A couple of the models are starting to point toward us, but its way way early. Timing would have to be perfect for what they forecast to happen. They have the storm being affected by two different troughs before coming onshore. Lets just wait a bit and see what Monday shows.
You ain't lyin. I feel like I end up holding my breath from the beginning of August until the end of September. It just gets old.
And the levee system failed because of the storm surge caused by the....you guessed it....the hurricane. Are you honestly suggesting the levees failed for some reason other than the hurricane and its storm surge?
The storm surge in NOLA wasn't 25 feet with Katrina. Mississippi took the brunt of that storm surge at around 25 feet. In NOLA it was closer to 12-14 feet. That's still not great, but nowhere near what MS took. The levees should have held.
they're downright awful at predicting the intensity of these storms at landfall. they are getting better and better as to location of where it will hit...but they still aren't reliable as to intensity. i hate that everytime i look at these models they're further west.
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=HGX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1 Latest weather advisment out of the National Weather Service for Houston/Galveston
Ike, an intense hurricane, bound for central Gulf of Mexico Hurricane Ike remains a powerful Category 4 hurricane this morning as it approaches Cuba and will likely reach the island within a day or so. The big question, for our purposes, is where Ike's likely to go once in the Gulf. The official forecast has a large cone of uncertainty, and as we're still probably at least five days from landfall it's a difficult question to answer. The possibilities remain from northern Mexico to the Florida panhandle. From Corpus Christi to the Louisiana-Mississippi border remain the likeliest landfall locations. Here's a plot of the most recent model runs: It should be noted that some of the models now forecast less time over Cuba, which means the storm could weaken less than anticipated over the island, bringing a more powerful hurricane into the Gulf. Because the island is so narrow it's difficult to forecast the amount of interaction with Cuba even one to three days in advance. What we can begin to talk about are conditions in the Gulf of Mexico when Ike reaches it in a couple of days. http://blogs.chron.com/sciguy/archives/2008/09/ike_an_intense_1.html
I don't think there's any way to tell what strength it will be in the gulf just yet. It all depends on how much time it spends over Cuba.
Where's Rockets 2K? I told you it was going to come to Houston, even if it's not a direct hit, we will get a lot of it, and a lot of rain. IT'S COMING TO HOUSTON!
Well according to their MAIN model, Houston will at least get some part of it. And this time they are saying that the western part of the storm is bad. I'm not hoping that it comes to Houston even though it sound like I may, but I really want a cool down in the weather and I think Hurricanes tend to do that even if it is for a week. I don't think it can regain it's strength to a Cat 4. I think the Max it can do it a high Cat 2 which isn't too bad.
It's not going to be that cool if you're without AC for a week because of the electricity being down. We're just 1-2 weeks aways from our first nice cool fronts, I'll take those over a hurricane.
