dull approach to fighting an insurgency works every time. But I rarely see it employed in Afghanistan. Why? It is a lot of work. It is a lot boring, dull, work and a lot of commanders are too smart and sophisticated to understand how such a boring, straight-forward tactic can work. It also looks very un-sexy on a powerpoint slide. (These operations were used more often in Iraq than I have ever seen in Afghanistan.)

    Using a census takes advantage of how little Afghanistan changes. Most Afghans live their whole life within a 30 mile area. Most of the extended families have been rooted in an area for centuries.

    It does not take long to start putting together what families go together, what clans go together and sub-tribes. The social networks are not complicated.

    Outsiders can be identified and isolated. People coming into the area who do not live there begin to stand out. In Iraq's Anbar province, the Marines and the Son's of Iraq would deny entry or passage to people who did not live in a village. (The Sons of Iraq sometimes went a little beyond denial of entry.)

    The movement of the Taliban is then limited, the flow of money, drugs, materiel, weapons, etc. stops. Local rent-a- fighters cannot be paid and the insurgency is slowly strangled all by a pen, paper, clip board, digital camera and cheap database.

    Everything I've written above comes from the counter insurgency field manual written by Petraeus. In the Summer of 2007 I watched a lot of very basic, boring counter insurgency operations which resulted in a sudden halt to the extreme violence in Iraq.

    Afghanistan doesn't change much. The change in commanders at the top will not change things unless Brigade and Battalion Commanders exploit the fact that Afghanistan does not change. Here's hoping Petraeus has read the old books and will demand his subordinates follow his field manual.[/rquoter]
     
  19. SamFisher

    SamFisher Member

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    Delightful, another time travel based argument from basso, the D&D Time Lord. Yes I hope we don't replace present Obama with evil old Obama or else we'd be in a heap of trouble.

    Really???? I just skimmed the COIN Manual and nowhere does it say that that's the solution to COIN - in fact it contains chapter after chapter explaining why "simply" trying to get rid of insurgents by force isn't enough -that's the very reason for the COIN manual's existence.
     
  20. basso

    basso Member
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    you obviously didn't read or skim the article, since it doesn't advocate use of force to "get rid of" the taliban.

    next?
     

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