Clinton with over 300 electoral votes, and a 50/50 split of the Senate, with Kaine the tiebreaker. I know conservatives have trouble dealing with ambiguity, but statisticians give probabilities, not predictions.
It will be VERY interesting to see what Trump does if he loses. I actually think he might handle it well, which would be an ironic twist...although I do think he would set himself up for continued crusades against the establishment.
I'm not sure that's what the polls say. It would take a massive turnout by voters who have only shown to be motivated by voting for Obama in the past for Hillary to win in a landslide. The current realclearpolitics model with the active leader winning all toss up states has Clinton on top of Trump by 6 electoral votes. All it would take for a Trump win would be slightly less than expected turnout while a Clinton landslide victory would take numbers not seen since the first Obama election where millions who almost never vote went to the polls.
I think we'll know how the election is going to go fairly early in the night. If states like New Hampshire, North Carolina, and Florida go to Trump then it's probably all over for Hillary and she might want to consider getting a really good lawyer because her political protection will be gone.
If Trump wins tomorrow...things will go nuclear here on this sub-forum. If Hillary wins, we may just have a nuclear worldwar with Russia within the next year.
Oh yes, that's what will happen if Hillary wins. Of course if Trump wins, he will nuke all of great Britain and Italy. There is just as much evidence to support that as there is for the nuclear war with Russia if Hillary wins
50/50 split of the Senate is pretty far out there. It's looking like best case scenario for Democrats is gaining 3 seats and cutting the Republican majority to 51/49. I mean, if we're just doing a wishful thinking kind of thing, that's fine, but it's not grounded in much reality
Good for them, the RCP poll averages show that +3 is much more likely. Of the 8 "toss ups" Rubio (R) is safe Richard Burr (R) has a large enough consistent lead to where I think he's pretty much safe Kelly Ayotte (R) probably pulls it off Roy Blunt (R) should be fairly safe Russ Feingold (D) looks like he'll pull it off, but his numbers have tanked recently. Todd Young (R) has surprisingly taken the lead in recent polls Katie McGinty (D) should win pretty easily Catherine Cortez Masto (D) and Joe Heck (R) are absolutely neck and neck in Nevada. If Nevada goes to the Democrats, that's only +3
Pennsylvania's the keystone state (see what I did there?). Trump has to win it to have a chance. He won't. Dem ground game will run circles around Repubs tomorrow and will likely add a percentage point or two to Clinton's totals, maybe more in battleground states where her organization is strong and has been entrenched since the primaries. Conservatively, I think Clinton wins in the 310-330 range and the Senate goes to Dems via the VP. If she gets above 350, the House likely flips. By the way, I started a similar thread weeks ago.
I see Catherine Cortez Masto riding Clinton's coattails in Nevada to victory. Katie McGinty and Russ Feingold are going to win imo also. Tammy Duckworth is a lock. And I think Democrats will win one of NC, NH, MO, or IN. It might be somewhat hopeful thinking of me but its a very strong possibility. Right now 538 showing it 50/50 for Democratic takeover of the Senate.
