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Magic Numbers against the Western Conference

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by ScriboErgoSum, Feb 20, 2009.

  1. WhoMikeJames

    WhoMikeJames Contributing Member

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    Thanks Scribo... Bet you can't wait for Wednesday, haha.


    "Utah win + N.O. win + Denver loss + Rockets Win = Rockets 2nd seed vs. Utah 7th seed"

    Eh... Not good. Go Lakers.
     
  2. BrooksBall

    BrooksBall Contributing Member

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    We don't really have a bracket yet, do we?

    The Jazz could lose tomorrow, locking into the 8 spot, and with a Spurs win and a Blazers win combined with a Rockets loss, we could end up 5th, right?
     
  3. Mailman

    Mailman Member

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    The odds of both the Hornets and Jazz winning road games against the Spurs and Lakers are slim IMO.
     
  4. UrlPerlMonroe

    UrlPerlMonroe Rookie

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    Lakers will not tank against the Jazz because of pride!

    Infact, I'd say they would demolish the Jazz and send a message to the rest of the league.
     
  5. HTownTmac1

    HTownTmac1 Member

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    if we get second or third seed, which day would we play for playoffs??? saturday or sunday?..

    would anybody happen to know this
     
  6. rawool

    rawool Member

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    We won't find out until late Wednesday/Thursday morning.
     
  7. ScriboErgoSum

    ScriboErgoSum Contributing Member

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    Sometimes I don't know how the Numbers work... :eek:

    I think it'll shake out:
    1) Lakers
    2) Rockets
    3) Nuggets
    4) Blazers
    5) Spurs
    6) Hornets
    7) Mavs
    8) Jazz
     
  8. LAYGO

    LAYGO Contributing Member

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    Ideal situation for Rox:
    Seed #2 or #3
    Blazers #4
    Jazz #8

    If all that falls into place, we're looking at a chance at making the WCF. Exciting to think about.

    Whatever it takes to get that done, do it guys!

    LETS GO ROCKETS!
     
  9. agentkirb87

    agentkirb87 Member

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    I think a #2 Rockets > Spurs > Blazers scenario is impossible. The Blazers have the tie breaker over the Spurs. And the Blazers also have to beat the Nuggets for us to be #2.
     
  10. El Toro

    El Toro Contributing Member

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    Thanks Scribo.

    Don't we have the overall tiebreak against the Hornets due to our head-to-head matchups? I think at this point the overall tiebreak favors the Rockets over every other Western conf. playoff team save for the Lakers and Spurs.
     
    1 person likes this.
  11. wireonfire

    wireonfire Contributing Member

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    We have to remember the Jazz/Lakers and Nuggets/Blazers games are after most of the other games. So they could play accordingly.

    The NBA should have started the games at the same time.
     
  12. ScriboErgoSum

    ScriboErgoSum Contributing Member

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    Jazz @ Lakers is tomorrow, a full day before the main event on Wednesday.
     
  13. wireonfire

    wireonfire Contributing Member

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    Sorry, my bad. Somehow I forgot that. Cool!
     
  14. Yetti

    Yetti Contributing Member

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    La win, Denver win, Hou win--- then what??????????? :p
     
  15. Tree Rollins

    Tree Rollins Member

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    1. Lakers
    2. Denver
    3. Rockets
    4/5. Spurs/Blazers

    You need to predict the Spurs/Hornets game in order to accurately produce the final standings.
     
  16. bratna8

    bratna8 Member

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    We're 3rd seed if we win.
     
  17. Jerry

    Jerry Member

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    Actually the situation is not as messy as it looks like.

    If we look closely, the outcome of several crucial games are not that unpredictable:

    (Just my two cents:)

    First : NO will lose in SA. As we saw in today's game, NO got no chemistry or momentum going, while on the contrary, SA play at home and with too much at stake: home court and division champ. I don't see any chance of NO upset.

    Second : Denver will lose in Portland. Denver already clinched NW division champ and first round home court (either 2nd or 3rd seed), while Portland is playing at home and fighting for home court. I am not saying Denver would tank, but they just don't have as much incentive to fight for. It's more like a win for Portland.

    With above assumptions, we are locked to be either 2nd seed or 5th seed depending on the outcome of dallas game, no matter Utah beats Lakers or not.

    Here is why:

    Utah win + N.O. loss + Denver loss + Rockets Win = Rockets 2nd seed vs. N.O. 7th seed (Utah 6th seeds, dallas 8th)

    Utah win + N.O. loss + Denver loss + Rockets Loss = Rockets 5th seed vs. Potland 4th seed (Utah 7th seeds, dallas 6th)

    Utah Loss + N.O. loss + Denver loss + Rockets Win = Rockets 2nd seed vs. Dallas 7th seed (Utah 8th seeds, dallas 7th)

    Utah Loss + N.O. loss + Denver loss + Rockets Loss = Rockets 5th seed vs. Potland 4th seed (Utah 8th seeds, dallas 6th)


    Now, if go further:

    If Utah loss against Lakers: We have a much bigger chance of winning in Dallas, cause Utah would have locked 8th seed, and Dallas will have no incentive beating Houston, they will either face Houston in First round ( by losing to Houston) or face SA ( by beating Houston). If you were Dallas, who would you pick in the first round? I would expect Dallas resting JH and Dirk, and a Houston win in Dallas.

    If Utah wins in LA: Dallas will fight like crazy to avoid Lakers in the first round. I would predict a Houston road loss in Dallas.


    That leave us with two most possible outcome:

    Utah win + N.O. loss + Denver loss + Rockets Loss = Rockets 5th seed vs. Potland 4th seed (Utah 7th seeds, dallas 6th)
    Utah Loss + N.O. loss + Denver loss + Rockets Win = Rockets 2nd seed vs. Dallas 7th seed (Utah 8th seeds, dallas 7th)


    Now back to the Utah/Lakers, if I have to pick, I think Laker would win out. I just don't think Lakers would tank, plus Utah is a horrible road team.

    So here is my prediction:

    Utah Loss + N.O. loss + Denver loss + Rockets Win = Rockets 2nd seed vs. Dallas 7th seed (Utah 8th seeds, dallas 7th)

    Just for fun..
     
    1 person likes this.
  18. wang69

    wang69 Member

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    you raise some good points about the likelihood of spurs and blazers winning out. i agree that the two most likely scenarios are rockets 2nd seed vs NOH 7th seed or rockets 2nd seed vs dallas 7th seed. the only difference is dependent on the outcome of UTH-LAL game tomorrow.
     
  19. Gakatron

    Gakatron Contributing Member

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    Those idiots at ESPN have us in 4th... pretty sure we are third now we tied them on division.

    nvm noticed nba.com has us in the right spot!
     
  20. Tree Rollins

    Tree Rollins Member

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    Sportscenter correctly had the Rockets in 3rd.
     

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