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Playoff Chase Update

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by SooneRockStro, Mar 5, 2011.

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  1. SooneRockStro

    SooneRockStro Member

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    5 Denver 37 26 .587 %
    6 New Orleans 36 28 .563 1 ½ %
    7 Portland 34 27 .557 2 #
    8 Memphis 34 29 .540 3 *
    -------------------------------------------------
    9 Phoenix 32 28 .533 3 ½ %
    10 Utah 32 30 .516 4 ½ %
    11 Houston 31 32 .492 6

    * Means Rockets have tiebreaker
    # Means Rockets have lost tiebreaker
    % Means tiebreaker still mathematically up for grabs
    Note: Tiebreaker likely goes to New Orleans based on division record even if Rockets even season series.

    Projections are based on who should win.

    Denver: 8 Home (2 playoff contenders), 11 Away (9 playoff contenders), Projected Finish: 10-9. Denver has a brutal road schedule including 4 in a row at current playoff teams coming up in mid-March, but also has plenty of cupcakes left at home.

    New Orleans: 11 Home (10 playoff contenders), 7 Road (6 playoff contenders) Projected Finish: 10-8. In contrast to Denver, most of New Orleans games against playoff contenders are against lower seeded teams or teams on the cusp of the playoffs, but New Orleans is not good on the road and will have a hard time winning any of the 6 road playoff matchups. However, New Orleans has been very good at home.

    Portland: 11 Home (6 playoff contenders), 10 Away (8 playoff contenders). Projected Finish: 10-11. Like Denver, Portland has a brutal East coast stretch coming up where they play 3 of the top 5 teams in the East not to mention games later in the season at the Lakers and San Antonio.

    Memphis: 11 Home (6 playoff contenders) , 8 Away (7 playoff contenders) 10-9. Memphis is not very good on the road to begin with. They have some pretty tough road matchups against top 5-10 teams, but they have an easy home schedule. They may actually be able to pull off a 12-7 finish if they can win some tough road games.

    Phoenix: 11 Home (7 playoff contenders), 11 Away (8 playoff contenders), Projected Finish: 11-11. They have a tough 5 game roadie in April. Not a good time to have a couple of back-to-backs and a long road stretch against upper-echelon teams. However, Phoenix could benefit from teams like San Antonio and Dallas resting their players.

    Utah: 9 Home, 11 Away (8 playoff contenders), Projected Finish: 10-10. Screw Utah and all their stupid fans.

    Houston: 12 Home (8 playoff contenders), 7 Away (3 playoff contenders), Projected Finish: 12-7. The Rockets have a very favorable schedule. Only Miami on the road looks to be unwinnable. There are a lot of creampuffs on the road and all of the tough games against playoff contenders come at home. There are 9 games where the Rockets will absolutely be favored in and 3-4 others that they will probably be slight favorites or slight home dogs.

    5 Denver 47 35
    6 New Orleans 46 36
    7 Portland 44 38
    8 Memphis 44 38
    -------------------------------------------------
    9 Phoenix 43 39
    10 Houston 43 39
    11 Utah 42 40

    This should be an incredibly close race. If the Rockets can win the games they should and just steal one other game then they are in. Or, just win the games they should and hope that a team falters down the stretch. If the Rockets can steal the game in Phoenix on the 2nd night of a back-to-back and hold serve at home against the Suns then they may be able to sneak in.
     
    #1 SooneRockStro, Mar 5, 2011
    3 people like this.
  2. SooneRockStro

    SooneRockStro Member

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    Utah has 5 home games against playoff contenders.
     
    #2 SooneRockStro, Mar 5, 2011
  3. iconoclastic

    iconoclastic Member

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    Where's ScriboErgoSum's thread on this?
     
    #3 iconoclastic, Mar 5, 2011
  4. 1JumpShot

    1JumpShot Member

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    I swear I thought this thread was going to be about Chase B.:grin:
     
    #4 1JumpShot, Mar 5, 2011
  5. Arun Sharma

    Arun Sharma Member

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    We will need to pass UTAH/PHX/MEM

    1 game against Utah and 2 against PHX will be huge!!!

    MEM can lose quite a few in a row right now... they have extremely tough schedule coming up. We need win 3 in a row or so... and they might lose 2 of next 3.. so we will be 1 game out.
     
    #5 Arun Sharma, Mar 5, 2011
  6. DreamShook

    DreamShook Member

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    me too.

    [​IMG]
     
    #6 DreamShook, Mar 5, 2011
    2 people like this.
  7. desi tmac91

    desi tmac91 Member

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    Hollinger gives us a 32.8% chance of making the playoffs.
     
    #7 desi tmac91, Mar 5, 2011
  8. shortfuse3

    shortfuse3 Member

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    We need to hope Memphis drops because I don't see Portland or NO dropping.
     
    #8 shortfuse3, Mar 5, 2011
  9. rpr52121

    rpr52121 Sober Fan
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    How about we wait until the Rockets actually get above 0.500 for two games before making such a thread?
     
    #9 rpr52121, Mar 5, 2011
  10. rpr52121

    rpr52121 Sober Fan
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    <B>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Games&nbsp;&nbsp;H2H&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Div&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Con&nbsp;&nbsp;Over&nbsp;&nbsp;Hou&nbsp;Magic&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Opp&nbsp;Magic
    &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Team&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;W/L&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;H2H&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Left&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;TB&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Div&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;TB&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Conf&nbsp;&nbsp;TB&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;TB&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Number&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Number</B>
    &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;1&nbsp;Spurs&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;51-11&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;0-2&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;2H&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;L&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;8-4&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;L&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;31-6&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;L&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;No<B>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;--</B>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Clinched
    &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;2&nbsp;Mavericks&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;45-16&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;0-3&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;1H&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;L&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;6-5&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;L&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;24-8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;L&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;No*<B>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;36</B>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;5
    &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;3&nbsp;Lakers&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;44-19&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;1-2&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;None&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;L&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;N/A&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;X&nbsp;&nbsp;25-11&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;L&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;No*<B>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;33</B>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;6
    &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;4&nbsp;OKC&nbsp;Thieves&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;38-22&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;1-3&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;None&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;L&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;N/A&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;X&nbsp;&nbsp;22-16&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;L&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;No*<B>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;30</B>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;12
    &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;5&nbsp;Nuggets&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;37-26&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;2-2&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;None&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;T&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;N/A&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;X&nbsp;&nbsp;21-18&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;L&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;No<B>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;26</B>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;14
    &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;6&nbsp;Hornets&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;36-28&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;1-2&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;1A&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;L&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;7-4&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;L&nbsp;&nbsp;19-19&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;L&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;No<B>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;24</B>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;15
    &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;7&nbsp;Blazers&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;34-27&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;1-2&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;None&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;L&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;N/A&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;X&nbsp;&nbsp;22-17&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;L&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;No*<B>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;25</B>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;16
    &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;8&nbsp;Grizzlies&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;34-29&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;3-1&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;None&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;W&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;4-8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;T&nbsp;&nbsp;20-19&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;L&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Yes*<B>&nbsp;&nbsp;22</B>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;17
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;9&nbsp;Suns&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;32-28&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;0-1&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;1H,1A&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;L&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;N/A&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;X&nbsp;&nbsp;16-17&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;L&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;No<B>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;24</B>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;19
    &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;10&nbsp;Jazz&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;32-30&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;1-1&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;1H&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;T&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;N/A&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;X&nbsp;&nbsp;16-21&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;W&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Yes<B>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;22</B>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;19
    &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;11&nbsp;Rockets&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;31-32&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;4-8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;18-22
    &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;12&nbsp;Warriors&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;27-34&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;2-1&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;1H&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;W&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;N/A&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;X&nbsp;&nbsp;16-21&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;W&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Yes<B>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;18</B>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;24
    &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;14&nbsp;Clippers&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;22-40&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;2-1&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;1H&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;W&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;N/A&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;X&nbsp;&nbsp;15-25&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;W&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Yes<B>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;12</B>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;29
    &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;15&nbsp;Kings&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;15-44&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;2-0&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;1H,1A&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;W&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;N/A&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;X&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;9-27&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;W&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Yes<B>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;8</B>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;36
    &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;13&nbsp;Wolves&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;15-48&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;2-1&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;1A&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;W&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;N/A&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;X&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;6-33&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;W&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Yes<B>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;4</B>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;36


    *&nbsp;Indicates&nbsp;the&nbsp;Tie&nbsp;Break&nbsp;is&nbsp;final
    Hou&nbsp;Magic&nbsp;Number&nbsp;is&nbsp;magic&nbsp;number&nbsp;needed&nbsp;for&nbsp;Rockets&nbsp;to&nbsp;clinch&nbsp;record&nbsp;over&nbsp;that&nbsp;team
    Opp&nbsp;Magic&nbsp;Number&nbsp;is&nbsp;magic&nbsp;number&nbsp;needed&nbsp;for&nbsp;respective&nbsp;opponent&nbsp;to&nbsp;clinch&nbsp;a&nbsp;better&nbsp;record&nbsp;than&nbsp;the&nbsp;Rockets.
    <B>
    Here&nbsp;are&nbsp;the&nbsp;Magic&nbsp;Numbers&nbsp;after&nbsp;all&nbsp;games&nbsp;were&nbsp;played&nbsp;on&nbsp;<B>March&nbsp;4</B>.
     
    #10 rpr52121, Mar 5, 2011
  11. BetterThanEver

    BetterThanEver Contributing Member

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    Rockets are last place in their division. If they make the playoffs, would they be the first team to make the playoffs while being last in their division?
     
    #11 BetterThanEver, Mar 5, 2011
  12. Easy

    Easy Boban Only Fan
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    If they knock off Memphis, they won't be last place. If they knock off Portland or Denver, then all 5 teams of the division will be in the playoffs. That could be a first time. I don't know.
     
    #12 Easy, Mar 5, 2011
  13. k-money

    k-money Member

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    no, because we need to get past memephis to make the playoffs.
     
    #13 k-money, Mar 5, 2011
  14. BetterThanEver

    BetterThanEver Contributing Member

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    What if the Trailblazers drop out of the playoffs and the Grizzlies and Rockets make it?
     
    #14 BetterThanEver, Mar 5, 2011
    Last edited: Mar 5, 2011
  15. ScriboErgoSum

    ScriboErgoSum Contributing Member

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    Thanks rpr52121. I really wanted to do a thread this year, but I barely have any free time this year. With my wife working five nights a week, a 3 year old daughter, and a 20 month old son, it's difficult to find time to even watch the games this season...
     
    #15 ScriboErgoSum, Mar 5, 2011
  16. red rocketz

    red rocketz Member

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    thanks for the info
     
    #16 red rocketz, Mar 5, 2011
  17. HoustonN06

    HoustonN06 Member

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    Very good write up. Thank you. We just need to worry about continuing to win and go from there. See where the dust settles at the end of March.
     
    #17 HoustonN06, Mar 5, 2011
  18. Easy

    Easy Boban Only Fan
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    Teach your kids to root for the Rockets. Never too early. :grin:
     
    #18 Easy, Mar 5, 2011
  19. ScriboErgoSum

    ScriboErgoSum Contributing Member

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    Way ahead of you, mate. Both of them reply "Rockets" when asked their favorite team. My daughter will also reply "Scola" when I ask her who her favorite player is.

    The difficult part is the dark side of basketball. They're pretty young. Is it too early to teach them to HATE the Jazz and Lakers?
     
    #19 ScriboErgoSum, Mar 5, 2011
    1 person likes this.
  20. fallenphoenix

    fallenphoenix Contributing Member

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    never too young to hate the jazz and lakers. just introduce them as the badguys
     
    #20 fallenphoenix, Mar 5, 2011
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