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Pollster says election could end in landslide

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by Faos, Sep 26, 2008.

  1. Faos

    Faos Contributing Member

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    http://www.democratandchronicle.com/article/20080925/NEWS01/80925009/1002/NEWS

    Pollster says election could end in landslide

    Jill Terreri • Staff writer • September 25, 2008

    One of the country's top pollsters was in Rochester on Thursday and suggested that the November presidential election will end in an electoral landslide, even though the candidates are running close.

    "Essentially the election is at equilibrium," said John Zogby, president of Zogby International. "This election will stay close until the end."

    Zogby said he thinks the race will turn in the last weekend before Election Day and though the popular vote will be tight, the successful candidate will win in a landslide.

    He likened this year's election to the contest in 1980, when Ronald Reagan defeated President Jimmy Carter.

    "This may be and probably is the most important election in our lifetime," Zogby said. "I don't say that lightly."

    Despite two books by Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Barack Obama, Americans still don't know enough about him. And if they don't think they know him well enough by the time they vote, they'll go with the "comfortable old shoe," Republican Sen. John McCain, Zogby said.

    If Obama can convince voters, he'll increase turnout among young people and minorities, Zogby said.

    Zogby later added that if the winner doesn't kick off his presidency with a period of reform, he will risk alienating a generation of voters.

    The founder of the Utica-based polling firm spoke during a "Business Briefing" at the SUNY Brockport's MetroCenter downtown on St. Paul Street.

    Zogby identified five themes among today's voters, from the widely held opinion that the country is headed in the wrong direction — 80 percent of Americans think so, he said — to the resurgence of the "center" of the electorate.

    "It is the center that is driving this election," he said. "It is the center that will decide this election."

    These voters are looking for a problem-solver, someone who can manage the government competently, he said.
     
  2. pppbigppp

    pppbigppp Member

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  3. Deckard

    Deckard Blade Runner
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    He's saying what I've been saying, Faos, although he didn't say who would be the winner in your quote. I've been predicting a close popular vote, with Obama winning a landslide in the Electoral College. I would call a win of 300 electoral votes or more a landslide.
     
  4. glynch

    glynch Contributing Member

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    Zogby later added that if the winner doesn't kick off his presidency with a period of reform, he will risk alienating a generation of voters.
    ...

    "It is the center that is driving this election," he said. "It is the center that will decide this election."

    These voters are looking for a problem-solver, someone who can manage the government competently, he said.

    I think if it is the moderates who will decide, Obama wins. No drama, Obama. This is based a lot on the moderates in the forum who seem to be swinging to Obama.

    As far as instituting change, I guess it would have to be Obama. McCain has run the type of dirty, erratic campaign that will make it hard for him to work with Congressional Democrats and he apparently is not too popular with the Republicans either.

    Obama is too centrist for my taste and seems to be overly cautious. However, I can see him really working with Congress to get quite a bit of moderate changes made. Who knows, once we get past the combative, secretive style of Bush-Cheney and actually make a few changes, perhaps it will snowball and we will have quite a bit of change.
     
  5. A_3PO

    A_3PO Member

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    The number of people viewing McCain as a "comfortable old shoe" is decreasing. He's turning into an unreliable, worn out shoe with holes in the bottom.
     
  6. basso

    basso Contributing Member
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    <object width="425" height="344"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/CX6WHvxTYHs&hl=en&fs=1"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/CX6WHvxTYHs&hl=en&fs=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowfullscreen="true" width="425" height="344"></embed></object>
     

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