Good be a good estimated choice for the 26th pick. Rarely do 26th picks last in the league, and I think Davis may not be anything special, but I think we know he'll be in the league for a long time for whatever reasons(good teammate, physicality, etc.). That alone should be solid. But we have to see who else is available at the time. I wouldn't be dissappointed with Big Baby.
You just listed 4 players in the last 6 years. I'll throw in Josh Howard, make it 5. (Kirilenko was picked 24th with knowledge he would take a year to come over, not 26th or later, Manu and Rashard were drafted more than 6 years ago). 5 picks in the last 6 years. There are 35 picks each year that are 26th or later. So, 5 picks out 210. 2%. Rarely sounds about right.
people are underestimating the depth of this draft. there will be better players available at 26. heck, we could prolly trade with seattle for 31 and 35 and take davis and afflalo.
also carlos boozer..look my point is there is going to be a steal in the late picks this year..its almost given..maybe its not glen davis but there will be one there
let me add some more pretty good talent after the 26th pick...Kevin martin (most improved player), anderson varejou, memet okur, gerald wallace,udonis haslem who wasnt even drafted...the list goes on
Nike, I'm guessing that those are the ones off of the top of his head. Surely we can find more than that who continue to contribute to their teams.
There's a hell of a lot more than that. The majority of the players in the NBA were drafted in those last 6 years. Just looking at the last 6 #26 picks (Jordan Farmar, Jason Maxiell, Kevin Martin, Ndubi Ebi, John Salmons, Samuel Dalembert), 5 of them are thriving in the league and 1 of those 5 (K-Mart) is looking like a future all-star. The one who hasn't made it, Ebi, averaged 13 ppg and 6 rpg in the d-league last season and is still only 23.
Actually, I remember reading that Daryl Morey did an analysis of the picks in this neighborhood, and concluded you have a success rate of 20% of so. The Rockets held a massive workout after the Orlando predraft camp... that's where he made the comment and said the purpose of the workout is to try and increase their odds.
continue to go back off of the top of my head and you get Ben Wallace, Brad Miller, Cat. I don't remember exactly where Cassell and Kenny Thomas were drafted but I know they were both drafted towards the end of the 1st round. Daniel Gibson, Paul Milsap are a couple from last year. Ryan Gnomes, Monta Ellis, David Lee are a few from 05 that are going to be contributers for a long time. Kevin Martin, Trevor Ariza and Chris Duhan are three others that could be had in that 26 to 40 range. The point is that every year there are keepers and sometimes stars found at the end of the 1st and early part of the 2nd round. This draft is supose to be as deep as people say that it is then it should make our chances just that much better at finding a gem when we pick at 26.
