Your math is... skewed... The numbers in the original post would indicate a 21% chance to make the p/o... and that's with the OKC being renamed the Wizards...
Making up four games with 23 to play is no mean feat. Look at it this way: if we go on an impressive 15-8 tear and the Blazers finish with a mediocre 10-9 stretch, they'll still qualify for the playoffs over us. We need to go 18-5 or better, I think, just to have an outside shot for a #8 seed.
lol the rockets are NOT making the playoffs.... other teams are like 10 games over .500.... rockets are 1 game over, its not going to happen.
not if they continue to play teams like the Sacramento Kings the way they have been playing them tonight... on the tail end of their back-to-back...
We don't have mismatches against the Lakers that those other 8th seed teams had over their opponents. Besides, the player that I believe gave the Lakers the most trouble was Landry and we traded him away.
But that's the thing. People assume our talent level should be above teams like the Kings or the Pacers or the Sixers. But the truth is, we're barely better than these teams even when we're fully healthy. Without two rotation players in Ariza and Lowry, these losses aren't even all that astonishing. I don't know why so many Rockets fans think we're inherently much better than a .500 team. How it's actually reasonable for the Rockets to play 66% basketball over 20 games. It's like people assume this team has the same winning potential as our old Yao/T-Mac or Yao/Artest teams. They aren't. They're not even close in terms of talent.
Ouch - the loss to Sac hurt. Studying my trusty HouChron paper I think the fight for 8th place is between Houston, SanAnt., Mem., and Nola. How I figure: Seven teams we cannot get past: Dallas, Denver, Utah, OKC., Port., LAL., and Phoenix. Four teams that cannot catch up: Minn., LAC., Sac., and Golden St. That leaves the four teams fighting for the 8th spot - and that as of today: S.A. has played 58 games W/L 34/24. Mem. has played 61 W/L 31/30. NO. has played 62 W/L 31/31. Hou. has played 60 W/L 30/30. This does not look hopeless to me. (on paper anyway) (optimistic) (female point of view - so go easy on my calculations).
umm... Did you watch the playoffs last year? The player that gave the Lakers the most trouble was Aaron Brooks!
Aaron Brooks > Fisher Kevin Martin < Kobe Ariza < Artest Scola < Gasol Any center we have < Bynum Our bench < Odom We have 1 mismatch, they have a lot of them.
It's called a team. And much of what you stated is not as obvious as you would make it sound, and the amounts some of the players are better than the others you mentioned vary. Artest > Ariza/Battier considering Battier's D on Kobe and Artest's D on Martin (quick guard) is questionable at best and foolish at worst. I'd definitely also definitely take our bench depth over 1 bench player. That said......we're not likely to make the playoffs anyways.
I gave percentages for certain teams to not make the playoffs (not for the Rockets to make the playoffs over that team). The percentages gave you no indication of the Rockets' chance of making the playoffs, unless you are assuming that all other teams besides the Rockets outside of the top 8 (i.e. Memphis, NO) have no chance of making the playoffs even if one team in the top 8 fails to make the playoffs.
How are the Wizards, the Rocket's best chance at making the playoffs? They have a worse record than us and they aren't in the same conference.
in case you haven't noticed, we are nowhere near the same team as last year... the lakers would beat us in 5 no doubt about it.
I thought we had a good chance at catching Portland if Roy was out but he's back so I don't like our chances.
