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[Official} ALDS Twins vs. Astros

Discussion in 'Houston Astros' started by Castor27, Oct 7, 2023.

  1. astrosrule

    astrosrule Member

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    How much would our % chance to win the series change if it was diaz every game instead of maldy? Replacing the worst player in the league with a star level player. Probably the worst player decision in terms of World Series probability in history i would imagine?
     
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  2. thegary

    thegary Contributing Member

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    Are they gonna move the start of our game to another channel or are we gonna miss the first few innings?
     
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  3. Radricky

    Radricky Member

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    I'll kill a mother ****er
     
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  4. donkeypunch

    donkeypunch Contributing Member

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    Its a shame mlb didnt allow the Astros to play on Alex Bregman day.
     
  5. Houstunna

    Houstunna The Most Unbiased Fan
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    Hello, game thread

    Hello, Maldy. Dude will start 80% of playoff games
     
  6. Elienator

    Elienator Member

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    Very little. In one game, any individual lineup decision can only have a small impact on the win probability.

    There are 10 guys playing, so 1 can only have so much impact. You are talking 4 at bats and the difference between an all star and a scrub is usually not even 1 hit every 10 at bats.

    Edit: Didn’t realize you said the entire series, but it’s a relatively small amount even over 5 games.
     
    #66 Elienator, Oct 7, 2023
    Last edited: Oct 7, 2023
  7. YOLO

    YOLO Member

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    Wouldn’t change
     
  8. Buck Turgidson

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    Hello game thread, my old friend
    I've come to talk with you again
    Because a vision softly creeping
    Left them seeds while I was sweeping
    And the vision that was planted in my brain
    Still remains
    Within the sound of baseball
     
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  9. RussE

    RussE Member

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    Let’s Go Astros. Score runs at MMP, please.
     
  10. jim1961

    jim1961 Member

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  11. astrosrule

    astrosrule Member

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    wouldn't change is a ridiculous statement. If dusty played dubon instead of yordan for the series, of course the probability changes. The question is how much does it hurt us
     
    everyday eddie likes this.
  12. AkeemTheDreem86

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  13. Commodore

    Commodore Contributing Member

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  14. marks0223

    marks0223 2017 and 2022 World Series Champions
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  15. YOLO

    YOLO Member

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    That’s a terrible attempt at a correlation

    it isn’t ridiculous. What’s ridiculous is you actually think a rookie shifts the odds of the current ws champs with the catcher they just literally won it with

    stop with either casual assumption
     
  16. astrosrule

    astrosrule Member

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    this is just bizarre, you're saying maldy and diaz are roughly equal players?
     
    everyday eddie likes this.
  17. YOLO

    YOLO Member

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    Your question would the odds change right now. They wouldn’t. The stros would stay the exact same favs. Maldy could get hurt and be out the rest of the postseason and the stros odds would remain constant. You know why bc there’s a whole lot more that determines the outcome then their catcher

    you act like this is basketball and a starting 5 missing their star. Nah baseball doesn’t work that way
     
  18. HookemHorns1250

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    still prefer to have Chas in there than Dubon
     
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  19. astrosrule

    astrosrule Member

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    The only way the odds dont change is if the 2 playere are identical.
     
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  20. YOLO

    YOLO Member

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    Wrong
     

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