predict the Electoral College contest

I'm updating my prediction from 290-248 for Obama to 303-235. I think he takes Virginia which I didn't have before.

 

http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=btgQ

 

Compared to 2008, my guess is Romney gets Indiana, North Carolina, and Florida. I think the rest stay with Obama, and I'm hopeful Obama has an outside shot in Florida.

 

New Mexico? Really? Where Obama is 8-9 points ahead and there's never been a poll showing him up by less than 5 in the past year, let alone losing? Really?

 

My map

 

Most realistic scenario he could think of, pretty telling. Romney guys are desperate right now.

 

I know Florida isn't called yet, but it ooks like we have a winner here. He even predicted Obama wins the popular vote by 2 points. Very impressive. Congratulations.

 

pretty close huh

 

Well, at least you can go to Colorado or Washington, smoke your ganga, and listen to Exodus on a loop.

"Don't worry...bout a thing...cause every little thing...gonna be all right..."

 

Just wanted to point out that Rasmussen had polled Romney as being ahead in Colorado, Florida, Ohio, New Hampshire, Virginia, and Wisconsin as well as winning the national vote and tied in Iowa. It was wrong in all cases. Meawhile Silver was 50 for 50.

 

Didnt gallop go from +7 for Romney to +2 for Romney on the day of election?

 

I think it was at +5 and then was suspended for a week due to the hurricane. It's last release I believe had Romney at either 1 or 2.