OMG did you guys see that IDIOT lady with kids on the beach in Galveston they just interviewed? "I believe God will steer this storm away from us so we don't need to evacuate." Seriously. Kids. On the beach. With a hurricane thats gonna be there in less than 24 hours.
Anything is possible, but I really have to disagree here. Again, remember that Corpus is on the weak side of the storm, and FAR south of it at that. The NHC doesn't currently project any surge for Corpus Christi:
which says nothing about cat 2 winds at all...it's harder to lolz now because it's less and less funny.
i just find it funny how this is a 73pg thread about over hyping this thread when i said on page3 it wasnt going to be anything huge. lulz @ you. If this storm hits as a cat3, i wont be posting on the forums till the rockets season. (other then the texans gameday)
I pray for a Cat 3 hurricane now. The extra 10 mph of wind can't be worse than the hot air that you post.
don't make me start hoping for intensification. again..it's not overhype..it's forecast. we don't KNOW what these things will do. they say over and over and over and over again that they have difficulty forecasting intensity. pretending you knew what this would do is cute to you, i'm sure. but you knew absolutely nothing that gave you any insight into this.
As for the nonsense about it being "overhyped," I think a lot of you are going to learn a harsh lesson from this. Sometimes I really hate the hurricane "categories," because they don't really tell the story. A Cat 2 with a HUGE windfield is going to cause much more damage than a smaller Cat 4. Likewise, it doesn't necessarily measure surge. From earlier today: http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/show.html That's with the winds at 100 mph, which some of you seem to be laughing at.
shut up, I don't. I been through 2 cat 3 storms... 3rd time will not be a charm. just agree with him.
An Ambien and two ounces of Crown and I'm not thinking about sleeping. On the positive side, if I can just slow down my posting pace, I might can post #5000 right as a 100' pine tree snaps and takes me out tomorrow. Now that would be an epic thread.
the sci guy at chron and many other ppl said on tuesday the storm had less then a 41% of reaching a cat3 , but never the less ppl were already predicting a cat4
By the way, the 00Z GFS brings it slightly further south. Anything's possible, but at this point, there's nothing other than hunches and the previous experience with Rita to think it could go much further east than the eastern end of Galveston.
That's what's so ridiculous about this. I'm taking it out on him because I've heard it from others here...that they knew track or intensity out ahead of time. I don't know why that bothers me...but it does. It's just flat out dumb. Here are these guys who went to school to study this...they earn their livings doing it...they acknowledge all these uncertainties about forecasting...but Colonel YooHoo at Clutchfans knew it all along. That makes me lolz at my own indigestion.
I once heard this joke. There was a very religious man living on a flood plain and the levee breaks and floodwaters are rising. So he's sitting on his roof with flood waters all around him and someone comes by with a boat who says come with me. The man says "No.. God will save me." He sits there another hour and a helicopter flies overhead. They drop a rope from the helicopter but he doesn't take it saying God will save him. The next hour the flood waters are almost up to the top of his house and a log comes floating by close enough to grab he doesn't grab it saying to himself God will save him. Finally the flood waters get up over his roof wash him away and just as he is drowning he cries out "God why have you forsaken me?" A voice booms out from the Heavens "What do you mean forsaken you? I sent you a freakin boat, a helicopter and even a log to float on."
Ike does seem to be going more west at the moment, so a small south shift with GFS doesn't surprise me. oh and lulz
