Well maybe, but anyone can make a bunch of bets and only post the winners too. It's just more credible to post picks before. But don't get me wrong as you could very well be on a major heater. That 90% (or whatever) win rate is obv not sustainable though.
Like I said, I've posted losers as well. I posted a like 2k loss on the Warriors not too long ago. I don't bet every night but all I can do is post when I do and when I get a chance. it's not liking I'm running a tip service or gaining anything by what I post but whatever.
Well, here's the thing. When you post a bunch of picks after the fact and 90% of them are winners, it either means you are the best sports bettor of all time, you are on a major heater, or you are not posting all of your loss bets. What I do know as that your record is a lot less accurate (and far more realistic) in the picks you posted ahead of time... i know this because due to your accuracy I went on some of them (most memorably an nfl seahawks game that didn't work out). Now this may well be coincidence but I just think there's no point posting stuff after the game is over since that can lead to deceptive results.
Fair enough. Like I said, losses get posted too. Seahawks is one, San Fran was another and so were the Broncos (which I'm pretty sure two of those three were after the fact). Also, guys like Kwame can tell you I was posting half time bets for a while before the fact. Didn't realize it was such a big deal to you man. All good. I get nothing out of posting it win or lose so I won't bother.
I'd be concerned about the Dallas game. Minny has a good home record and Dallas has a bad road record, and when Minny wins, they tend to win big. So since they are expected to win, I'd also expect them to cover. I kind of like Utah -2.5 tonight. NOH -2.5 feels like a trap to me-- almost too good to be true when you look at the records and likely a letdown game for Portland, so I'm staying away from that one.
Portland @ NO: Under 211 Portland coming of a tough loss vs Miami, is probably itching to take out their anger on New Orleans. That being said, the reason for the line of -2.5 is simple. The previous game, the Hornets played the Blazers really tough and just lost down the stretch. Expecting a similar scoring game. To me the under looks like the correct play. If betting the line, i'd wait for the 2nd half for this game. If Gordon isnt playing...bet big on Portland ML. Chicago @ Memphis: Too close, staying away...Chicago coming off a loss is appealing and so is the under, but these teams are kinda similar... Miami @ Denver: These two teams play each other very close...Denver is in the midst of a 6 game losing streak. Miami coming of the highs of great bball in Portland. However, there is a reason the line is a bit small. Lebron most likely will not play, and I'll be surprised if another on of the big three wont either. Im betting on Denver to break their slump and the under if Lebron and Wade out. If Wade plays...i still like the Under, but wont bet on the line. if lebron plays, Miami wins by 4... Cha @ Utah: Under 189 PHX @ Clips: Im jumping on the PHX money train. Cant believe they are this good, and play well against good competition. However, Vegas knows heavy money on PHx...I like the Over for this game. Good luck to all
LeBron & co were out partying for his birthday last night. Not saying to bet Denver, but I'd stay away from this one. Heat also don't typically play well in Denver to begin with. Hope I'm wrong though.
^^^ notsrs about being out partying for his birthday... but srs about the Heat typically not being good in Denver. Who knows, maybe LeBron will go off on a birthday game.
Hey guys, I've been reading on this board for forever and right now I just need to vent about the Rockets. How do you gamble on them!? Its frustrating, I thought the fact they were favored by 10 on 5dimes was insane. The Kings beat us pretty badly last time we played and now we have even more injuries. We were either going to win a close game or lose. I hate betting against them because, to me, it feels wrong when I secretly root against my team. Have y'all ever bet against them and how do yall handle that?
I usually avoid betting on them in general. Even though in my 'betting code of honor' I refuse to ever bet against my favorite teams (except maybe the Astros) I still don't think there a great team to bet against unbiasedly, because they are so inconsistent. You never know what type of performance you'll get from them, so betting on or against them is like playing Russian Roulette. The only time I bet on the Rockets is if they are playing a team like the Spurs, and the ML is like +260. The risk/reward is good considering the Rockets track record playing good teams. 'Trap games' (games against weaker teams coming off of a big win) are games you should avoid entirely.
I like the Grizz +5.5 tonight. The Suns are the type of team they can contain. Also, OKC seems to be getting value (incredibly) even at -12 vs the imploding Nets.
