James Harden currently has a close to 70% chance of winning NBA MVP according to an mvp tracker

Trump also announced he won the election at 10PM on election night.

 

This calculation doesn't factor in that the media hates Harden and will never vote for him. Even when he goes in historically great runs he doesn't win. For him to win he'd have to average 40 points a game and lead the league in assists.

 

LMAO! the NBA has disqualified Harden already. I hope Harden is still a Rocket so I can see who they try to give it too. Fat Luka choking his chance away in lard and bacon. Media will figure out a way to give it to Luka.

 

Yes but what does the media/narrative say? That's what ultimately decides the MVP.

 

Chances for Harden for MVP are: Guaranteed for LA. Close to 100 for Brooklyn Nets, 95 for Boston. 89 for Philadelphia 33 for Houston etc. The supporting players are not relevant. assuming an eighth seed or higher

 

Or maybe lead his team to a 1 seed. The one year he did that, he won MVP. In fact, the last 3 MVP winners have been the best player on the best team.

MVP voting is actually highly predictable. The year Westbrook won was a strange outlier in terms of individual stat lines.

 

I get what your saying but it shouldn't be like that. In the last few years, the 1 seed in the East is essentially like the 5th seed in the west.

It should be about most valuable player. If you are carrying a bunch of scrubs you should get more credit. Look at Steph the last two years. He's nothing without his other all stars and that should make him an MVP?

 

Has anyone ever won mvp the season they were traded?

Edit: To clarify, I mean someone who split a season not traded before the season or very very early (like when James was traded to us right before regular season).

 

Usually, team has to be a top 2 seed to win mvp

 

Media conspiracy

 

None that I can think of, at least not since the 80s.

 

Winners get one tenth of the trophy.

 

If Houston can lock up the #1 seed in the West then Harden will win the MVP guaranteed.

 

Yeah he holding all these number 1 seed coaches and teams back

 

If he puts up 37 / 11 a night on 65% efg, he will get the MVP. But there is no way he can maintain that.

 

The only trade I would make right now would be harden for McCollum

 

Who cares. I’d rather see him win a finals MVP playing for the Rockets.

 

If the Rockets are not the 1st seed (or whatever team he is traded to) they will find a way not to give it to him, regardless of the godly stats he will likely end up with.

 

If he can do 33/7/5 and lead Rockets to a 1 seed, he will get the MVP.

It’s not happening either, but the point is he doesn’t have to put up unprecedented historical numbers. Leading team to a record that wildly exceeds expectations also goes a long way in MVP voting.

 

I think it would simply take him leading the Rockets to the #1 seed and best record in the NBA