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Prewar justifications: bringing democracy to the ME

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by basso, Apr 14, 2005.

  1. Nolen

    Nolen Member

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    More about ends and means:

    If we succeed in establishing an independent secular democracy that can support itself economically and militarily without our help, that would be incredible. I'm saying that process is important, but the fact is I could never ignore a result like that. It may be five, ten years before we see how it turns out. But if the result comes true, I'm going to eat some crow, process or no.



    But still. Integrity counts.
     
  2. Nolen

    Nolen Member

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    Sorry, some more thoughts:

    Why couldn't we at least have used enough diplomacy to use Turkish airspace? God this pisses me off even to this day. Can you imagine what this invasion would have been like if we invaded on two fronts? They would have rolled right through the Kurdish area, of course. We would have reached and completely surrounded Tikrit and the now infamous Sunni triangle in, what? Two weeks? Ten days? Less? Would the Baathists have been able to form an effective insurgency then?

    Why couldn't we have gone in with enough troops to hold the country down for reconstruction? Why did Rummy plan a war on a best-case scenario? What kind of f*cking planning is that? Anybody, in any job- you make a plan based on a best-case scenario and it's guaranteed you'll get bit in the ass. Rummy did this with a military invasion and occupation.

    Sure, you say, hindsight is 20/20. This isn't hindsight. They were told adamantly by the pentagon to use double the manpower pre-invasion.

    It's great to have leaders who are steadfast and unwavering.

    Except when they're wrong.
     
  3. GladiatoRowdy

    GladiatoRowdy Member

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    If they did, then I didn't hear about it.

    Just take the list we started with, subtract Poland and England and there you have it.
     
  4. basso

    basso Member
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    "The success of this occupation can only be judged fifty years from now. If the Germans at that time have a stable, prosperous democracy, then we will have succeeded."

    - Dwight Eisenhower, October 1945. Frankfurt, Germany
     
  5. DaDakota

    DaDakota Balance wins
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    DING DING DING !!!!


    We have a winner !

    DD
     
  6. GladiatoRowdy

    GladiatoRowdy Member

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    Dwight Eisenhower was a great leader who didn't lie to the American people to start a war. IIRC, we avoided getting involved in WWII right up until we were actually attacked by one of the participants. In that way, the occupation of Germany and the occupation of Iraq are WORLDS apart.

    See me in fifty years and if this is the case, I will agree that the ends were positive. I will still fault GWB and his cabal for the means since the errors in judgement have been massive, and I will never believe that means like Abu Ghirab and lying to the American people to start a war justify ANY ends.

    If GWB wanted to keep my respect, he should have sold the war as a way to bring democracy to the ME. The way he went about it has earned my derision and scorn.
     
  7. DaDakota

    DaDakota Balance wins
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    Well judging by his re-election the majority respect the choice he made, and we have to live with it.

    If a stable middle east is the outcome, then it was the right move.

    Because sitting back was just getting us attacked, and don't you think 9-11 counts as an attack?

    Sure, Iraq and 9-11 are not linked, but if there is a rogue nation out there that is willing to help terrorists, and harbour them, aren't they a threat to the American people?

    DD
     
  8. basso

    basso Member
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    once again, your objections seem to have more to do with the conduct of the war rather than wether the war should have been waged. i agree, it would have been wonderful if the turks had allowed the 4th ID to invade from the north, however, given turkey's problematic relationship w/ its own kurdish population, this was never likely to happen. and turkey allowing use of tehir airbases in 1991 to free kuwait is much different from the allowing the same in an operation that could have resulted in a free kurdish state. in any case, i'm not sure the lack of turkisg air bases made much strategic difference- the US had complete freedon of the air, and could launch operations from a variety of other platforms.

    countrary to most of the reoporting i've read, it seems clear that the "insurgency" was never the spontaneous uprising that it's supporters in the MSM have long suggested, but rather a strategic fall-back planned months in advance of the US invasion. no one at the pentagon anticipated such a strategy. i have some questions about certain decisions, such as not guarding ammo dumps, dumps that appear to be still unguarded today, but i have to believe that if commanders on the ground thought they needed to guard those dumps, and needed additional troops to do so, they would've requested them and gotten them. i haven't seen anything that would suggest thay have and were denied.

    bottom line, the "more troops" arguement is a facile one, easily made by outsiders. when tommy franks stands up and says he needed more and rummy said no, i'll take it seriously.
     
  9. basso

    basso Member
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    Lend Lease?
     
  10. No Worries

    No Worries Member

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    What if GWB had played the cards he actually had. What if he said that there is a 50/50 change that Iraq has some sort of WMD (most likely chemical) and while they have not had close ties to Al Qaeda or OBL he as President could not take the chance that they would partner in the future, leading to another attack on US soil with WMD this time.

    This is a much softer sell that would play better in Europe. Where it would not sell as well is with the right wing nuts at home.

    This all boils down to judgement and GWB's lack thereof.
     
  11. basso

    basso Member
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    I think Bush is not always the best advocate for his own beliefs. I've always felt that the american people want to be led. if often matters less where they're being led- by and large they respect someone who demonstrates the strength of his convictions. i think this is what distinguishes Bush from the current crop of would-be democratic challengers. none of them demonstrated a clear vision for this country, other than an overriding hatred of Bush and disdain for his supporters.

    although i've often said i disagree w/ certain elements of the republican platform (gay marriage, for instance) i find it more intellectually honest that the alternative. and on the big issues, forgive me for being simplistic about it, going after the bad guys, Bush wins hands down. after 9/11 he intuitively "got" how much the world had changed and he completely overhauled his foreign policy in light of that new reality. in that respect, 9/11 and the iraq war are inextricably linked. absent 9/11, there's no way Bush would've invaded iraq, much less launched a far reaching nation building initiative and attempt to transform the ME. the goal is, and always was, to turn the region upside down and shake it hard. "draining the swamp" of iraq is part of that mission. cleansing it of WMD, establishing a democracy, were both "rationales" and it was impossible to do either w/out effecting "regime change." and think of the long term strategic gain of having iran flanked by democratci states in afghanistan and iraq!

    as i said, bush isn't necessarily the best salesman for his own policies. he has a sort of "if we build it they will come attitude", and that's sometimes a problem. great presidents, lincoln, FDR, to an extent reagan (i hasten to add i don't put reagan in lincoln and fdr's company as truely "great" presidents) had the ability to both lead by example (like W) and sell an idea (like clinton). of the two traits, leadership is by far the greater.
     
  12. basso

    basso Member
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    and yet the arguement is valid, and bush made it in numerous speahes prewar. how does that demonstrate a lack of judgement on Bush's aprt?
     
  13. GladiatoRowdy

    GladiatoRowdy Member

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    We do have to live with it, but judging by the polls, the majority of Americans definitely do not "respect the choice."

    IMO, it would have been the right move had he not cooked up "intelligence" and had instead promoted the war as a way to remove Saddam and instill democracy in the ME.

    We were already TCB WRT the 9/11 attacks. We took out the Taliban and began taking out AQ, a move that I supported fully as it was a direct response to 9/11 and the people who perpetrated that attack.

    I was a bit upset that we were diverting attention away from AQ in general and Bin Laden specifically when we invaded Iraq. However, I thought the threat of WMDs in Iraq trumped those concerns. When I found out that the "intelligence" was faulty, I became VERY upset that we had diverted that attention when we could have mopped up AQ and the Taliban and probably caught Bin Laden, too.

    We should have finished in Afghanistan, then Bush should have made his case for war without hyping nonexistant WMDs. Had he done that, I would now be praising Bush as a leader instead of denigrating him as a liar.

    Iraq was not helping or harboring terrorists. The terrorists came in response to our invasion, or haven't you seen the reports?

    Saddam could not have conceivably been a threat to us for quite some time given the weakness of his military. He could not have armed terrorists given the lack of WMDs. Saddam had too much of a sense of self-preservation to threaten the US given what we did to Afghanistan as evidenced by the fact that he offered to allow the CIA and FBI to come verify what the weapons inspectors had found: nothing.
     
  14. No Worries

    No Worries Member

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    GWB failed in his diplomatic effort with Europe. GWB did not have a plan to win the diplomatic "war" in Europe leading into the Iraq "liberation". GWB truly acted like that once he made his decision the rest of the world should fall in line, diplomancy be damned. (I expected school board politicians to be better mannered than this.) GWB diplomatic failure with France and Germany shows a lack of judgement. If GWN had only used intel on which we, France, and Germany agreed, bulding a bridge spanning the distance between us and them would have been possible.

    GWB gave many justifications for the war (Kerry found 22). The core justification was WMD, in a complete and total oversell of what intel we did have. Overselling the chemical WMD is one thing; having The Bomb by Christmas is an outright fabrication. Not caring if the main justifications of the war with Iraq were factual also show a lack of judgement from GWB. Again, GWB is treating pre-emptive war justifications as a secondary issue to having made up his mind.

    The US's plan for winning the peace in Iraq shows more lack of judgement from the President.
     
  15. GladiatoRowdy

    GladiatoRowdy Member

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    Care to elaborate? How does the Lend Lease Act amount to lying in order to start a war?
     
  16. basso

    basso Member
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    but the majority of the iraqi people do:

    http://chrenkoff.blogspot.com/2005/04/new-poll-from-iraq.html

    --
    Our special correspondent and translator Haider Ajina wants you to know about a new opinion poll from Iraq. It was published in the April 18 edition of Iraqi Arabic newspaper "Almidhar". 778 Baghdadis were asked:

    "Do you support the pull out of foreign troops?

    "At once - 12.56%

    "According to a future timetable - 81.80%

    "Do not know - 5.64%

    "Has the security situation improved since the start of the new government?

    "Yes - 55%

    "No - 35%

    "No change - 10%"
     
  17. basso

    basso Member
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    your post said we avoided getting involved in ww2 until we were attacked. in fact, we'd already taken sides against hitler, well before pearl harbor, and the subsequent delcaration of war against the US by germany.
     
  18. GladiatoRowdy

    GladiatoRowdy Member

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    We may have "taken sides," but the declaration of war against Germany didn't happen until December 11th, 1941, four days after Pearl Harbor.

    Even so, I would argue that we "took sides" in said war in response to the agression and invasions by Germany, which still sets it worlds apart from Iraq. GWI was justified in part because Saddam invaded another sovereign nation and I supported that action just as I would have supported WWII. Neither was an elective war based on trumped up "intelligence."

    As such, comparisons of the occupation of Germany and the current occupation of Iraq simply don't hold water.
     
  19. basso

    basso Member
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    interesting that you supported a war about oil, but not one for freedom and security. interesting priorities you have, i suppose this just means you're a realist?
     
  20. GladiatoRowdy

    GladiatoRowdy Member

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    I supported GWI because Saddam invaded a neighbor and that amounts to aggression. That aggression, combined with the WMDs that the United States sold him, made for a combination that needed to be dealt with.

    The current war in Iraq was not about "security" given that Iraq could not have been a threat to the US in the foreseeable future and the fact that the only WMD found in Iraq was a decade old and incapable of killing even a single person. Those facts, combined with Iraq's utter lack of any type of connection to terrorists go to show that this war had nothing to do with "security."

    I would have at least respected GWB if he had sold the war as being for "freedom," but he decided to lie or at least exaggerate WMD "intelligence" instead. It is interesting how when the GOP (and Faux News) repeat something over and over again, the mynas just turn around and start parroting the line about "freedom."
     

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