Nice comparison..and to me the last stat was the one which stood out and which is obviously our biggest weakness *looking somewhat critical at our backcourt *
With 15 games left, the magic number to make the playoffs is 12. The loss to GSW really hurt our chance for #6 seed. GSW with 9 of 13 remaining games play at home (22-10 home record) makes it really tough to catch them. Our losing magic number for #6 seed is also 12. Seed - Magic # # 7 ---- 13 # 8 ---- 12 http://www.playoffstatus.com/nba/westernwinmagicnumbers.html Teams are fighting for playoffs (current standing): #6 GSW 39-30 Remaining games: 13 8 home / 5 away Remaning Strength of Schedule (SOS): 50% (16th in the league) #7 HOU 36-31 Remaining games: 15 9 home / 6 away Remaning SOS: 50% (17th) #8 LAL: 36-33 Remaining games: 13 7 home / 6 away Remaning SOS: 51% (11th) #9 UTA: 34-33 Remaining games: 15 7 home / 8 away Remaning SOS: 52% (9th) 03/19 ESPN (Holliger) Warriors 96.3% Rockets 92.7% Lakers 61.5% Jazz 31.9% Basketball Reference Warriors 99.4% Rockets 94.9% Lakers 70.4% Jazz 24.2 % playoffstatus.com Warriors 99% Rockets 86% Lakers 64% Jazz 41%
My original goal, for this stretch of home games, was to get the magic number down to a single digit, and it looks very promising. With 14 games left (3 more home games this stretch), the magic number is 11. However it's only a glimmer of hope for the 6 seed despite the loss by GSW yesterday. They have an easier schedule for the rest of the season. Seed - Magic # # 7 ---- 12 # 8 ---- 11 http://www.playoffstatus.com/nba/westernwinmagicnumbers.html Teams are fighting for playoffs (current standing): #6 GSW 39-31 Remaining games: 12 7 home / 5 away Remaning Strength of Schedule (SOS): 48% (24th in the league) #7 HOU 37-31 Remaining games: 14 8 home / 6 away Remaning SOS: 50% (15th) #8 LAL: 36-33 Remaining games: 13 7 home / 6 away Remaning SOS: 51% (10th) #9 UTA: 34-34 Remaining games: 14 7 home / 7 away Remaning SOS: 51% (9th) 03/21 ESPN (Holliger) Warriors 97% Rockets 97% Lakers 65% Jazz 30.9% Basketball Reference Warriors 98.6% Rockets 97.6% Lakers 75.3% Jazz 22.7 % playoffstatus.com Warriors 99% Rockets 94% Lakers 66% Jazz 34%
Single digit! Absolutely ecstatic how fast our magic number reduced to just a single digit. Capturing the #6 seed is still a long shot at this stage; GSW still has the easier schedule w/ mostly home games and against sub .500 teams. Seed - Magic # # 7 ---- 10 # 8 ---- 9 http://www.playoffstatus.com/nba/westernwinmagicnumbers.html Teams are fighting for playoffs (current standing): #6 GSW 39-31 Remaining games: 12 9 home / 3 away Remaning Strength of Schedule (SOS): 48% (23th in the league) #7 HOU 38-31 Remaining games: 13 7 home / 6 away Remaning SOS: 51% (13th) #8 LAL: 36-34 Remaining games: 12 6 home / 6 away Remaning SOS: 53% (5th) #9 UTA: 34-35 Remaining games: 13 7 home / 6 away Remaning SOS: 50% (18th) 03/23 ESPN (Holliger) Warriors 98.3% Rockets 97.4% Lakers 51.6% Jazz 31% Basketball Reference Warriors 99.4% Rockets 99.2% Lakers 65.2% Jazz 23.6% playoffstatus.com Warriors 99% Rockets 96% Lakers 51% Jazz 37% Great color coded charts. Thx!
Huge win for us, both for our playoff chances and confident. With 12 games remaining, our magic number is down to 7. If we can keep up with our current momentum (longest win streak since Jan.), 6th seed is certainly possible, Seed - Magic # # 7 ---- 9 # 8 ---- 7 http://www.playoffstatus.com/nba/westernwinmagicnumbers.html Teams are fighting for playoffs (current standing): #6 GSW 40-31 Remaining games: 11 8 home / 3 away Remaning Strength of Schedule (SOS): 49% (21st in the league) #7 HOU 39-31 Remaining games: 12 6 home / 6 away Remaning SOS: 49% (19th) #8 LAL: 36-34 Remaining games: 12 6 home / 6 away Remaning SOS: 53% (5th) #9 UTA: 34-36 Remaining games: 12 8 home / 4 away Remaning SOS: 50% (16th) #10 MAVS: 34-36 Remaining games: 12 7 home / 5 away Remaning SOS: 52% (9th) 03/25 ESPN (Holliger) Rockets 99.3% Warriors 98.9% Lakers 54% Jazz 26.1% Mavs 15.6% Basketball Reference Rockets 99.8% Warriors 99.2% Lakers 67.2% Jazz 16.5% Mavs 13.5% playoffstatus.com Rockets 99% Warriors 99% Lakers 56% Jazz 27% Mavs 13%
pretty sure our magic number is 8, not 7 If we go 7-5 and the Mavs win out, they have the tiebreaker over us.
It's actually more complicated than that b/c you also have to take Lakers into consideration. If Mavs win out while we go 7-5, we might still make the playoffs, depending on how Lakers do. Lakers can't possibly win out to since they have one game vs Mavs. If one of our wins comes from Lakers and Lakers win the rest (10-2), we will be tied but we will edge them out on tiebreaker. If it's only a simple two-team race, then you are right about that!
Isn't our magic number for the #6 seed 12? If both us and GSW win out, we hold the tiebreaker, right?
Damn @ 99% chance, it would take an epic collapse to miss the playoffs. At 99%, that's odds I would bet my house on.
Utah & Dallas have 12 games left and are 5 games behind. The Rockets would basically have to lose every game to miss the play-offs. I don't see a series ending well against any of the top seeds though, which is sad, but at least we made it right?
Update on Rockets O and D during our longest winning streak (3) since January. Season vs last three games: (Offense) Season - Last 3 --------------------------------- #3 - #6 - Offensive Efficiency #1 - #4 - Points/Game #8 - #2 - Average Scoring Margin #4 - #3 - Points in the Paint/Game #7 - #10 - Team Shooting % #4 - #8 - Efficient FG % #4 - #4 - True Shooting % #6 - #3 - 2-point % #7 - #19 - 3-point % #17- #10 - Free Throw % #1 - #7 - Points from 3-point #3 - #4 - Fastbreak Efficiency #2 - #4 - Fastbreak Points/Game (Defense) Season - Last 3 --------------------------------- #18 - #3 - Defensive Efficiency (PPP) #28 - #5 - Opponent Points/Game #15 - #3 - Opponent Points in Paint per Game #20 - #2 - Opponent Fastbreak Points per Game #12 - #1 - Opponent Fastbreak Efficiency #21 - #6 - Opponent Points from 2 pointers #29 - #12 - Opponent Points from 3 pointers Believe it or not. We are a top 5 defensive team in the last 3 games. We might not be as prolific offensively but we made a huge stride in defense. This is exactly what we will need in post season games! Props to McHale and the rest of our coaching staff! Edit: Props to TRob, DMo, and the rest of the players who made huge progress in D!
Last three games (1-2) were a tough stretch and only improved our magic number by one. The teams we are trying to eliminate were winning. With 9 games remaining, our magic number is 6. The good news is we have the easiest remaining schedule (opponents win/loss 43%)! Seed - Magic # # 7 ---- 6 # 8 ---- 6 http://www.playoffstatus.com/nba/westernwinmagicnumbers.html Teams to watch (current standing): #6 GSW 42-32 Remaining games: 8 5 home / 3 away Remaning Strength of Schedule (SOS): 51% (15th in the league) #7 HOU 40-33 Remaining games: 9 4 home / 5 away Remaning SOS: 43% (27th) #8 UTA: 38-36 Remaining games: 8 5 home / 3 away Remaning SOS: 52% (11th) #9 LAL: 38-36 Remaining games: 8 6 home / 2 away Remaning SOS: 56% (3th) #10 MAVS: 36-37 Remaining games: 9 4 home / 5 away Remaning SOS: 48% (18th) 04/01 (April Fool's Day:grin ESPN (Holliger) Rockets 99% Warriors 99% Jazz 48.5% Lakers 45.7% Mavs 7.6% Basketball Reference Warriors 99.6% Rockets 99% Lakers 48.9% Jazz 41.3% Mavs 11.2% playoffstatus.com Warriors 99% Rockets 98% Jazz 57% Lakers 37% Mavs 9% Pacers, Grizzlies, Clippers are ranked #1, #2, #8 in defense. For those who are interested in stats: Season vs last three games: (Offense) Season - Last 3 --------------------------------- #5 - #28 - Offensive Efficiency #2 - #26 - Points/Game #9 - #13 - Average Scoring Margin #3 - #10 - Points in the Paint/Game #8 - #29 - Team Shooting % #4 - #29 - Efficient FG % #4 - #26 - True Shooting % #6 - #28 - 2-point % #9 - #24 - 3-point % #16- #9 - Free Throw % #1 - #7 - Points from 3-point #3 - #9 - Fastbreak Efficiency #2 - #4 - Fastbreak Points/Game (Defense) Season - Last 3 --------------------------------- #16 - #5 - Defensive Efficiency (PPP) #28 - #5 - Opponent Points/Game #14 - #15 - Opponent Points in Paint per Game #22 - #22 - Opponent Fastbreak Points per Game #12 - #13 - Opponent Fastbreak Efficiency #21 - #14 - Opponent Points from 2 pointers #28 - #6 - Opponent Points from 3 pointers
Actually 6 wins would guarantee us a playoff spot but not the 7th seed. If the Lakers won out, we would be tied at 46-36 and they would have the tiebreaker against us with a 2-2 head-to-head record and a better conference record. However if multiple teams tied at 46-36 we would have the tiebreaker over any combination of the Warriors, Lakers, and Jazz.
Six wins will guaratee a playoff spot, but if one of the six wins is against Lakers, Rockets will take the 7th seed. So it is still a minimnum number of wins required for 7th seed.
Seed - Magic # # 7 ---- 5 # 8 ---- 3 http://www.playoffstatus.com/nba/westernwinmagicnumbers.html Teams to watch (current standing): #6 GSW 43-32 Remaining games: 7 4 home / 3 away Remaning Strength of Schedule (SOS): 53% (9th in the league) #7 HOU 42-33 Remaining games: 7 3 home / 4 away Remaning SOS: 47% (25th) #8 LAL: 39-36 Remaining games: 7 5 home / 2 away Remaning SOS: 57% (4th) #9 UTA: 39-37 Remaining games: 6 3 home / 3 away Remaning SOS: 52% (10th) 04/04 ESPN (Holliger) Rockets 99.9% Warriors 99.6% Lakers 59.6% Jazz 38.1% Basketball Reference Warriors 99.7% Rockets 99.6% Lakers 66.2% Jazz 30.4% playoffstatus.com Warriors 99% Rockets 99% Lakers 49% Jazz 49% For those who are interested in stats: Season vs last three games: (Offense) Season - Last 3 --------------------------------- #6 - #13 - Offensive Efficiency #2 - #4 - Points/Game #9 - #4 - Average Scoring Margin #2 - #2 - Points in the Paint/Game #8 - #17 - Team Shooting % #4 - #13 - Efficient FG % #4 - #16 - True Shooting % #6 - #13 - 2-point % #9 - #17 - 3-point % #16- #18 - Free Throw % #2 - #4 - Points from 3-point #2 - #1 - Fastbreak Efficiency #2 - #6 - Fastbreak Points/Game (Defense) Season - Last 3 --------------------------------- #16 - #4 - Defensive Efficiency (PPP) #28 - #11 - Opponent Points/Game #15 - #12 - Opponent Points in Paint per Game #23 - #13 - Opponent Fastbreak Points per Game #10 - #6 - Opponent Fastbreak Efficiency #21 - #11 - Opponent Points from 2 pointers #28 - #9 - Opponent Points from 3 pointers
