ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US ONE OF US
Pardon me, batman. Allow me to rephrase the question: How will a speech at this point change the minds of the constituents of the 10 or so senators still needed to pass a useful bill? I can even answer for you with similar intellectually stimulating rejoinder as displayed in your original reply: Of course, in the interest of the actual intent of my question - what makes the idealist batman jones think that Obama's speech will actually be received and welcomed from a good chunk of people who 1) May not listen at all 2) May be indoctrinated into a panic by Fox news and their tea-partyin' tag teams Call me cynical, but I'm not sure a speech can make much of a dent in the idiocy proudly displayed by a good segment of the population. Call me really cynical, but I'm not sure that the senators would listen per say even if what you hypothesize takes place.
Don't take that "duh" bad, rhad. I was winking when I typed it. I just don't like smilies unless I'm making fun of someone. The answer is: Because we've been down this road before with Obama, his back against the wall, public opinion skating out of control, him giving the speech of his political life where the stakes are survival, and every time he's nailed it. From the Jefferson-Jackson Dinner in Iowa where his career was legitimately made to his Jed Bartlett-esque, historic race speech. The difference is that, in this case, he has far better material to work with and a far more ready audience. Everybody understands pre-existing conditions, for example, and everybody has a visceral response to the way they're treated by the insurance industry, because everybody knows someone that has one. Everybody understands illness and aging and the need for affordable care. Better, Obama has flat sucked on this issue so far so he has nowhere to go but up. And make no mistake: this is the speech of his political life. His presidency rides on it and he knows it. And this guy is really freaking good with his back to the wall. He's going to get out of his head a little and speak from the heart, which is where his speech will be felt by millions of Americans -- some who will watch live and many more who will watch it in clips for the next week as opinion is truly being formed on the largest issue of our day. Does that answer your question?
Much better. But again, I'm left to wonder if it will make enough impact to influence that many senators - particularly GOP senators.
You only need to influence 1-2 GOP Senators and shore up 3-4 Dem Senators if you don't want to go the reconciliation route. If you go reconciliation, you could probably pass it tomorrow with 55 votes..
Obama needs to make sure he includes some powerful anecdotes about people with insurance who have been denied coverage on technicalities. That will get the attention of the majority of the country that already has insurance. Also, he needs to follow up the speech with some major arm twisting of any reluctant Dems. The Republicans are now irrelavent.
An interesting take on how this speech could affect the outcome of health care reform: http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/09/biggest-moment-of-his-presidency-well.html
I agree. We're talking about a bunch of people who don't want their kids to listen to the president telling them that working hard in school is good, but we expect them to be swayed by a speech on healthcare? I so want it to be some pivotal moment, but what the president needs is a net of soundbitery so dumbed down and consistent that it could make someone like OddsOn pause, ever so briefly, before typing "fascist" on the interwebz. OddsOn, if you want to talk about fascism, I'd suggest two interesting courses: (1) look up which American family dynasties were heavily involved in german fascist industries and opposed going to war with the 3rd reich. Hint: one such family has sired presidents! (2) look up Il Duce's definition of fascism. (3) look up the 3rd Reich's view of socialism, your other big "ism" word lobbed at Obama. and... get back to us!
Nope... those are the crazy dead-enders who made up the 25% that always thought W was just swell. The speech is aimed at people who get pounded by the crazies to the point of thinking, "well, they may have a point."
this needs to be underscored. the injection of the greater moral dilemma is not only pointless but also harmful in its susceptibility as a convenient 'socialism' strawman. o' needs to stick to pragmatism, though this won't do one damn bit of good. i don't expect the same constituents gullible enough to buy into the death panel lies to actually understand market forces even at their most watered down denominator, while the GOP's leaders have already obviously made up their minds.
I hear you, but I still think he needs a web of uniform soundbitery that would make your average TV jingle seeth with envy.
The goal isn't to convince those people though. It needs to be to convince the middle of the country, which initially supported reform, but now has been scared/confused/lied to by the other side and has started to question it. You get those people back on board, and you easily have a solid majority in favor of it. The crazies would just have to deal with it.
From what I've read of the excerpts so far, there is definitely potential. It seems to be the sweeping emotional case for reform, will simple answers on what it does and doesn't do. Still seems to focus a lot on the uninsured, unfortunately. The key to the whole thing will be Obama's delivery of it and whether he still has that ability to turn public perception.
No matter how well or thoroughly Barack explains his plan or reaches "across the aisle," conservative leaders will twist his words and brainwash listeners/viewers. *cough* cough* Faux News *cough