way early to tell..but let's assume it comes on shore with winds of 125 mph. those are sustained winds...gusts would be higher than that. i'm betting that winds would still be hurricane force in spring/woodlands. around 75-80 mph, perhaps, sustained...gusts to 100mph, maybe.
Thanks, I know it's early, but my parent's wanted to know since they're considering heading up and staying with me in Austin.
if i'm reading jeff's map right, then it wouldn't be a tropical storm again until it's north of brenham. that's when winds finally dip back below 74 mph. that should give you some idea, as well.
Well my weekend plans at the beach are gone and now I'm planing on riding out any storm that may hit at my new house in cypress. I'm glad I'm not in my old 90 year old house in the heights or I'd be worried about the wind and I'd probably be getting ready to head north with the family. Looks like I'll have my mother in law and grandmother both here... I better hit the liquor store soon.
so you'd rather be able to see your neighbor's truck coming towards your face before it decapitates you?
Damnn....and I live right on Bay Area Blvd right next to the UH@ Clearlake. Im thinkin that the UH-CL is goin to announce some kind of school closing either tomorrow or the next day. Anyone here go to UH-Clearlake? Just moved over here to finish up school. Im pretty sure im going to drive back home to Sugarland by late Thursday if the Rita predictions are accurate. Has anyone who lives or lived in CL experience any type of tropical storm/hurricane conditions and did it flood up the areas around UHCL or CLearlake HS?
I'm not worried about my house. It has been through 2 major hurricanes already and just had some major renovations including structural stuff. I just don't want to be here for the power outages, etc.
Any advice for those who live in Clear Lake? I'm in Austin but my parents are in Houston. My dad is supposed to fly back in Thursday (good luck). Hopefully they go somewhere far away from Houston soon!
Even in a category 3, they should most likely stay somewhere else. Again, it is more about comfort than anything. If they can leave, it is better just to be out of the path and avoid any problems. Plus, the loss of power will make it really uncomfortable. If it is larger than that, they will need to leave for safety sake. It isn't worth risking a problem.
Back in 03 with Claudette, it was a light 1 and we lost power in the middle of the city for 3 1/2 days, it is always hot in the summer but with no ac or fans to move the air, that sucks.
Yea my father is supposed to fly in from India on Thursday, but depending on the weather I'm not sure if flights will be flying in at that point. I agree, it's not worth the risk, I recommended they at least go to the other side of town, Jersey Village, where all our relatives live. Hopefully it's not as bad there as it is in Clear Lake. What do you think about that idea Jeff?
As much as I complain about Minnesota in the Winter disaster wise its looking a lot better than the last two states I lived, Texas and California.
Crap. I live in an apartment complex on Allen Parkway, my first floor balcony looks directly across the street to the bayou. This storm needs to stay way way away.
Here's the 5am discussion. Somewhat good news for us. Track has shifted a little westward. Still way too early, though. Tropical Storm Rita Discussion Number 10 Statement as of 5:00 am EDT on September 20, 2005 the radar presentation of Rita is slowly becoming better defined... but the cyclone still lacks a clear and persistent eyewall signature. Flight-level and dropsonde observations from the Air Force reconaissance aircraft still do not quite support upgrading Rita to a hurricane. A peak 700 mb flight-level wind of 72 kt winds would correspond to 65 kt in an eyewall...but Rita does not have a true eyewall and dropsonde data indicate that 90 percent is not the appropriate adjustment with this storm at this time. The intensity will be held at 60 kt at this time. Rita remains basically on track...with an initial motion of 285/13. Little change has been made to the official forecast in the early going...as Rita moves south of mid-level high pressure through the Florida Straits. Late in the forecast period...the GFS...UKMET... and GFDL models have shifted westward toward the middle Texas coast...while the NOGAPS is still on the south end of the guidance envelope in extreme south Texas. The official forecast is adjusted a little westward toward the dynamical model consensus. At this point it is way to early to specify where the Gulf landfall might occur. Rita is still expected to reach hurricane strength very soon. The upper-level flow pattern is favorable for strengthening but not overly so...with outflow a little squashed to the north and non-existent to the south...and the upper anticyclone located well to the east of the center. Even the radar presentation looks elongated. Steady...but not explosive development is likely during the next 12 to 24 hours. The upper pattern could improve somewhat in the Gulf of Mexico and Rita is still forecast to become a major hurricane. The most recent SHIPS guidance...however...does not quite get Rita there...and I would not be shocked if Rita ends up falling just short of that threshold. Forecaster Franklin
funny thing, or not so funny thing, i work at the kroger on alexander in baytown and we had bare shelves on water and vienna sausage, and the gas was sold out. cant believe people are going to live off of vienna sausage . anyway we have orederd 21 pallets of water so if you live in the baytown area hit our store today.
