seriously...can't see even that making a difference. He's played the security card and the flip flop card just so much... ...unless he finds him hiding in the back of Kerry's SUV...
The capture of OBL will be announced one week before election if necessory, and GWB will win big. Book it.
Giddy, you're a riot! Gynch, who the hell is digby?? That was very well written. Man, if Oprah was ever elected President, I think I'd step in front of a bus. I wish I were as confident as some of you about Kerry winning... and I have to say I'm more confident than a lot of the rest of you. I heard recently, on CNN, or a talking-head show somewhere, that the next 4 years may see four retirements from the Supreme Court. That possibility, and the lifetime appointments to the Federal Courts, are reason enough to vote against Bush. The thought of him having that power for 4 more years is enough to make me believe Kerry will win. The alternative is too frightening to consider. So, sure, Kerry/Edwards are going to win. It wouldn't be close if Kerry and the DNC had run the campaign like they should have, at least until recently, when they brought in a bunch of new people and shook things up. Kerry won't destroy the country, and he won't promote a radical agenda. I think Republicans will find him someone they can live with, as I found that the country could survive Ronald Reagan. And, who knows? Perhaps Kerry will surprise even a lot of Democrats, and turn out to be a pretty good President. He'll be lucky if the Democrats get de facto control over the House or the Senate, so he'll have to either be extremely clever, or extremely lucky, to get the majority of his agenda through Congress. basso? The worm turns. Keep D&D Civil!!
The nation is evenly divided. Turnout may decide the race. I think Kerry has the edge, since the debates will give him BIG MO. But if Democrats don't have a strong showing at the polls on November 2nd, ... BTW, I think Kerry and the DNC are right where they want to be. They have a strong "underdog" candidate with momemtum and an opponent whose negatives would challenge those of Jimmy Carter. Nobody can accuse Kerry on peaking too soon (with which Rove would have the time and money to deal)
I've considered it and it is mind blowing. I have stated this before so forgive me if you have heard it. Rehnquist was appointed by Nixon. Nixon was elected to his second term when I was a month and a half old. I will turn 32 in December... The next President may very well appoint Justices to the Supreme Court that could be around until after I retire. The fact that Bush may be the one to do this makes me want to tear my hair out.
The margins were a little more severe at times, but the back and forth was the same. IIRC in the last two months the lead switched from 10 for Gore to 10 for Bush to tied. And there were several ties along the way. Chance: I go to Electoral Vote first thing every morning, but I'm very disappointed in their decision to change from latest polls to a week's average. The race is too volatile to get a good read from a week long sample. (What good is a pre-debate poll now? And what good will last weekend's poll be after tonight's debate? Answer: None.) And anyway, I can get those all over the web. What I liked about that site was that it gave us the very latest (semi-)reliable poll from each state. It doesn't do that anymore.
Anyone who did that doesn't understand the difference between the two. Rasmussen conducts polls; Electoral Vote just reports them.
you might find this report from the fascists at slate interesting: http://slate.msn.com/id/2107683/ they've gor bush up 348 to 190.
I find your smirky sarcasm interesting (fascists at slate, rightest [sic] of polls] and vaguely familiar... Where have I seen that... Oh, yes. September 30th. Also interesting is that, if you scroll down that slate page, you'll find that the vast majority of the state polls cited were conducted before September 30th.
If September 30th is what liberals are going to rally around as the turning point in the Kerry campaign, then there is not much substance to the Kerry campaign in the first place.
You're right. What of substance could the voters learn about the candidates by seeing them stand side by side answering questions about foriegn policy without the media "filter".
Wanna see a filter? Here's the filter you saw on your TV screen. Here's reality. Perception is everything...
