Interesting, I just watched a video about this. The hot hand actually does exist and the studies saying it doesn't were flawed.
You are taking my point too literally. Yes if you are taking a group of shot by a single player in particular situation there may be a hot hand. But I would argue that is not sequence of "random events" Those are a quick succession of events directly following one another by the same player. He even says, if you "take out the first 3 shots where players are finding their rhythm". Finding your rhythm would suggest that you are no longer looking at random events. However your original post would be the equivalent of different players taking one shot only on Labor day of each year for 10 years, and then saying that represents some sort of trend. Or say closer to your example would be a penalty kick shootout. Would your teammate making or missing their kick prior to your kick make more or less likely for you to make your kick and so forth. Like if you had posted the Texans have won 6 games in a row vs Indy, or 6 games in row @ home vs Indy, or such, that fit more with the video that you posted. Maybe this is more gambler's fallacy, but it is still a fallacy.
Good analysis. I've been harping all summer that we need a legit DT and I don't know if we really address that position. I trust Demeco, so only time will tell. However, you are right, we must stop the run and be able to protect Stroud.
Easier said than done. If they run a 4 Pass/Read option pistol front with 11 personnel, Addonai Mitchell on the motion/jet sweep with option for pitch, option to hand off to JT to run up middle (A/B gap), option for AR to run off tackle, option to throw to your pass catching option, either TE on a 7 yard curl/hitch or a 7 yard slant or a 10 yard boundary back shoulder come back to Pittman. OR Fake all that as part of a PA, or any such variant off that.
Not going to lie - I am little worried for this game but that just might be the old Texans disappointments from the past talking. No matter what happens, got to remember it is just 1 game, the first game, and anything can happen on the road. I've seen plenty of surprises and upsets the first week of football... it's the good teams that always find a way. If we lose, I am not worried... Although, when we win, Its going to set the tone the rest of the way.
I am nervous, because of Harris and our suspended DT. I have no doubt the Colts are going to be absolutely relentless with the running game and short passing on slants and TE. They won’t push AR to pass downfield or read defenses so Hunter and WA are not going to be able to pin their ear backs, they will have to really concentrate on setting the edge and hope Pitre can wrap up AR as a spy. We can’t score if we aren’t on the field.
