It’s a fair contract. I wouldn’t have complained about it if Houston had given it, but I’m not heartbroken that they didn’t.
Right, or it could be that there are a very limited number of team spending a lot of money, and those teams already signed other players. The Yankees only resigned LeMahieu and have dumped other players to get under the tax. The Red Sox are not really spending money. The Dodgers have been conservative this off season, as have the Angels and Red Sox. The only teams spending freely have been the Blue Jays and White Sox. The only big free agents signed so far are George Springer and DJ LeMahieu. Trevor Bauer remains unsigned, as does Marcell Ozuna, Justin Turner, Marcus Semien,
History has shown that catchers don't hold their value in their 30s. I think that's why Realmuto didn't get paid more, and you think it's a fluke of the market. No way to prove either of us wrong without talking to every GM in the league. What I do know if, I'm glad it wasn't the Astros who signed him, even at that price.
Ranking this the five best teams in each league thus far NL 1. Dodgers 2. Padres 3. Braves 4. Nats 5. Mets AL 1. Astros 2. Yankees 3. White Sox 4. Blue Jays 5. Angels
That’s not what the projections think. Projections: NL: 1. Dodgers 2. Padres 3. Mets 4. Braves 5. Nats AL: 1. Yankees 2. Blue Jays 3. Astros 4. White Sox 5. Twins/Angels As things stand the Astros’ lineup is arguably the best in the league, but their rotation and pitching staff as a whole is significantly worse than those other ranked teams.
I can buy the Yankees, White Sox and the A’s/Twins being in the same tier as the Astros, but, as currently constructed, the Blue Jays are not better. For that to become reality, they would have to sign Trevor Bauer.
What were the projections going into last year (honestly curious)? In terms of the Astros, I would point out that they went 29-31 last year with a +4 run differential. They lost Springer and added Alvarez. Beyond that, not many moves of note. Obviously a lot of young players last year, especially on the pitching side and you hope they improve, but lots of young players also turn out to be one-hit wonders so that part can work both ways. I think the Astros' saving grace is that outside of the Yankees, all the other good teams are relatively unproven as well.
The Astros primary reason for sucking against projections last season were Gurriel, Correa, and Altuve all being trash. It's expected all 3 will improve significantly. Bregs was off quite a bit as well. If those 3 combine for around a .650 OPS like last season, then we are gonna be a mediocre, maybe outright bad, team again this season.
There are generally 10% of teams 10 wins outside of projections each year. Most of the errors are either great health (leading to trade acquisitions) or extremely poor health. Astros odds were 36 wins before Verlander and Alvarez injuries were taken into account which should have lowered expectation to about 32 wins.
I don't get the Blue Jays. They have a great lineup already. It's like they refuse to get what they need which is pitching and more pitching. Their depth chart on their rotation is currently Ryu, Pearson, Roark, Ray, and Stripling...... They are going to be in a lot of 9-8 ball games.
I hope the Phillies give Gregorious a multi year deal and it takes them out of the SS market next offseason
