Thanks man. I turned it on with about 4 minutes left in the half and knew it was free money. Jordan Crawford going 8-8 was pure comedy. He banked in a 3 to end the first half. I'd like to have the Warriors at -2
Yeah, I think the real key to sports betting is to look for these weird situations and go heavy on them. At the end of the year a lot of good teams rest but the oddsmakers don't adjust the lines and that's easy money too. And then there are the truly bizarre situations. There was one game in 2006 where the Clippers played the Grizzlies and the LOSER would fall into the favorable playoff bracket because of the way the NBA did division-winner seedings at the time (this actually led to the a new rule). So I knew for a fact that Coach Dunleavy, who has no moral scruples, would throw the game and he did by resting everyone. The Clippers were actually favored so it was like cha-ching!
I don't have it. I said I'd like to have it there. I could tease it but I'm hoping the first half stays close
With curry out, lakers at home, natinal tv, and pau's pledge, i took lakers ml at last minute. Hope it holds up!
A lot of things went wrong tonight with the sides I took in all three of these games as Josh Smith was benched for Detroit, Marc Gasol was injured for Memphis, and DRose was inured for the Bulls. I feel fortunate to have gone 1-2. I'm going to take a break for a week or so and then try and stick to spot betting only 3 or 4 games a week.
(In Australia) Houston 11+ is paying 5.25 And even Houston for the win is at 1.8 which mightn't seem like much but I thought it would be much shorter odds with Gasol injured. What are the thoughts in regards to this game?
I'm a casual NBA fan for now, but it happens a lot of time that an injury to a critical player makes his team to overperform in next 1-2 games. However, I think this will still not be enough for Memphis to beat Houston. HOU, perimeter: Great offense and bad defense. MEM, perimeter: Bad offense and great defense. HOU, inside: Solid offense and good defense. MEM, perimeter: Good offense and solid defense. So basically they cancel each other out, but I think JLin and Beverly will give Conley fits. Also we have Omer who can shut ZBo down. Conley will get his 20-25 points, but our perimeter players will prevail offensively (Bev, Lin, AB).
I also had Indiana on -7, so yesterday was a good day for me (finally!). I don't know if I'd take anything for today...so unpredictable. LAL are on a run and are playing against Wizards with injured Beal, however Wizards are playing at home. I'm tempted to go +3.5 for LAL @2.05... Atlanta at -8, I don't know...ORL is also very unpredictable as any young team (PHI, PHX, NOP) is now. GSW-NOP (GSW -3) @1.952 seems most reasonable to me. GSW is playing without Iguodala, but they have healthy Barnes who can play the 3, Klay will make it tough for JRue and Hibbert will probably take on Davis. So unpredictable though...
What are your thoughts on these markets I found on bet365? Double result: NOP-GSW @5.5 GSW-NOP @6.5 The odds are so high they will cover the loss if you win one of the two. Of course the conventional wisdom tells us GSW will win both halves, but especially at start of the season there is a lot of unpredictability. Who'd say for example that HOU would be losing at half against MEM, but overcame the deficit and won in the end (with bench!)?
Ok, I just found out not only Iguodala is out for GSW, but Bogut as well. This means Speights probably starts at C and Lee at PF, which shouldn't be too much for NOP to handle. GSW could go small with Barnes at 4 though and I wonder if Barnes can keep Ryan Anderson from catching fire. AFAIK, Barnes is a very solid defender, but Anderson's been great in last few games coming from injury. What do you think? Anyway, NOP +3 @1.9 seems plausible to me.
Spurs @OKC tomorrow is intriguing. Spurs have been playing mediocre competition but absolutely destroying them, and they appear to be in a really comfortable groove. OKC is undefeated at home. The line is OKC -2.5, but I'm tempted to take the Spurs ML. Recently I've been making money just betting halftime lines, which tend to be easier (particularly if the better team is down at the half). But this matchup is very interesting.
Westbrook is well-rested and Tiago Splitter has ankle problems. I give an edge to Thunder. The GSW-NOP bet was a success, and so was the double chance. If put $100 at each, the total profit would be $450, which basically means the odds were 4.5. For today I have: IND Pacers - CHA Bobcats (IND -8) @1.943 CHI Bulls - DET Pistons (DET -4) @1.926 LA Lakers - BK Nets (LAL +2.5) @1.952 Double result: ORL - PHI @7 PHI - ORL @5.25 I also have ATL-HOU (HOU -8), but I'm waiting for bookies. Will probably be around 1.9. I also think ATL-HOU game has a good double result probability; since HOU ended the TT experiment, I feel like we build a nice lead early, but let it slip away in 2nd half.
I'm surprised they aren't giving the Lakers more points. They are pretty bad on the road, and it's a b2b.
Because Brooklyn is also on b2b game. Kidd has to preserve the old starters, so he will play bench more. And since LAL's bench is one of the best this season, BKN-LAL bench showdown goes to LAL. That's my reasoning at least...
Hmm, I see the Nets winning this one. I think they are going to put together a little streak. No way they are THIS bad.
Might take the Cavs 1st half against the Heat (and Heat 2nd half if they are down). Heat have been coasting in the 1st halves of games and then blowing teams out in the 3rd. On the road, should be lots of emotion, could be a good bet.
2nd half in-game betting is too easy at times...every time an underdog is leading after halftime, you just put whatever sum you like on favourite to cover the spread in 2nd halftime and you rarely miss. You are lucky you can do this at evening...I was doing this every now and then at 4am, heh.
