Good chance by the end of 2025. All anyone can think about is Twitter, Tesla and SpaceX. He now has the largest supercomputer and he is already has plans to 4x it. Nvidia/Jensen is already giving him first dibs (antitrust violation anyone?). Supercomputer + nueralink/brain chip + starlink/internet anywhere + Optimus. He is just warming up.
The 4x-ing of the Memphis supercomputer revealed last week made my head explode. Right now, FSD is looking pretty good. It would nuke the auto industry because of instant scalability. I was shocked when a company like BMW posted FSD 13 was "impressive". The market reaction of the tidal wave to license it could indeed put Elon over a trillion by next year. Of course, the effect of Optimus being successful down the line would make FSD seem like chump change. Then there is the specter of AGI...
I know some robotics people who think we are hampering the field when we limit our visions (or prioritize visions) where robots conform to human body types. May have greater markets if someone opens their mind a little bit. I've always wondered if something more like R2/D2 could be more palatable, useful and a hell of a lot less creepy. Not my area though, at all.
I totally agree with you on form types. Human-like robots do have a boatload of utility and demonstrating them publicly is very good for marketing and mindshare purposes. However, there is no doubt in my mind Musk and others are already thinking beyond them.
It's almost like everything Elon says is bullshit. Imagine how engineers feel listening to him speak.
Which is why he and trump are now BFF`s.......Elon is one of the biggest spreaders of lies on his platform...............but hey, all in the name of free speech.
