1. Welcome! Please take a few seconds to create your free account to post threads, make some friends, remove a few ads while surfing and much more. ClutchFans has been bringing fans together to talk Houston Sports since 1996. Join us!

[James Harden] Less turnover this season.

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by 220living, Dec 13, 2017.

  1. vlaurelio

    vlaurelio Contributing Member

    Joined:
    Jan 26, 2005
    Messages:
    21,310
    Likes Received:
    11,755
    he has better ATO% expecially when Paul went back so it's not simply he's having less turnovers because he's assisting/passing less

    and if you're saying he's simply scoring more that actually means he's playing more his traditional SG and actually "ceding" the ball to Crisypy Point Gawd

    before all the plays he had to create himself or others.. now most of the plays Cp3 creates when they're together on the court

    so he's lower assists is not simply he's shooting better

    and its obvious he's still "hero" passing/assisting/dribbling/penetrating alot

    gotta admit he's a more efficient passer, shooter, scorer, even defender now with another who happens to be an even better and highly efficient playmaker and 3 elite 3&D additions
    especially if cp3s on the court with him toether and I just hope he maintains that
     
    #41 vlaurelio, Dec 14, 2017
    Last edited: Dec 14, 2017
    220living likes this.
  2. durvasa

    durvasa Contributing Member

    Joined:
    Feb 11, 2006
    Messages:
    38,037
    Likes Received:
    15,519
    Yeah, I think you're right. I looked at the numbers at nbawowy.com since Paul returned. Harden's usage doesn't change that much, but it shifts more to scoring when he's with Paul, and more to passing when he's without Paul. As one would expect.
     
    vlaurelio likes this.
  3. ApacheWarrior

    ApacheWarrior Member

    Joined:
    Aug 3, 2017
    Messages:
    9,368
    Likes Received:
    12,457
    I know you won’t give the collective group 3 point % as a whole credit for greater spacing for play making.

    I will take the 3pt % of Luc MaM/CP3/Tucker over Beverley/Dekker/Harrell/Lou Williams any day.

    The defense of Tucker and Luc has allowed Ariza to rest more defensively.....allowing his 3 pt stroke
    to improve almost equal to that when he was is Washington.
    I will check Ariza drives and play making from 16/17 with your 3 point shooters of LouW/Bev/Harrell/Dekker
    vs Ariza drives and play making in 17/18 with my 3 point shooters of CP3/Luc/Tucker/Harden

    I would refer you to my post #31 of this thread on “wide open” shots. I’m guessing you equate it to “play makers”.
    What came first the chicken or the egg argument.
    Did play making create more space......or more space create better more efficient play making.

    You and I will disagree. Probably falls somewhere in between. But CP3 has mainly played in basically the last 11.
     
    hakeem94 likes this.
  4. ApacheWarrior

    ApacheWarrior Member

    Joined:
    Aug 3, 2017
    Messages:
    9,368
    Likes Received:
    12,457
    @basketballholic
    You have to understand that with top 5 defense the Rockets are running and getting out in the fast break more often since they are not taking it out from under the rim inbounding....like last year.
    Most people wouldn’t call Kevin Love a play maker; but he can throw the ball down the court to an open guy
    at the 3-point line at the far end. Every Rocket has the green light to advance the ball to an open shooter.
    Spacing not created by so-called play makers.....just players.
     
    hakeem94 likes this.
  5. kingkingston

    kingkingston Member

    Joined:
    Jul 1, 2013
    Messages:
    15,310
    Likes Received:
    9,094
    he didn't have many bad passes at all but people who only look at the TPG stat don't know the real stat that tells the true story of whether a player turns the ball over a lot when he has it

    turnover percentage is the true stat
     
    hakeem94 likes this.
  6. palmsnbananas

    palmsnbananas Member

    Joined:
    Oct 21, 2010
    Messages:
    1,545
    Likes Received:
    2,315


    This ^^^

    That's is one of the best barometers of his improvement, he has to take less bad passes now that CP3 is here and the turnovers are way down.
    His individual defense and general standing around on defense is still the biggest weakness of the team. He needs to rotate and box out the center when the our center doubles or comes out on picks. Like CP3 said the regular season is about habits, no one cares if you win 70 games its about playing the right way so you know how to perform in the playoffs.. and were not there yet. We need to be more spurs like on D... wishful thinking??
     
    hakeem94 likes this.
  7. Mathloom

    Mathloom Shameless Optimist
    Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Oct 4, 2008
    Messages:
    18,535
    Likes Received:
    18,737
    Meh I don't buy all that. I don't think Harden was in the business of recommending teammates based on how much he would hold the ball or control the player. I think maybe he didn't like the fit, and I also think it likely he - like most non-scouts - is not a good judge of talent. Not a big deal.

    I don't think it could have been anyone. Harden had to have been ok with it for the chemistry to work so it doesn't make sense to say he could've had a great playmaking teammate. That player wouldn't be great if Harden wasn't on board.
     
  8. vlaurelio

    vlaurelio Contributing Member

    Joined:
    Jan 26, 2005
    Messages:
    21,310
    Likes Received:
    11,755
    links? quotes?
     
  9. Kevooooo

    Kevooooo Member

    Joined:
    Jul 18, 2014
    Messages:
    5,484
    Likes Received:
    4,408
    I've seen him make layups and even a jumper this year. He's having a fantastic year! :D

    But onto Harden...I'd venture to guess that half his turnovers last season were from those throw ahead passes. I've seen very very few of those this season, hence less turnovers.
     
    hakeem94 likes this.
  10. basketballholic

    Joined:
    Feb 5, 2013
    Messages:
    17,516
    Likes Received:
    4,171
    Harden had 3 bad pass turnovers a game last year and over 50% of his turnovers were bad passes.

    This season he's down to 2 bad pass turnovers a game. And if Paul stays healthy Hardens bad pass turnovers will decrease down to around 1.5 a game.

    Turnover pct.? He's down to around 14% this season from 20% last season.

    In the 12 games Paul has played Harden has averaged less than 3.2 turnovers.

    By the way, our team turnovers are basically the same as last year. No significant differences except.....type of turnovers. Bad pass turnovers (The Worst Kind) are down almost 2a game when Paul plays. Deed ball turnovers (ball out of bounds/offensive fouls/stepping out of bounds) are higher leaving our turnovers at the same average.

    Turnovers are not the same. Bad pass turnovers are turnovers that the other team steal and take the other way in a hurry. Those are down significantly. And it is DIRECTLY CORRELATED to Paul handling the basketball and James not handling the basketball as much.
     
    hakeem94 likes this.
  11. ApacheWarrior

    ApacheWarrior Member

    Joined:
    Aug 3, 2017
    Messages:
    9,368
    Likes Received:
    12,457
    @basketballholic
    16/17
    Lou Williams (w/Houston)
    Dekker
    Beverley
    Harrell (scratched because he shot like 0.1 attempts per game)
    =34.1% from 3 on 12.3 attempts per game

    16/17
    Luc MaM
    Tucker (total 3 pt ....not just Suns and not just Raptors-combo of both)
    CP3
    =38.7% from 3 pt line on 11.9 attempts per game
     
    hakeem94 likes this.
  12. basketballholic

    Joined:
    Feb 5, 2013
    Messages:
    17,516
    Likes Received:
    4,171

    Dude. Lou Williams is shooting as many 3's as Tucker and LMM combined and hitting them at 40%. His three point shooting with Houston was way off last season. They're not better shooters than Lou Williams.
     
  13. kingkingston

    kingkingston Member

    Joined:
    Jul 1, 2013
    Messages:
    15,310
    Likes Received:
    9,094
    his turnover percentage was 19.5 last season. Most of Stockton's career, his turnover percentage was over 20. Only 2 seasons did he have a lower turnover percentage than Harden's last season
     
    hakeem94 likes this.
  14. basketballholic

    Joined:
    Feb 5, 2013
    Messages:
    17,516
    Likes Received:
    4,171

    Turnover percentage is a function of possessions used. Guys that don't shoot the ball a lot like Harden does will show a TOV as high or higher than he does. That does not mean they are add turnover prone as he is.

    Individual TOV% is useless for playmakers that aren't scorers and very misleading even for scorers. A bad pass turnover is a game event and is almost a three point spread. They are very costly to a team.
     
  15. ApacheWarrior

    ApacheWarrior Member

    Joined:
    Aug 3, 2017
    Messages:
    9,368
    Likes Received:
    12,457
    Aren’t we talking about the spacing last season vs this season!! Dude!!
    Why would I use Lou Williams with Clippers this year and his 28 USG%?
    I’m going to use Lou Williams with last years Rockets and his 25 USG% to show the Rockets spacing.

    It’s not my fault his 3 pt% dropped to 31.8% on 5.6 3PA ‘s with Houston.

    No one can win a debate with you because you constantly move the goal line.
    We were talking about the 3P% of each group of: Dekker/Bev/Lou Williams vs this years Rockets of
    Luc MaM/Tucker/CP3. Their 3-pt attempts were equal from last yr to this year . You can fool others but you can’t fool me.

    The topic of the thread is less turnovers.....and you cry about bad passes. Bad passes come with less spacing.
    Your BS is dumb. I showed in post #31 that the Rockets have greater spacing this year in “wide open shots” which equates to less turnovers; which includes “bad passes.”

    CP3 has played in 12 games while the Rockets have played 26 games. So this CP3 as a play maker as the
    difference doesn’t hold water. The spacing which i mentioned is the constant in this equation. Spacing
    for 26 games.
     
    #55 ApacheWarrior, Dec 15, 2017
    Last edited: Dec 15, 2017
  16. riko

    riko Member

    Joined:
    Mar 30, 2014
    Messages:
    9,634
    Likes Received:
    16,083
    Rubio is Jeremy Lin bad at making layups. Putrid bad.
     
  17. basketballholic

    Joined:
    Feb 5, 2013
    Messages:
    17,516
    Likes Received:
    4,171
    Here's some more stupid kooky stuff.

    In the 12 games Paul has played the Rockets have went 204/500 from three. That's 17/41.67 a game for 40.8%.

    In the 14 games without Paul, we've gone 212/626 from three. That's 15.14/44.71 for 44.71%.

    So when Paul is in there we're taking three less shots from three per game but we are hitting 2 more three point shots per game than when Paul didn't play.

    If Paul's added spacing were the reason here then the three point shots would be as high or higher when he plays and the makes would be even higher than they are.

    It's not added spacing. It's Paul's penetration and making more plays in the paint that discombobulates the defense, gets us more great looks in the paint and at the rim, while being more selective and deadly on the perimeter.

    Chris is first and foremost a playmaker! And he creates GREAT LOOKS both inside the paint and at the three point line for others! By penetrating and circling/criss crossing in and out of the paint with the dribble.....forcing multiple defenders out of position. That's why he is a superior playmaker to Harden. He doesn't have to force the finish. He can keep probing around with the dribble if the pnr finish or the dish isn't there. James as a playmaker simply doesn't have this elite level of playmaking. It's much easier for the defense to respond to Harden. They and all the rest of us know exactly where Harden is going. But Paul......You never know where he's going to bee-bop to on the floor.

    Put that in your pipe and sssssssmoke it, Geronimo.
     
    #57 basketballholic, Dec 15, 2017
    Last edited: Dec 16, 2017
    220living likes this.
  18. ApacheWarrior

    ApacheWarrior Member

    Joined:
    Aug 3, 2017
    Messages:
    9,368
    Likes Received:
    12,457
    Well Tanto, you conveniently excluded pertinent points:

    *Tucker was adjusting to the new system in the early month(s); concentration of defense may have affected 3PA

    *Luc MaM was adjusting to the new system in the early month(s).

    *Eric Gordon slump with the 3 point shot which affected his confidence for most of the season. Only rectified recently.

    Here is a fun fact for you. CP3 creates in the paint and criss crosses so well that CP3 helped EGo catch-n-shoot
    improve......right?
    Eric Gordon 17/18 “Catch-n-Shoot”: 1.8 3PM, 5.8 3PA, 31.3 3P%, 46.6 eFG%
    Eric Gordon 16/17 “Catch-n-Shoot”: 2.4 3PM, 6.6 3PA, 36.4% 3P%, 54.7 eFG%

    http://stats.nba.com/players/catch-shoot/?Season=2016-17&SeasonType=Regular Season

    So you may not want me to use Eric Gordon stats because he was in a slump....but you want to use them in your
    team stat composite.....don’t you?

    Another thing to consider is all the garbage time of 4th quarters during the CP3 time period (which coincides
    with Luc/Tucker/Ryan Anderson/EGo adjustments). How many were from Zhou Qi or Bobby Brown? I’ve seen
    even T Black shoot a 3 or two.

    Drives (not as ball handler in PnR):
    Harden (17/18): 17.7 drives, 52.8 FG%, 10.7 pts, 60.2 pt%, 14.8 ast%, 6.01 TOV%
    Harden (16/17): 10.7 drives, 54.8 FG%, 7.9 pts, 73.9 pt%, 13.4 ast%, 8.03 TOV%

    Ariza (17/18): 2.8 drives, 26.3 FG%, 0.5 pts, 18.2 pt%, 15.2 ast%, 0.0 TOV%
    Ariza (16/17): 3.0 drives, 44.7 FG%, 1.4 pts, 46.3 pt%, 14.0 ast%, 6.6 TOV%
    So Ariza did better last year driving without CP3.

    Before yesterday’s game Harden was:
    16/17: 5.8 TOV
    17/18 in games (without CP3) 5.3 TOV
    17/18 all games 4.2 TOV
    Which could account for any additional star USG taking the ball out of Hardens hands.....not just CP3

    Again account for new players adjusting to new offensive and defensive systems.

    Edited: original post in rush prior to taking kids to see new Star Wars movie; reviewed
    Harden TOV numbers from basketball-reference.com

    https://www.basketball-reference.com/players/h/hardeja01/gamelog/2018

    Harden
    16/17: 5.7 TOV
    17/18: 5.2 TOV w/o CP3
    17/18: 3.38 TOV w/CP3 including GSW (1st game) & last evenings game vs San Antonio
    17/18: 4.3 TOV all games. Again some of the quote-unquote “bad passes” might be attributed to
    Tucker/Luc MaM/Black being out of position.....Capela slow start. View Capela threads with
    members marveling how Capela was so much better day after day after the initial 3 was of 5he season.

    Wrap that around your weed wacker and then set it to full throooooottle
     
    #58 ApacheWarrior, Dec 16, 2017
    Last edited: Dec 16, 2017
  19. Reeko

    Reeko Member

    Joined:
    Mar 1, 2017
    Messages:
    46,277
    Likes Received:
    128,598
    Harden currently has the highest usage rate of his career, but the lowest turnover rate since he’s been in Houston
     
    vator and riko like this.
  20. nemac

    nemac Member

    Joined:
    Jun 24, 2010
    Messages:
    689
    Likes Received:
    300
    I'll take that for data.
     
    hakeem94 likes this.

Share This Page

  • About ClutchFans

    Since 1996, ClutchFans has been loud and proud covering the Houston Rockets, helping set an industry standard for team fan sites. The forums have been a home for Houston sports fans as well as basketball fanatics around the globe.

  • Support ClutchFans!

    If you find that ClutchFans is a valuable resource for you, please consider becoming a Supporting Member. Supporting Members can upload photos and attachments directly to their posts, customize their user title and more. Gold Supporters see zero ads!


    Upgrade Now