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Predict Verlander, Cole, McHugh Contracts

Discussion in 'Houston Astros' started by Senator, Mar 20, 2019.

  1. Snake Diggit

    Snake Diggit Member

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    Good catch. $224M/7yrs.
     
  2. Mr.Pringles

    Mr.Pringles Member

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    He’s going to prove he can stay healthy and put up a few seasons like Bregman too sniff that much. At best he’s probably in the 100 mil ballpark over 4-5 years
     
  3. Snake Diggit

    Snake Diggit Member

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    fWAR by age:
    Correa:
    20: 3.4
    21: 5.2
    22: 5.2
    23: 1.7
    24: 4.3 (projected by Steamer)
    25: 5.3 (projected by me)
    26: 5.4 (projected by me)
    Total: 30.4

    Machado:
    19: 1.3
    20: 5.0
    21: 2.3
    22: 6.6
    23: 6.3
    24: 2.6
    25: 6.2
    Total: 30.3

    Correa has had more fWAR after 3+ seasons than Machado had at the same point. He won’t have to put up mvp numbers to get $200M. He just has to stay healthy. If he averages 140+ games over the next 3 seasons, he will get at least $200M.
     
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  4. Nick

    Nick Contributing Member

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    I expect him to be on the roster if healthy... does that count?
     
  5. Mr.Pringles

    Mr.Pringles Member

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    That’s what I thought I said if he proves he can play a full season and put up the numbers he provides when healthy and he can be paid like a Machado, but right now I couldn’t see him getting more than 20 mil a year if he was a FA
     
  6. Wulaw Horn

    Wulaw Horn Member

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    I will bet you dinner that you are way light on Correa. At least I hope so bc that means he will have been awesome the last three years of his deal. Not by AAV but by total length.
     
  7. BigM

    BigM Contributing Member

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    Bregman hasn’t put up a few seasons like last years Bregman. Correa needs to prove health but his production on the field has been fantastic.
     
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  8. Joe Joe

    Joe Joe Go Stros!
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    Yes, but that's an irrational low expectation.
     
    #28 Joe Joe, Mar 22, 2019
    Last edited: Mar 22, 2019
  9. mick fry

    mick fry Member

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    McHugh deserves the love.
    [​IMG]
     
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  10. Nick

    Nick Contributing Member

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    Well that's sort-of the case when you come off a year plus of being somewhere between a long man and a set-up guy (a medium guy?), albeit a very good medium guy.

    I was sort of meh in his last go around as a starter (2016?), as he was clearly struggling to generate a 3rd quality pitch. He may have that now.. but jury is still out if it plays 3rd time through the order, every 4th day.
     
  11. Nick

    Nick Contributing Member

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    There are irrationally low expectations for Correa... even though the Astros need him to meet previous expectations if they want to win more than one title in his career here.
     
  12. Buck Turgidson

    Buck Turgidson Mineshaft Enthusiast

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    Sale getting 5/150 from Boston, so adjust your guesses accordingly.
     
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  13. Senator

    Senator Member

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    Kershaw: 3 yrs, $93 million at 31
    Greinke: 6 yr, $206 million at 31 .. overpay to get him to AZ
    Sale: 5 yrs, $150 million at 30

    Based on JV and Cole being on a title competitor already . .

    Verlander: 2 yrs, $50 million
    Cole: 5 yr, $125 million
    McHugh: 3 yr, $30 million
     
  14. The Real Shady

    The Real Shady Contributing Member

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    Shoulder injury issues may have played into the contract.
     
  15. Joe Joe

    Joe Joe Go Stros!
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    This sounds like a guy that would be lucky to get under a 5 FIP or ERA.
     
  16. J.R.

    J.R. Contributing Member

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  17. Joe Joe

    Joe Joe Go Stros!
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    Go Luhnow. You can do it!
     
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  18. RasaqBoi

    RasaqBoi Member

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    Verlander wants 2 years SIXTY 9.
     
  19. desihooper

    desihooper Contributing Member
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    Is $30MM close enough to Greinke's number for JV? Interesting talk on 610 today, based on this tweet:

    Could the deferred money help fit in a JV extension?
     
  20. tested911

    tested911 Member

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    Verlander 5 years 150M ($30 / yr)
    Cole 7 Years 185M (If he plays like he did last year) ($26.4 / yr)
    McHugh. don't really know.. $12-$14 / yr?
     

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